Vitoria vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Oct 2018

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 71-74

16-14 23-20 15-18 17-22

Position#10

Record2-1

FormLLWWL

Points / game87.3

Allowed / game86.0

Vitoria

Benfica 🏆

Position#2

Record3-0

FormLWLWW

Points / game86.7

Allowed / game67.7

LPBRound 4

Other2018-19

Meetings · Vitoria v Benfica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

86-84

A13/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

100-104 OT

100

104

-4

H19/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

89-76

+13

H20/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

94-86

A23/05

LPB

Oliveirense

70-82

-12

A26/05

LPB

Oliveirense

68-99

-31

A27/05

LPB

Oliveirense

63-83

-20

H01/06

LPB

Galitos

88-83

A06/10

LPB

Illiabum

97-90

H14/10

LPB

Esgueira

77-85

-8

A20/10

LPB

22-24

17-15

22-25

25-20

21-19

27-20

24-20

15-28

22-20

28-17

17-19

22-20

28-22

19-26

19-14

28-24

21-22

15-15

15-25

19-20

24-28

9-26

18-35

17-10

17-22

23-23

8-24

15-14

20-18

22-21

18-24

28-20

23-22

28-21

23-20

23-27

18-19

21-20

10-19

28-27

170.4Avg total

83.2Scored

87.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	87.3	86.0	173.3	+1.3	67%
Season at home (1)	97.0	90.0	187.0	+7.0	100%
Season away (2)	82.5	84.0	166.5	-1.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	87.2	170.4	-4.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	88.0	166.6	-9.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	79.2	90.3	169.5	-11.1	10%
vs Similar (15)	88.1	85.8	173.9	+2.3	53%
vs Weaker (5)	88.4	82.0	170.4	+6.4	60%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

79-90

-11

H25/05

LPB

FC Porto

77-75

H27/05

LPB

FC Porto

96-90

A01/06

LPB

FC Porto

74-91

-17

A03/06

LPB

FC Porto

90-96 OT

-6

H06/06

LPB

Sassari

66-100

100

-34

A03/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Terceira

#11

82-65

+17

H06/10

LPB

Sassari

92-111

111

-19

H10/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Esgueira

89-69

+20

A13/10

LPB

Lusitania

89-69

+20

H20/10

LPB

19-22

17-32

26-17

17-19

12-23

21-15

22-17

22-20

17-19

26-20

24-21

29-30

9-21

23-18

25-21

17-31

18-25

18-22

15-18

29-15

20-28

8-26

19-19

19-27

24-15

17-17

23-23

18-10

24-22

22-37

28-24

18-28

27-19

18-15

19-15

25-20

20-19

26-21

23-15

20-14

169.0Avg total

83.4Scored

85.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	86.7	67.7	154.3	+19.0	100%
Season at home (2)	85.5	67.0	152.5	+18.5	100%
Season away (1)	89.0	69.0	158.0	+20.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.4	85.6	169.0	-2.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	82.8	166.4	+0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	79.0	105.5	184.5	-26.5	0%
vs Similar (9)	83.6	86.1	169.7	-2.6	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	91.2	76.3	167.5	+14.8	89%

This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VitoriaBenfica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	21.4	45.3	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.8	19.8	44.6	+5.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.0	22.9	45.9	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	22.4	24.6	47.0	-2.2	30%	-
vs Similar (15)	23.6	20.1	43.7	+3.5	73%	-
vs Weaker (5)	27.4	19.2	46.6	+8.2	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	20.2	41.9	+1.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.6	43.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	25.0	47.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.3	22.0	39.3	-4.7	11%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.3	18.8	41.1	+3.5	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.0	39.7	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	20.6	38.2	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.7	20.2	38.9	-1.5	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	22.3	41.9	-2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	23.2	41.4	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	31.5	46.5	-16.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.2	16.9	38.1	+4.3	74%	-

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

39-39

A13/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

48-39

H19/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

50-37

+13

H20/05

LPB

CAB Madeira

47-48

-1

A23/05

LPB

Oliveirense

36-37

-1

A26/05

LPB

Oliveirense

33-54

-21

A27/05

LPB

Oliveirense

40-45

-5

H01/06

LPB

Galitos

42-39

A06/10

LPB

Illiabum

51-43

H14/10

LPB

Esgueira

39-39

A20/10

LPB

84.5Avg total

42.5Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	41.5	84.9	+2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.6	39.2	85.9	+7.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.7	43.4	84.1	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	42.0	84.5	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	41.1	44.8	85.9	-3.7	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	43.4	40.2	83.6	+3.2	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	48.4	38.6	87.0	+9.8	60%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

36-54

-18

H25/05

LPB

FC Porto

33-38

-5

H27/05

LPB

FC Porto

43-39

A01/06

LPB

FC Porto

32-39

-7

A03/06

LPB

FC Porto

36-47

-11

H06/06

LPB

Sassari

28-54

-26

A03/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Terceira

#11

41-32

H06/10

LPB

Sassari

46-59

-13

H10/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Esgueira

45-34

+11

A13/10

LPB

Lusitania

46-40

H20/10

LPB

82.2Avg total

38.6Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	39.3	80.2	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.2	40.0	82.2	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.2	38.4	77.5	+0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	43.6	82.2	-5.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	43.8	85.0	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.0	56.5	93.5	-19.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.3	43.1	79.4	-6.8	11%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	43.5	35.7	79.2	+7.8	84%	-

This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	22.8	42.5	-3.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	23.3	42.5	-4.1	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	22.4	42.4	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	22.5	39.9	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	24.4	39.8	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.6	27.1	45.7	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.7	20.9	41.5	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	20%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.0	20.3	43.3	+2.7	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	19.2	41.3	+3.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.0	41.4	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	21.5	45.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.9	20.0	42.9	+2.9	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.5	42.9	-0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.6	39.8	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.4	22.2	45.6	+1.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.6	41.8	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.1	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	23.2	23.6	46.8	-0.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	20.6	43.8	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.3	20.1	44.4	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.9	21.2	43.1	+0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	27.5	46.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	24.3	22.2	46.6	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.3	19.1	42.3	+4.2	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	44.3	85.4	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	43.9	82.3	-5.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.5	44.6	88.1	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	43.5	82.9	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	44.0	81.6	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	38.1	45.5	83.6	-7.4	10%	-
vs Similar (15)	43.9	44.5	88.3	-0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.8	41.2	80.0	-2.4	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	40.4	86.3	+5.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	47.3	40.4	87.7	+6.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	44.1	40.3	84.4	+3.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	40.4	84.2	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	39.0	81.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	49.0	91.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	46.1	41.2	87.3	+4.9	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	46.2	39.1	85.3	+7.2	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vitoria wins

Benfica wins

Date	Game	Score
27/04/18	Benfica v Vitoria	98-86
30/03/18	Vitoria v Benfica	87-77
16/12/17	Vitoria v Benfica	100-98 OT
08/10/17	Benfica v Vitoria	106-82
21/04/17	Benfica v Vitoria	80-76
12/03/17	Vitoria v Benfica	80-85
17/12/16	Vitoria v Benfica	68-65
12/10/16	Benfica v Vitoria	85-64
12/12/15	Vitoria v Benfica	73-79
06/12/15	Benfica v Vitoria	75-56

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/10/18	A	Esgueira	77-85
14/10/18	H	Illiabum	97-90
06/10/18	A	Galitos	88-83
01/06/18	H	Oliveirense	63-83
27/05/18	A	Oliveirense	68-99
26/05/18	A	Oliveirense	70-82
23/05/18	A	CAB Madeira	94-86
20/05/18	H	CAB Madeira	89-76
19/05/18	H	CAB Madeira	100-104 OT
13/05/18	A	CAB Madeira	86-84

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/10/18	H	Lusitania	89-69
13/10/18	A	Esgueira	89-69
10/10/18	H	Sassari	92-111
06/10/18	H	Terceira	82-65
03/10/18	A	Sassari	66-100
06/06/18	H	FC Porto	90-96 OT
03/06/18	A	FC Porto	74-91
01/06/18	A	FC Porto	96-90
27/05/18	H	FC Porto	77-75
25/05/18	H	FC Porto	79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWL	67%
Home	W	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	67%	100%	50%
Points / game	87.3	97.0	82.5
Allowed / game	86.0	90.0	84.0
Point differential	+1.3	+7.0	-1.5
Avg total	173.3	187.0	166.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Benfica

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	86.7	85.5	89.0
Allowed / game	67.7	67.0	69.0
Point differential	+19.0	+18.5	+20.0
Avg total	154.3	152.5	158.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Oliveirense	3	3	0	100%	87.0	67.7	+19.3
2	Benfica	3	3	0	100%	86.7	67.7	+19.0
3	FC Porto	3	2	1	67%	82.7	75.7	+7.0
4	Vitoria	3	2	1	67%	87.3	86.0	+1.3
5	Esgueira	3	2	1	67%	79.0	82.0	-3.0
6	Galitos	2	1	1	50%	92.0	89.0	+3.0
7	Ovarense	3	1	2	33%	73.3	75.3	-2.0
8	Illiabum	3	1	2	33%	87.3	90.0	-2.7
9	Terceira	3	1	2	33%	75.0	78.0	-3.0
10	Lusitania	3	1	2	33%	71.0	78.7	-7.7
11	CAB Madeira	2	0	2	0%	73.0	89.0	-16.0
12	Imortal	3	0	3	0%	77.0	96.7	-19.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vitoria	16	23	15	17	71
Benfica	14	20	18	22	74

← all games of the day

Vitoria vs Benfica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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