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Virtus Roma vs Cantu Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 15:30
Postponed
Position#15
Record7-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game85.5
Virtus Roma
Italy
vs
Cantu
Italy
Position#11
Record9-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game79.0
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Cantu
28 Mar 2021
VRO v KAN
upcoming
11 Mar 2020
VRO v KAN
upcoming
10 May 2015
VRO75
KAN78
24 May 2014
VRO74
KAN70
03 Nov 2013
VRO80
KAN82
06 Jun 2013
VRO89
KAN70
02 Jun 2013
VRO66
KAN77
27 May 2013
VRO74
KAN68
24 May 2013
VRO82
KAN75
07 Oct 2012
VRO70
KAN84
27 Nov 2011
VRO91
KAN74
31 Oct 2010
VRO66
KAN78
29 Nov 2009
VRO70
KAN81
10 May 2009
VRO77
KAN64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
92-103
92
103
-11
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
92-95
92
95
-3
A08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
17-22
13-15
28-15
15-25
13-22
12-16
13-20
17-10
26-30
21-18
13-21
19-31
22-27
25-16
22-22
14-22
15-28
21-21
18-26
15-20
20-12
23-23
18-21
22-32
29-26
24-22
17-23
21-21
27-15
14-25
18-20
18-22
23-19
16-28
35-26
19-24
16-30
27-19
26-20
170.4Avg total
80.7Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.585.5164.0-7.032%
Season at home (11)76.783.2159.9-6.536%
Season away (11)80.387.7168.0-7.527%
Last 10 (10)80.789.7170.4-9.010%
Last 5 (5)86.692.0178.6-5.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.587.8166.3-9.420%
vs Similar (5)75.275.2150.4+0.040%
vs Weaker (5)88.275.4163.6+12.8100%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
96-86
96
86
+10
A22/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
23-21
17-12
20-20
20-17
15-24
21-17
21-16
20-27
33-23
20-17
23-19
21-17
27-18
17-13
22-24
28-23
18-27
19-31
17-12
22-19
26-17
13-26
28-21
21-24
22-23
29-20
12-17
18-18
17-28
12-19
26-20
22-21
17-20
21-16
21-20
16-17
20-21
19-15
16-26
163.1Avg total
82.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.779.0155.7-2.345%
Season at home (10)78.581.5160.0-3.040%
Season away (10)74.876.5151.3-1.750%
Last 10 (10)82.280.9163.1+1.360%
Last 5 (5)81.283.4164.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.583.6161.1-6.136%
vs Similar (11)81.379.3160.5+2.064%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)78.874.2153.0+4.660%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
Virtus RomaCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H07/03
Lega A
86.6Avg total
39.8Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.283.6-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.741.782.3-1.067%-
Last 30 away (15)40.144.884.9-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.846.886.6-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.286.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.546.084.5-7.530%-
vs Similar (5)42.835.478.2+7.480%-
vs Weaker (5)45.639.885.4+5.880%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H08/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A22/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A05/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A09/02
Lega A
83.9Avg total
42.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.180.9+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.580.5-0.433%-
Last 30 away (15)41.739.781.3+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.983.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.681.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.141.982.0-1.929%-
vs Similar (11)41.038.979.9+2.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.837.480.2+5.480%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.3
54.6%
52.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.7
32.1%
35.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.511.3
68.5%
73.6%11.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.024.3
63.9%
52.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.0
70.2%
73.6%12.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
LLLLLLLLLW
Cantu
LWLLWLWWWW
#15
League position
#11
-9.5
Net rating
+10.5
107.4
Offensive rating
128.2
116.9
Defensive rating
117.8
52.5%
Effective FG%
59.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.9%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
38.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.1%
3-point %
34.6%
51.6%
Assist %
43.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 128.2Defence116.9 · 117.8Shooting52.5% · 59.1%3-point %32.1% · 34.6%Ball care16.9% · 15.9%Off. rebounds29.2% · 38.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Virtus Roma wins
3
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
10/11/19Cantu v Virtus Roma74-76
10/05/15Virtus Roma v Cantu75-78
11/01/15Cantu v Virtus Roma60-70
24/05/14Virtus Roma v Cantu74-70 OT
22/05/14Cantu v Virtus Roma62-64
20/05/14Cantu v Virtus Roma71-75
16/02/14Cantu v Virtus Roma83-80
03/11/13Virtus Roma v Cantu80-82 OT
06/06/13Virtus Roma v Cantu89-70
04/06/13Cantu v Virtus Roma69-74
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HSassari88-93
08/02/20AFortitudo Bologna92-95
02/02/20HPistoia80-81
26/01/20ACremona92-103
19/01/20ABrindisi81-88 OT
12/01/20HVirtus Bologna68-97
29/12/19AReggiana88-96
26/12/19AVenezia77-79
22/12/19HBrescia53-83
14/12/19ATrento88-82
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20ATrento71-79
02/02/20HVenezia81-77
25/01/20AReggiana73-85
12/01/20HBrindisi92-93 OT
05/01/20AOlimpia Milano89-83
29/12/19HBrescia82-93
26/12/19APesaro87-72
22/12/19ATrieste96-86
15/12/19HTreviso77-74
08/12/19HVarese74-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%36%27%
Points / game78.576.780.3
Allowed / game85.583.287.7
Point differential-7.0-6.5-7.5
Avg total164.0159.9168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Cantu
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWWLLW40%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game76.778.574.8
Allowed / game79.081.576.5
Point differential-2.4-3.0-1.7
Avg total155.7160.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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