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Vitoria vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 91-71
19-18 22-15 22-14 28-24
Position#7
Record6-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game80.1
Vitoria 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#1
Record9-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game65.9
PortugalLPBRound 13· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vitoria v Benfica
17 Apr 2027
VITO v BEN
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
VITO76
BEN87
14 May 2025
VITO68
BEN88
08 Feb 2025
VITO90
BEN95
04 Jan 2025
VITO69
BEN89
14 May 2024
VITO71
BEN93
20 Jan 2024
VITO91
BEN71
25 Nov 2022
VITO79
BEN106
17 Dec 2021
VITO68
BEN108
31 Jan 2021
VITO66
BEN89
28 Dec 2019
VITO83
BEN90
27 Oct 2018
VITO71
BEN74
30 Mar 2018
VITO87
BEN77
16 Dec 2017
VITO100
BEN98
12 Mar 2017
VITO80
BEN85
17 Dec 2016
VITO68
BEN65
12 Dec 2015
VITO73
BEN79
30 May 2015
VITO63
BEN71
21 Feb 2015
VITO77
BEN69
23 May 2014
VITO72
BEN88
09 Nov 2013
VITO80
BEN70
09 Dec 2012
VITO74
BEN87
12 Nov 2011
VITO60
BEN93
24 Oct 2010
VITO76
BEN71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#12
W
75-70
75
70
+5
66avg 71
H28/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
72-94
72
94
-22
60avg 71
A04/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
82-79
82
79
+3
76avg 71
A12/11
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
L
74-83 OT
74
83
-9
no box
H18/11
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
74-82
74
82
-8
62avg 71
A25/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
72-64
72
64
+8
65avg 71
H01/12
LPB
Esgueira
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
50avg 71
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
82-56
82
56
+26
79avg 71
H16/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 71
A23/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
90-91
90
91
-1
77avg 71
A06/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
20-24
15-12
23-16
13-28
15-25
23-24
21-17
19-20
27-15
24-22
12-22
17-24
11-19
17-6
16-12
26-18
15-20
16-20
17-24
25-11
14-15
18-24
15-14
29-23
7-22
16-13
14-20
17-9
19-13
24-22
22-12
24-13
22-26
19-18
35-23
26-29
23-17
17-21
24-24
156.4Avg total
78.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.880.1160.8+0.750%
Season at home (6)78.573.5152.0+5.067%
Season away (6)83.086.7169.7-3.733%
Last 10 (10)78.777.7156.4+1.050%
Last 5 (5)82.073.8155.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)81.7104.0185.7-22.30%
vs Similar (13)90.589.8180.3+0.854%
vs Weaker (10)86.075.1161.1+10.990%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
PAOK
#32
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 81
A29/11
Champions League
Lusitania
#12
W
94-51
94
51
+43
99avg 81
H02/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#15
W
71-47
71
47
+24
no box
H08/12
Taca de Portugal
Galatasaray
#20
L
63-87
63
87
-24
50avg 81
H13/12
Champions League
CD Povoa
#6
W
83-58
83
58
+25
77avg 81
A16/12
LPB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
68-97
68
97
-29
58avg 81
A20/12
Champions League
Portimonense
#11
W
100-67
100
67
+33
109avg 81
H30/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
77-55
77
55
+22
73avg 81
A07/01
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
95-74
95
74
+21
90avg 81
A10/01
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#6
W
85-53
85
53
+32
86avg 81
H13/01
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
15-25
15-16
22-21
21-20
27-16
22-7
24-8
12-12
17-15
20-5
22-15
16-13
18-18
19-30
10-26
18-15
20-21
22-12
23-10
24-25
9-27
20-21
15-24
22-19
28-16
35-16
15-16
17-17
22-9
22-16
16-13
22-18
31-23
19-17
23-16
16-12
24-17
29-6
16-18
147.5Avg total
81.0Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.265.9154.2+22.375%
Season at home (7)95.962.6158.4+33.386%
Season away (5)77.670.6148.2+7.060%
Last 10 (10)81.066.5147.5+14.570%
Last 5 (5)85.069.2154.2+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)71.586.2157.7-14.717%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.068.8157.7+20.276%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
VitoriaBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A04/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A12/11
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H18/11
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A25/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H01/12
LPB
Esgueira
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H16/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A06/01
LPB
77.5Avg total
38.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.485.4+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.341.386.7+4.073%-
Last 30 away (15)40.643.584.1-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.977.5-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.676.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.052.591.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (13)44.642.587.2+2.162%-
vs Weaker (10)43.935.979.8+8.090%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#32
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A29/11
Champions League
Lusitania
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H02/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#15
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H08/12
Taca de Portugal
Galatasaray
#20
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H13/12
Champions League
CD Povoa
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A16/12
LPB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A20/12
Champions League
Portimonense
#11
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H30/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A07/01
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A10/01
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#6
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H13/01
Taca de Portugal
75.3Avg total
40.1Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.136.878.9+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.236.180.3+8.172%-
Last 30 away (12)39.037.976.9+1.158%-
Last 10 (10)40.135.275.3+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.679.6+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)36.342.578.8-6.217%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.236.079.1+7.276%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.4
48.1%
51.0%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.8
34.5%
33.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.713.2
67.0%
69.3%13.2
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.3
52.4%
51.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.8
36.4%
33.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.513.4
68.7%
69.3%13.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LWWLWLLWLW
Benfica
WWWWLWLWWL
#7
League position
#1
+6.5
Net rating
+20.3
105.1
Offensive rating
108.1
98.6
Defensive rating
87.8
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.4%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
18.9%
Turnover %
20.1%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.5%
3-point %
36.4%
57.8%
Assist %
71.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 108.1Defence98.6 · 87.8Shooting49.8% · 53.4%3-point %34.5% · 36.4%Ball care18.9% · 20.1%Off. rebounds33.7% · 33.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Vitoria   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vitoria wins
10
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
04/10/23Benfica v Vitoria107-66
14/02/23Benfica v Vitoria100-80
25/11/22Vitoria v Benfica79-106
07/05/22Benfica v Vitoria89-70
17/12/21Vitoria v Benfica68-108
05/10/21Benfica v Vitoria96-57
31/01/21Vitoria v Benfica66-89
06/01/21Benfica v Vitoria102-60
28/12/19Vitoria v Benfica83-90
05/10/19Benfica v Vitoria78-76
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AOvarense90-91
23/12/23AOliveirense100-80
16/12/23HGalomar82-56
09/12/23AEsgueira66-78
01/12/23HPortimonense72-64
25/11/23AImortal74-82
18/11/23HCD Povoa74-83 OT
12/11/23APortimonense82-79
04/11/23AFC Porto72-94
28/10/23HLusitania75-70
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HPortimonense85-53
10/01/24AGalomar95-74
07/01/24AOliveirense77-55
30/12/23HPortimonense100-67
20/12/23AHapoel Jerusalem68-97
16/12/23ACD Povoa83-58
13/12/23HGalatasaray63-87
08/12/23HOliveirense71-47
02/12/23HLusitania94-51
29/11/23APAOK74-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game80.878.583.0
Allowed / game80.173.586.7
Point differential+0.7+5.0-3.7
Avg total160.8152.0169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Benfica
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game88.295.977.6
Allowed / game65.962.670.6
Point differential+22.3+33.3+7.0
Avg total154.2158.4148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%86%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1211192%87.273.6+13.7
2 Sporting CP1210283%93.982.2+11.8
3 Benfica129375%88.265.9+22.3
4 Oliveirense117464%77.475.0+2.4
5 Ovarense127558%76.978.8-1.8
6 Vitoria126650%80.880.1+0.7
7 CD Povoa125742%80.885.8-5.0
8 Imortal125742%76.982.1-5.2
9 Portimonense125742%71.878.2-6.5
10 Galomar123925%73.680.0-6.4
11 Esgueira1221017%73.785.9-12.2
12 Lusitania111109%73.688.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria1922222891
Benfica1815142471
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