Virtus Roma vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2012

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 73-77 (OT)

18-20 17-15 10-10 17-17 11-15

Position#13

Record7-8

FormLWWLW

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game81.5

Virtus Roma

Pesaro 🏆

Position#7

Record8-6

FormWWLWW

Points / game73.6

Allowed / game74.6

Lega ARound 16

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Pesaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pesaro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#11

85-78

H13/11

Lega A

Sassari

68-80

-12

A19/11

Lega A

Cantu

91-74

+17

H27/11

Lega A

Caserta

#15

82-89

-7

H03/12

Lega A

Treviso

#14

79-93

-14

A10/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

96-99 OT

-3

H18/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

67-64

A27/12

Lega A

Venezia

89-80

H30/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

75-83

-8

A03/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

93-92

A08/01

Lega A

24-17

13-20

22-14

26-27

15-29

17-10

17-23

19-18

18-17

27-14

17-10

29-33

20-15

19-17

19-21

24-36

15-24

13-23

19-17

32-29

22-24

23-19

22-27

17-14

11-16

16-17

18-9

22-22

28-15

12-24

28-20

21-21

19-21

15-23

24-25

17-14

23-27

19-17

26-17

25-31

165.7Avg total

82.5Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	79.7	81.5	161.3	-1.8	47%
Season at home (7)	85.0	80.9	165.9	+4.1	57%
Season away (8)	75.1	82.1	157.2	-7.0	38%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	83.2	165.7	-0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	83.6	167.6	+0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	73.0	78.0	151.0	-5.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	80.1	79.2	159.3	+0.8	56%
vs Weaker (6)	78.3	75.3	153.7	+3.0	50%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#15

82-76

A12/11

Lega A

Treviso

#14

83-73

+10

H20/11

Lega A

Avellino

#10

72-82

-10

H27/11

Lega A

Teramo

#17

62-82

-20

A04/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

68-71

-3

H11/12

Lega A

Cremona

#11

81-78

A18/12

Lega A

Varese

72-68

H27/12

Lega A

Sassari

83-84

-1

A30/12

Lega A

Siena

78-75

A03/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

86-77

H08/01

Lega A

20-21

20-16

21-20

21-19

23-12

18-21

16-13

26-27

14-18

17-24

21-14

20-26

18-28

15-21

17-13

12-20

15-12

19-12

17-23

17-24

15-16

22-19

22-21

22-22

21-18

15-23

17-13

19-14

16-24

26-17

23-22

18-21

16-17

18-13

24-22

20-23

27-19

19-24

23-19

17-15

153.3Avg total

76.7Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	73.6	74.6	148.2	-1.1	57%
Season at home (7)	72.6	72.6	145.1	+0.0	57%
Season away (7)	74.6	76.7	151.3	-2.1	57%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	76.6	153.3	+0.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	76.4	156.4	+3.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	68.8	73.4	142.1	-4.6	50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	73.2	74.6	147.8	-1.4	47%
vs Weaker (2)	78.0	58.5	136.5	+19.5	100%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	17.3	36.7	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.7	40.6	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	20.0	37.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.1	19.4	39.6	+0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.5	19.3	36.8	-1.8	17%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	16.9	36.2	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	20.1	36.9	-3.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.8	19.4	35.1	-3.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.6	17.9	36.6	+0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	18.6	35.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	17.8	36.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	19.3	35.5	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	18.4	35.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	16.2	19.4	35.6	-3.2	28%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	16.0	35.3	+3.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	17.1	36.0	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.2	16.5	33.8	+0.8	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	14.0	35.0	+7.0	100%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#11

37-37

H13/11

Lega A

Sassari

32-39

-7

A19/11

Lega A

Cantu

45-31

+14

H27/11

Lega A

Caserta

#15

39-32

H03/12

Lega A

Treviso

#14

28-47

-19

A10/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

45-43

H18/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

27-33

-6

A27/12

Lega A

Venezia

40-39

H30/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

34-44

-10

A03/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

42-44

-2

A08/01

Lega A

75.8Avg total

36.9Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	38.1	74.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.6	35.1	72.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.0	41.1	76.1	-6.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	38.9	75.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	40.6	78.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.7	38.7	74.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.3	38.8	75.2	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.8	35.3	72.2	+1.5	67%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#15

40-37

A12/11

Lega A

Treviso

#14

41-33

H20/11

Lega A

Avellino

#10

31-42

-11

H27/11

Lega A

Teramo

#17

33-49

-16

A04/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

34-24

+10

H11/12

Lega A

Cremona

#11

37-35

A18/12

Lega A

Varese

36-41

-5

H27/12

Lega A

Sassari

42-41

A30/12

Lega A

Siena

34-30

A03/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

46-43

H08/01

Lega A

74.9Avg total

37.4Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	36.0	72.6	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	34.8	72.3	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.6	37.3	72.9	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	37.5	74.9	-0.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	38.0	77.0	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	33.0	35.9	68.9	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	37.6	36.4	74.0	+1.3	68%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.5	32.5	74.0	+9.0	100%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.9	37.5	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	16.9	37.3	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.6	43.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	17.2	36.5	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.4	17.8	37.3	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	16.9	34.1	+0.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	15.0	32.7	+2.7	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	18.8	35.5	-2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.1	16.8	32.9	-0.6	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	17.7	17.8	35.5	-0.2	63%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	9.5	25.5	+6.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.6	41.6	+0.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	20.7	42.3	+1.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.5	40.9	+0.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	24.5	47.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-3.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	17.9	20.4	38.3	-2.5	37%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	16.5	37.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	38.5	79.1	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	37.5	79.7	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	39.5	78.6	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	42.8	87.2	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	40.0	84.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.3	39.3	76.7	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	41.4	37.7	79.2	+3.7	72%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.5	40.0	81.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	37.4	73.0	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.9	35.3	72.3	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	39.4	73.7	-5.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	39.1	78.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	38.4	79.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.8	37.5	73.2	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	35.6	38.2	73.8	-2.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.5	26.0	62.5	+10.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
30/01/11	Virtus Roma v Pesaro	85-53
24/10/10	Pesaro v Virtus Roma	76-69
14/03/10	Virtus Roma v Pesaro	70-61
15/11/09	Pesaro v Virtus Roma	73-84
15/03/09	Virtus Roma v Pesaro	98-76
23/11/08	Pesaro v Virtus Roma	106-93

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/12	A	Casale Monferrato	93-92
03/01/12	A	Olimpia Milano	75-83
30/12/11	H	Venezia	89-80
27/12/11	A	Teramo	67-64
18/12/11	H	Avellino	96-99 OT
10/12/11	A	Treviso	79-93
03/12/11	H	Caserta	82-89
27/11/11	H	Cantu	91-74
19/11/11	A	Sassari	68-80
13/11/11	H	Cremona	85-78

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/12	H	Virtus Bologna	86-77
03/01/12	A	Siena	78-75
30/12/11	A	Sassari	83-84
27/12/11	H	Varese	72-68
18/12/11	A	Cremona	81-78
11/12/11	H	Sutor Montegranaro	68-71
04/12/11	A	Teramo	62-82
27/11/11	H	Avellino	72-82
20/11/11	H	Treviso	83-73
12/11/11	A	Caserta	82-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	47%
Home	WWLLW	57%
Away	LLWLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	47%	57%	38%
Points / game	79.7	85.0	75.1
Allowed / game	81.5	80.9	82.1
Point differential	-1.8	+4.1	-7.0
Avg total	161.3	165.9	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	20%	29%	12%

Pesaro

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	57%
Home	WLLWW	57%
Away	WLWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	57%	57%	57%
Points / game	73.6	72.6	74.6
Allowed / game	74.6	72.6	76.7
Point differential	-1.1	+0.0	-2.1
Avg total	148.2	145.1	151.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	67% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	14	11	3	79%	79.0	70.2	+8.8
2	Olimpia Milano	14	10	4	71%	76.2	71.4	+4.8
3	Cantu	14	9	5	64%	73.9	68.4	+5.5
4	Virtus Bologna	14	9	5	64%	79.4	77.6	+1.9
5	Venezia	14	8	6	57%	77.3	75.8	+1.5
6	Avellino	14	8	6	57%	81.1	80.6	+0.6
7	Pesaro	14	8	6	57%	73.6	74.6	-1.1
8	Biella	14	7	7	50%	74.5	73.7	+0.8
9	Varese	14	7	7	50%	76.4	77.4	-1.1
10	Sassari	14	7	7	50%	78.1	79.9	-1.9
11	Virtus Roma	15	7	8	47%	79.7	81.5	-1.8
12	Caserta	14	6	8	43%	78.2	78.6	-0.4
13	Sutor Montegranaro	14	5	9	36%	74.8	77.1	-2.3
14	Treviso	14	5	9	36%	75.2	77.6	-2.4
15	Cremona	15	5	10	33%	71.7	77.7	-6.1
16	Casale Monferrato	14	4	10	29%	73.6	76.2	-2.6
17	Teramo	14	4	10	29%	71.9	75.6	-3.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Virtus Roma	18	17	10	17	11	73
Pesaro	20	15	10	17	15	77

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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