PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pesaro vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-96
24-23 13-20 13-27 27-26
Position#9
Record12-14
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#2
Record22-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game78.5
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Pesaro v Virtus Bologna
17 Mar 2024
PES87
VIR86
26 Dec 2022
PES82
VIR87
19 May 2022
PES55
VIR75
16 Apr 2022
PES77
VIR96
20 Mar 2021
PES70
VIR75
13 Oct 2019
PES79
VIR94
25 Nov 2018
PES89
VIR86
14 Oct 2017
PES75
VIR81
25 Oct 2015
PES68
VIR63
26 Dec 2014
PES67
VIR70
27 Apr 2014
PES79
VIR78
30 Mar 2013
PES101
VIR91
08 Jan 2012
PES86
VIR77
07 Nov 2010
PES66
VIR70
21 Apr 2010
PES90
VIR73
02 Nov 2008
PES99
VIR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
no box
H30/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
82avg 73
H06/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
57-91
57
91
-34
45avg 73
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A06/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 73
H13/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
87-76
87
76
+11
88avg 73
A20/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
83-88
83
88
-5
74avg 73
H27/03
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
86-70
86
70
+16
86avg 73
A02/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
75-73
75
73
+2
70avg 73
H10/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
88-87
88
87
+1
83avg 73
H13/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
26-20
24-21
25-24
19-30
30-17
21-14
23-26
12-23
15-19
13-25
17-24
17-25
32-18
12-22
16-21
15-26
27-18
22-19
22-21
21-17
19-19
25-16
22-24
28-23
20-15
16-22
19-28
22-11
26-20
20-18
18-21
17-25
22-14
11-19
25-15
20-24
21-23
24-21
23-19
168.7Avg total
83.7Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.383.5163.8-3.246%
Season at home (13)83.983.5167.5+0.454%
Season away (13)76.783.5160.2-6.838%
Last 10 (10)83.785.0168.7-1.360%
Last 5 (5)83.878.8162.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.584.7161.3-8.227%
vs Similar (18)83.384.1167.4-0.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
85-82
85
82
+3
80avg 85
A13/03
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
74-86
74
86
-12
no box
H16/03
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
80avg 85
H20/03
Lega A
Promitheas
#18
W
83-61
83
61
+22
76avg 85
A23/03
Eurocup
Reggiana
#8
W
78-70
78
70
+8
74avg 85
H26/03
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#6
W
70-68
70
68
+2
65avg 85
H29/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#7
W
92-81
92
81
+11
89avg 85
A02/04
Lega A
JL Bourg
#17
W
90-68
90
68
+22
100avg 85
A05/04
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
83-65
83
65
+18
90avg 85
H10/04
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
no box
H13/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
21-24
22-14
17-25
24-31
20-20
14-17
16-18
12-27
19-17
27-19
23-14
21-16
15-14
32-14
15-17
22-14
12-12
21-21
23-23
21-14
15-21
15-12
19-21
34-16
20-24
19-24
19-17
20-23
17-24
27-8
26-13
22-16
24-18
25-15
12-16
21-11
26-24
23-27
12-20
157.7Avg total
83.1Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)88.278.5166.7+9.688%
Season at home (13)87.274.9162.1+12.2100%
Season away (12)89.282.4171.7+6.875%
Last 10 (10)83.174.6157.7+8.590%
Last 5 (5)86.074.0160.0+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)83.687.4171.0-3.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)83.675.9159.4+7.790%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
PesaroVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H30/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A06/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H13/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H27/03
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A02/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H13/04
Lega A
84.0Avg total
42.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.681.4-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.042.181.1-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)40.541.181.7-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.484.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.281.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.141.081.1-0.955%-
vs Similar (18)41.041.882.8-0.839%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A13/03
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H16/03
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H20/03
Lega A
Promitheas
#18
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A23/03
Eurocup
Reggiana
#8
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H26/03
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H29/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#7
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A02/04
Lega A
JL Bourg
#17
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A05/04
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/04
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H13/04
Lega A
79.6Avg total
41.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.181.6+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.236.577.7+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)41.943.785.6-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)41.138.579.6+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.282.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)43.645.589.1-1.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.337.978.2+2.462%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.2
52.6%
51.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.9
38.5%
35.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.513.3
76.0%
74.7%13.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.8
53.3%
51.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.6
34.4%
35.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.415.1
74.0%
74.7%15.1
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WWWLWWLLWL
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWWLW
#9
League position
#2
-3.2
Net rating
+12.8
112.3
Offensive rating
113.2
115.5
Defensive rating
100.4
54.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
18.2%
Turnover %
15.5%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.5%
3-point %
34.4%
52.6%
Assist %
69.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 113.2Defence115.5 · 100.4Shooting54.6% · 52.7%3-point %38.5% · 34.4%Ball care18.2% · 15.5%Off. rebounds32.6% · 32.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Pesaro   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
9
Virtus Bologna wins
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/22HFortitudo Bologna88-87
10/04/22HSassari75-73
02/04/22ATortona86-70
27/03/22HBrescia83-88
20/03/22AVarese87-76
13/03/22HBrindisi86-84
06/03/22AReggiana77-86
13/02/22AOlimpia Milano57-91
06/02/22HCremona93-87
30/01/22HTreviso105-108 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/22HTrento95-88 OT
10/04/22HOlimpia Milano83-65
05/04/22AJL Bourg90-68
02/04/22ATrieste92-81
29/03/22HGran Canaria70-68
26/03/22HReggiana78-70
23/03/22APromitheas83-61
20/03/22HVenezia81-77
16/03/22HCedevita Olimpija74-86
13/03/22AFortitudo Bologna85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW46%
HomeWWLWW54%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %46%54%38%
Points / game80.383.976.7
Allowed / game83.583.583.5
Point differential-3.2+0.4-6.8
Avg total163.8167.5160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%15%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (8)67% (3)
Overtime %8%15%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game88.287.289.2
Allowed / game78.574.982.4
Point differential+9.6+12.2+6.8
Avg total166.7162.1171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%46%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2522388%88.278.5+9.6
2 Olimpia Milano2621581%83.071.4+11.6
3 Brescia2719870%84.377.2+7.1
4 Venezia27151256%77.777.0+0.7
5 Tortona27151256%79.979.8+0.0
6 Sassari26131350%82.681.8+0.8
7 Reggiana27131448%80.881.0-0.3
8 Trieste27131448%79.481.7-2.2
9 Pesaro26121446%80.383.5-3.2
10 Brindisi26111542%80.281.7-1.5
11 Trento26111542%77.780.2-2.5
12 Varese27111641%81.587.1-5.6
13 Treviso25101540%78.582.8-4.3
14 Basket Napoli27101737%80.582.8-2.3
15 Fortitudo Bologna2681831%81.384.1-2.8
16 Cremona2772026%78.483.1-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2413132777
Virtus Bologna2320272696
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.