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Virtus Bologna vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-77
25-17 18-28 24-17 16-15
Position#2
Record12-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#15
Record8-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game82.6
EuropeEurocupEurocup - Quarter-finals
European cup2021
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Ulm
26 Apr 2022
VIR83
ULM77
27 Oct 2021
VIR87
ULM76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#18
W
83-61
83
61
+22
76avg 85
A23/03
Eurocup
Reggiana
#8
W
78-70
78
70
+8
74avg 85
H26/03
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#6
W
70-68
70
68
+2
65avg 85
H29/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#7
W
92-81
92
81
+11
89avg 85
A02/04
Lega A
JL Bourg
#17
W
90-68
90
68
+22
100avg 85
A05/04
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
83-65
83
65
+18
90avg 85
H10/04
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
no box
H13/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
96-77
96
77
+19
98avg 85
A16/04
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#13
W
75-67
75
67
+8
72avg 85
H20/04
Eurocup
Tortona
#5
W
101-83
101
83
+18
104avg 85
H22/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
15-14
32-14
15-17
22-14
12-12
21-21
23-23
21-14
15-21
15-12
19-21
34-16
20-24
19-24
19-17
20-23
17-24
27-8
26-13
22-16
24-18
25-15
12-16
21-11
26-24
23-27
12-20
23-24
20-13
27-13
26-27
18-14
21-20
17-18
19-15
28-29
21-24
29-14
23-16
159.1Avg total
86.3Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.980.6164.5+3.363%
Season at home (10)82.679.4162.0+3.270%
Season away (9)85.382.0167.3+3.356%
Last 10 (10)86.372.8159.1+13.5100%
Last 5 (5)90.076.0166.0+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)80.083.1163.1-3.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.576.5161.0+8.090%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
W
61-58
61
58
+3
50avg 77
A25/03
BBL
Bursaspor
#11
L
72-86
72
86
-14
61avg 77
H29/03
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 77
H02/04
BBL
Valencia
#4
L
71-103
71
103
-32
58avg 77
A05/04
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
61-74
61
74
-13
53avg 77
A09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
W
90-74
90
74
+16
84avg 77
H12/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 77
A15/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
114-115 OT
114
115
-1
no box
A17/04
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#1
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 77
A19/04
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#16
W
80-73
80
73
+7
75avg 77
A22/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-12
14-13
12-20
23-13
15-32
19-21
20-18
18-15
23-28
26-20
13-18
21-16
16-29
14-23
15-30
26-21
12-18
15-15
18-22
16-19
20-16
21-24
22-14
27-20
18-25
24-18
16-27
15-8
18-19
25-18
22-28
23-23
18-17
14-18
19-19
28-19
18-15
22-18
17-18
23-22
160.0Avg total
78.4Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.882.6164.5-0.842%
Season at home (9)82.883.8166.6-1.033%
Season away (10)81.081.6162.6-0.650%
Last 10 (10)78.481.6160.0-3.250%
Last 5 (5)87.282.6169.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.985.1166.0-4.329%
vs Similar (10)77.776.9154.6+0.860%
vs Weaker (13)85.781.3167.0+4.469%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +4.4+4.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +4.4+4.4
Virtus BolognaUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#18
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A23/03
Eurocup
Reggiana
#8
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H26/03
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H29/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#7
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A02/04
Lega A
JL Bourg
#17
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A05/04
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/04
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H13/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A16/04
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H20/04
Eurocup
Tortona
#5
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H22/04
Lega A
79.2Avg total
42.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.680.9+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.436.978.4+4.575%-
Last 30 away (14)41.142.783.8-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.179.2+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.683.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)41.843.184.9-1.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.638.278.8+2.462%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A25/03
BBL
Bursaspor
#11
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H29/03
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H02/04
BBL
Valencia
#4
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A05/04
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H12/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A15/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A17/04
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A19/04
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#16
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A22/04
BBL
76.3Avg total
36.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.380.7+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.140.682.6+1.557%-
Last 30 away (16)39.140.079.1-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)36.439.976.3-3.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.677.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.441.382.7+0.143%-
vs Similar (10)39.538.477.9+1.150%-
vs Weaker (13)40.741.281.8-0.554%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.8
55.9%
52.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.2
36.1%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.216.3
73.4%
74.8%16.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.119.2
56.3%
52.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.2
32.9%
35.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.714.3
65.9%
74.8%14.3
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWWWW
Ulm
WWLLWLLWLW
#2
League position
#15
+18.7
Net rating
-3.4
115.3
Offensive rating
105.6
96.6
Defensive rating
109.0
55.3%
Effective FG%
53.6%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.0%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.1%
3-point %
32.9%
72.3%
Assist %
56.1%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 105.6Defence96.6 · 109.0Shooting55.3% · 53.6%3-point %36.1% · 32.9%Ball care16.8% · 19.0%Off. rebounds31.5% · 26.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)100% · 50%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Bologna wins
1
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
25/01/22Ulm v Virtus Bologna84-68
27/10/21Virtus Bologna v Ulm87-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/22HTortona101-83
20/04/22HLietkabelis75-67
16/04/22APesaro96-77
13/04/22HTrento95-88 OT
10/04/22HOlimpia Milano83-65
05/04/22AJL Bourg90-68
02/04/22ATrieste92-81
29/03/22HGran Canaria70-68
26/03/22HReggiana78-70
23/03/22APromitheas83-61
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/22ABayreuth80-73
19/04/22AJoventut Badalona79-73
17/04/22ABamberg114-115 OT
15/04/22AAlba Berlin73-78
12/04/22HHeidelberg90-74
09/04/22ALudwigsburg61-74
05/04/22AValencia71-103
02/04/22HSyntainics MBC83-82
29/03/22HBursaspor72-86
25/03/22AFrankfurt61-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW63%
HomeLWLWW70%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %63%70%56%
Points / game83.982.685.3
Allowed / game80.679.482.0
Point differential+3.3+3.2+3.3
Avg total164.5162.0167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%20%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW42%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%33%50%
Points / game81.882.881.0
Allowed / game82.683.881.6
Point differential-0.8-1.0-0.6
Avg total164.5166.6162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%22%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%11%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Joventut Badalona1813572%81.771.4+10.2
2 Valencia1913668%87.480.5+6.9
3 Gran Canaria1913668%81.675.5+6.1
4 Boulogne-Levallois1913668%83.279.6+3.6
5 Partizan1812667%85.778.2+7.4
6 Lokomotiv Kuban128467%90.485.8+4.7
7 Cedevita Olimpija1912763%87.383.6+3.6
8 Virtus Bologna1912763%83.980.6+3.3
9 MoraBanc Andorra1911858%80.879.7+1.2
10 Buducnost1910953%77.778.6-0.9
11 Turk Telekom189950%76.679.4-2.8
12 Lietkabelis1991047%77.775.3+2.4
13 Venezia1991047%76.576.6-0.2
14 Bursaspor1991047%82.884.7-1.8
15 Ulm1981142%81.882.6-0.8
16 Hamburg1871139%83.188.4-5.3
17 JL Bourg1861233%78.681.7-3.1
18 Promitheas1841422%71.983.1-11.2
19 Slask Wroclaw1831517%73.784.3-10.6
20 Trento171166%71.784.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2518241683
Ulm1728171577
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