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Pistoia vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 67-81
19-22 16-19 17-24 15-16
Position#16
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game87.7
Pistoia
Italy
vs
Virtus Roma 🏆
Italy
Position#15
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game85.0
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Pistoia v Virtus Roma
12 Oct 2019
PIS67
VRO81
30 Nov 2014
PIS94
VRO84
29 Dec 2013
PIS76
VRO85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Brescia
#12
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 97
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
78-67
78
67
+11
71avg 97
A07/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
78-81
78
81
-3
67avg 97
H14/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A20/04
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
200avg 97
H27/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
70-98
70
98
-28
57avg 97
A05/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
73-88
73
88
-15
54avg 97
H12/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
75-88
75
88
-13
61avg 97
A25/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
61avg 97
H29/09
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
72-87
72
87
-15
69avg 97
A06/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
13-22
21-24
18-25
22-11
23-22
16-17
17-17
14-18
23-20
20-20
21-23
21-24
17-16
18-24
17-18
25-19
16-22
14-17
19-26
14-18
13-22
23-28
20-30
22-20
22-25
17-33
12-10
19-19
18-25
17-24
21-20
12-18
18-24
23-20
25-26
9-15
24-26
23-22
16-24
160.0Avg total
75.0Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.087.7162.7-12.70%
Season at home (1)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
Season away (2)73.587.5161.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)75.085.0160.0-10.010%
Last 5 (5)73.689.8163.4-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)74.983.0157.9-8.121%
vs Similar ◀ (1)77.081.0158.0-4.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
NPC Rieti
#6
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
A17/03
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
W
91-81
91
81
+10
no box
H31/03
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
L
68-85
68
85
-17
no box
A07/04
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H14/04
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
W
88-83
88
83
+5
no box
A20/04
A2 - West
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
77-77
77
77
+0
no box
H28/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
no box
A01/05
A2 East
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-74
67
74
-7
58avg 69
A25/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
63-87
63
87
-24
53avg 69
H29/09
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
96avg 69
H06/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
29-16
18-16
3-25
26-21
27-28
19-17
19-15
13-21
23-20
18-25
14-19
29-19
20-17
24-9
18-19
20-22
22-20
24-14
22-27
17-13
26-25
16-18
18-21
11-27
27-14
21-25
23-16
16-17
13-23
23-24
15-10
14-27
13-16
22-26
14-18
23-26
27-23
21-23
26-22
162.6Avg total
80.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.785.0160.7-9.333%
Season at home (2)80.090.5170.5-10.550%
Season away (1)67.074.0141.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)80.781.9162.6-1.240%
Last 5 (5)80.887.0167.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.887.0167.8-6.220%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.178.0158.1+2.164%
vs Weaker (11)87.679.5167.1+8.273%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
PistoiaVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A07/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H14/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A20/04
Lega A
Cantu
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A05/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H12/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A25/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H29/09
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A06/10
Lega A
77.4Avg total
37.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.942.080.9-3.228%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.941.279.1-3.321%-
Last 30 away (15)39.742.882.5-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.277.4-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)34.242.476.6-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)38.641.980.5-3.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)46.046.092.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NPC Rieti
#6
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A17/03
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H31/03
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/04
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H14/04
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A20/04
A2 - West
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H28/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/05
A2 East
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H29/09
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H06/10
Lega A
82.0Avg total
41.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.281.3+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.880.5+2.973%-
Last 30 away (15)40.641.582.1-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.982.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.279.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.442.279.6-4.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.439.279.6+1.250%-
vs Weaker (11)43.740.584.2+3.364%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.016.1
44.7%
52.0%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.3
33.3%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.117.1
71.0%
73.6%17.1
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.716.0
49.0%
52.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.7
39.5%
35.1%32.0
🏀 Free throws15.711.7
74.5%
73.6%11.7
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLLLLLWL
Virtus Roma
WLLLLWWLWL
#16
League position
#15
-13.3
Net rating
-10.7
99.0
Offensive rating
100.8
112.3
Defensive rating
111.4
46.9%
Effective FG%
53.6%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.6%
Turnover %
22.1%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.3%
3-point %
39.5%
50.0%
Assist %
56.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 100.8Defence112.3 · 111.4Shooting46.9% · 53.6%3-point %33.3% · 39.5%Ball care16.6% · 22.1%Off. rebounds24.5% · 29.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Pistoia   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pistoia wins
2
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
22/03/15Virtus Roma v Pistoia70-63
30/11/14Pistoia v Virtus Roma94-84
26/04/14Virtus Roma v Pistoia75-87
29/12/13Pistoia v Virtus Roma76-85
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/19ATreviso72-87
29/09/19HVirtus Bologna78-88
25/09/19ATrento75-88
12/05/19HAvellino73-88
05/05/19AVarese70-98
27/04/19HCantu74-84
20/04/19ATrento73-82
14/04/19HTorino78-81
07/04/19AVirtus Bologna78-67
31/03/19ABrescia79-87
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/19HCremona97-94
29/09/19HBrindisi63-87
25/09/19AVirtus Bologna67-74
01/05/19AFortitudo Bologna100-103 OT
28/04/19HFortitudo Bologna77-77
20/04/19ALegnano88-83
14/04/19HScafati91-64
07/04/19ATreviglio68-85
31/03/19HAgrigento91-81
17/03/19ANPC Rieti65-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.078.073.5
Allowed / game87.788.087.5
Point differential-12.7-10.0-14.0
Avg total162.7166.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game75.780.067.0
Allowed / game85.090.574.0
Point differential-9.3-10.5-7.0
Avg total160.7170.5141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sassari330100%83.068.0+15.0
2 Virtus Bologna330100%79.071.7+7.3
3 Varese32167%75.765.3+10.3
4 Brindisi32167%79.770.0+9.7
5 Olimpia Milano32167%76.066.3+9.7
6 Trento32167%81.775.7+6.0
7 Brescia32167%80.378.3+2.0
8 Fortitudo Bologna32167%76.379.0-2.7
9 Cremona21150%91.592.0-0.5
10 Cantu21150%72.078.0-6.0
11 Reggiana31233%83.383.0+0.3
12 Venezia31233%76.779.0-2.3
13 Treviso31233%75.778.7-3.0
14 Virtus Roma31233%75.785.0-9.3
15 Pistoia3030%75.087.7-12.7
16 Pesaro2020%75.589.5-14.0
17 Trieste3030%69.386.0-16.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1916171567
Virtus Roma2219241681
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