Virtus Roma vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 May 2013

Tip-off: 18:10

Final 82-75 (OT)

16-20 14-22 14-14 22-10 16-9

Position#6

Record24-13

FormLWWLW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game75.1

Virtus Roma 🏆

Cantu

Position#8

Record21-16

FormWWLWW

Points / game74.8

Allowed / game71.2

Lega ALega A - Semi-finals

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Cantu

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cantu winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

#13

88-82

H21/04

Lega A

Biella

#17

85-78

A28/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

82-64

+18

H05/05

Lega A

Reggiana

58-70

-12

H09/05

Lega A

Reggiana

82-58

+24

H11/05

Lega A

Reggiana

69-89

-20

A13/05

Lega A

Reggiana

71-68

A15/05

Lega A

Reggiana

74-69

H17/05

Lega A

Reggiana

82-91

-9

A19/05

Lega A

Reggiana

72-59

+13

H21/05

Lega A

18-20

23-18

22-34

25-10

25-23

28-17

17-15

15-23

18-20

27-13

24-13

13-18

5-14

18-18

16-19

19-19

23-14

27-10

17-19

15-15

15-21

19-23

21-23

14-22

19-17

19-11

8-22

25-18

19-21

20-14

16-11

19-23

19-13

26-16

22-35

15-27

23-18

16-16

18-8

15-17

149.1Avg total

76.3Scored

72.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	77.5	75.1	152.6	+2.5	65%
Season at home (19)	76.2	71.2	147.4	+4.9	68%
Season away (18)	79.0	79.1	158.1	-0.1	61%
Last 10 (10)	76.3	72.8	149.1	+3.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	75.2	148.8	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	79.7	89.7	169.3	-10.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	76.6	75.4	151.9	+1.2	65%
vs Weaker (9)	78.9	71.4	150.3	+7.4	89%

This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cantu

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

65-71

-6

A21/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

69-78

-9

H28/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

79-69

+10

A05/05

Lega A

Sassari

70-90

-20

A09/05

Lega A

Sassari

78-83

-5

A11/05

Lega A

Sassari

73-71

H13/05

Lega A

Sassari

82-80

H15/05

Lega A

Sassari

58-81

-23

A17/05

Lega A

Sassari

87-84

H19/05

Lega A

Sassari

97-95

A21/05

Lega A

19-22

21-12

10-18

15-19

11-22

23-19

19-24

16-13

16-18

18-17

27-17

18-17

12-28

19-20

22-22

17-20

14-20

19-18

23-10

22-35

18-16

24-16

13-21

18-18

21-16

22-11

17-24

22-29

9-15

19-22

14-26

16-18

23-21

23-20

13-23

28-20

29-16

20-26

31-26

17-27

156.0Avg total

75.8Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	74.8	71.2	146.0	+3.6	57%
Season at home (18)	77.3	68.4	145.7	+8.8	78%
Season away (19)	72.4	73.8	146.3	-1.4	37%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	80.2	156.0	-4.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	82.2	161.6	-2.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	76.0	70.0	146.0	+6.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	76.6	77.2	153.8	-0.6	53%
vs Weaker (11)	70.7	64.6	135.4	+6.1	55%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaCantu

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.6	18.6	35.1	-2.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	19.1	37.8	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	18.3	32.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	17.0	19.1	36.1	-2.1	41%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.9	18.6	37.4	+0.3	44%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	17.8	36.3	+0.8	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	16.8	34.9	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.1	18.2	36.3	-0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.2	16.4	35.6	+2.8	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.9	38.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	16.1	36.3	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	15.6	37.9	+6.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	22.3	44.7	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.8	16.7	36.5	+3.1	59%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.8	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	16.7	36.9	+3.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	40%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

#13

41-38

H21/04

Lega A

Biella

#17

53-40

+13

A28/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

45-33

+12

H05/05

Lega A

Reggiana

23-32

-9

H09/05

Lega A

Reggiana

50-24

+26

H11/05

Lega A

Reggiana

34-44

-10

A13/05

Lega A

Reggiana

38-28

+10

A15/05

Lega A

Reggiana

39-35

H17/05

Lega A

Reggiana

45-29

+16

A19/05

Lega A

Reggiana

39-34

H21/05

Lega A

74.4Avg total

40.7Scored

33.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	36.7	74.4	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.8	34.7	71.4	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.8	39.0	77.8	-0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	33.7	74.4	+7.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	34.0	73.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.7	40.7	77.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	36.8	35.8	72.6	+1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (9)	38.3	36.3	74.7	+2.0	56%	-

This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

40-34

A21/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

34-41

-7

H28/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

34-35

-1

A05/05

Lega A

Sassari

31-48

-17

A09/05

Lega A

Sassari

33-38

-5

A11/05

Lega A

Sassari

42-32

+10

H13/05

Lega A

Sassari

43-27

+16

H15/05

Lega A

Sassari

28-37

-9

A17/05

Lega A

Sassari

46-41

H19/05

Lega A

Sassari

49-42

A21/05

Lega A

75.5Avg total

38.0Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.8	36.3	74.1	+1.5	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	33.5	71.8	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	39.3	76.6	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	37.5	75.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	35.8	77.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	42.0	35.0	77.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	37.5	36.8	74.3	+0.6	65%	-
vs Weaker (10)	37.4	34.2	71.6	+3.2	50%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	16.9	35.5	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	20.6	39.9	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.9	38.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.4	19.6	37.9	-1.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.9	17.4	37.3	+2.4	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	19.8	38.6	-0.9	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	19.9	37.7	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.6	39.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	24.0	41.6	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	21.0	34.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-1.9	35%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.9	17.5	37.4	+2.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	20.4	41.9	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.2	36.7	-1.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.4	39.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.0	29.3	53.3	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	41%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.2	14.8	33.0	+3.4	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.1	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	17.0	38.7	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	20.1	39.5	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	14.0	35.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.5	17.4	37.9	+3.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	38.4	77.9	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.6	36.0	74.6	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.6	41.1	81.7	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	39.1	74.7	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	41.2	75.8	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	43.0	49.0	92.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	39.8	39.6	79.4	+0.2	53%	-
vs Weaker (9)	38.1	32.2	70.3	+5.9	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.4	38.2	77.7	+1.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	36.9	76.4	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	39.7	79.1	-0.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	42.7	80.5	-4.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	46.4	84.2	-8.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	34.0	35.0	69.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	39.1	40.4	79.5	-1.2	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.4	34.9	75.3	+5.5	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Cantu wins

Date	Game	Score
07/02/13	Cantu v Virtus Roma	85-89
27/01/13	Cantu v Virtus Roma	60-65
07/10/12	Virtus Roma v Cantu	70-84
17/03/12	Cantu v Virtus Roma	73-72
27/11/11	Virtus Roma v Cantu	91-74
06/02/11	Cantu v Virtus Roma	79-74
31/10/10	Virtus Roma v Cantu	66-78
28/03/10	Cantu v Virtus Roma	79-61
29/11/09	Virtus Roma v Cantu	70-81
10/05/09	Virtus Roma v Cantu	77-64

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/05/13	H	Reggiana	72-59
19/05/13	A	Reggiana	82-91
17/05/13	H	Reggiana	74-69
15/05/13	A	Reggiana	71-68
13/05/13	A	Reggiana	69-89
11/05/13	H	Reggiana	82-58
09/05/13	H	Reggiana	58-70
05/05/13	H	Sutor Montegranaro	82-64
28/04/13	A	Biella	85-78
21/04/13	H	Brindisi	88-82

Cantulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/05/13	A	Sassari	97-95
19/05/13	H	Sassari	87-84
17/05/13	A	Sassari	58-81
15/05/13	H	Sassari	82-80
13/05/13	H	Sassari	73-71
11/05/13	A	Sassari	78-83
09/05/13	A	Sassari	70-90
05/05/13	A	Virtus Bologna	79-69
28/04/13	H	Olimpia Milano	69-78
21/04/13	A	Reggiana	65-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	65%
Home	WLWWW	68%
Away	LWLWL	61%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	19	18
Win %	65%	68%	61%
Points / game	77.5	76.2	79.0
Allowed / game	75.1	71.2	79.1
Point differential	+2.5	+4.9	-0.1
Avg total	152.6	147.4	158.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	32%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	77% (13)	80% (5)	75% (8)
Overtime %	5%	5%	6%

Cantu

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	57%
Home	WLWWW	78%
Away	WLLLW	37%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	18	19
Win %	57%	78%	37%
Points / game	74.8	77.3	72.4
Allowed / game	71.2	68.4	73.8
Point differential	+3.6	+8.8	-1.4
Avg total	146.0	145.7	146.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	50%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (14)	67% (6)	12% (8)
Overtime %	3%	0%	5%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Varese	35	27	8	77%	84.0	77.0	+7.0
3	Sassari	37	25	12	68%	88.1	82.6	+5.5
4	Virtus Roma	37	24	13	65%	77.5	75.1	+2.5
5	Siena	37	22	15	59%	77.4	73.4	+4.0
6	Olimpia Milano	37	22	15	59%	80.9	77.2	+3.7
7	Cantu	37	21	16	57%	74.8	71.2	+3.6
8	Reggiana	37	21	16	57%	76.5	73.2	+3.3
9	Venezia	35	17	18	49%	78.7	79.3	-0.6
10	Cremona	30	13	17	43%	79.9	80.4	-0.5
11	Avellino	30	13	17	43%	76.5	81.0	-4.6
12	Caserta	30	13	17	43%	72.1	77.0	-4.9
13	Brindisi	30	11	19	37%	81.4	82.8	-1.4
14	Sutor Montegranaro	30	11	19	37%	83.0	85.7	-2.7
15	Pesaro	30	10	20	33%	74.8	79.4	-4.6
16	Virtus Bologna	30	10	20	33%	75.0	80.2	-5.2
17	Biella	30	6	24	20%	72.3	83.7	-11.5
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Virtus Roma	16	14	14	22	16	82
Cantu	20	22	14	10	9	75

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Cantu Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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