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Vitoria vs Benfica Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game83.9
Vitoria
Portugal
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Benfica
Portugal
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game73.6
PortugalLPBRound 21· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vitoria v Benfica
17 Apr 2027
VITO v BEN
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
VITO76
BEN87
14 May 2025
VITO68
BEN88
08 Feb 2025
VITO90
BEN95
04 Jan 2025
VITO69
BEN89
14 May 2024
VITO71
BEN93
20 Jan 2024
VITO91
BEN71
25 Nov 2022
VITO79
BEN106
17 Dec 2021
VITO68
BEN108
31 Jan 2021
VITO66
BEN89
28 Dec 2019
VITO83
BEN90
27 Oct 2018
VITO71
BEN74
30 Mar 2018
VITO87
BEN77
16 Dec 2017
VITO100
BEN98
12 Mar 2017
VITO80
BEN85
17 Dec 2016
VITO68
BEN65
12 Dec 2015
VITO73
BEN79
30 May 2015
VITO63
BEN71
21 Feb 2015
VITO77
BEN69
23 May 2014
VITO72
BEN88
09 Nov 2013
VITO80
BEN70
09 Dec 2012
VITO74
BEN87
12 Nov 2011
VITO60
BEN93
24 Oct 2010
VITO76
BEN71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 64
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
71avg 64
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 64
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 64
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
72-91
72
91
-19
54avg 64
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
61avg 64
H24/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
57avg 64
H01/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
48-91
48
91
-43
no box
A07/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
no box
H13/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
23-15
29-30
20-25
14-28
17-20
24-18
34-30
29-18
15-12
22-17
18-27
14-18
17-24
25-21
27-15
21-17
17-20
9-30
24-20
12-20
18-23
22-26
20-22
24-21
19-13
15-20
16-18
18-12
21-16
14-23
15-24
10-21
11-34
12-22
15-14
16-23
10-26
17-23
22-21
159.1Avg total
74.7Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.783.9152.6-15.129%
Season at home (4)69.581.8151.2-12.225%
Season away (3)67.786.7154.3-19.033%
Last 10 (10)74.784.4159.1-9.740%
Last 5 (5)65.484.4149.8-19.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.588.8163.3-14.425%
vs Similar (6)89.587.2176.7+2.367%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.525%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Denizli Basket
#31
W
96-91
96
91
+5
87avg 84
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#4
W
92-67
92
67
+25
90avg 84
H17/10
LPB
BC Prievidza
#23
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 84
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#8
W
89-72
89
72
+17
87avg 84
A24/10
LPB
Geneva Lions
#17
L
90-93
90
93
-3
80avg 84
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Portimonense
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
83avg 84
A31/10
LPB
Absheron Lions
#45
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#12
W
112-78
112
78
+34
no box
H07/11
LPB
Bakken Bears
#22
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
W
69-62
69
62
+7
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
22-22
27-17
19-29
21-13
24-19
26-18
21-17
28-20
19-26
22-14
29-23
22-20
22-29
18-10
27-13
33-28
22-22
14-19
21-24
16-19
27-19
14-16
29-18
25-18
30-21
24-17
18-20
23-20
25-14
27-28
37-16
26-20
24-22
24-24
20-13
11-18
29-13
12-14
17-17
169.6Avg total
92.3Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.373.6161.9+14.786%
Season at home (4)89.269.5158.8+19.8100%
Season away (3)87.079.0166.0+8.067%
Last 10 (10)92.377.3169.6+15.090%
Last 5 (5)91.673.4165.0+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)93.090.5183.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)90.777.4168.1+13.378%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.8+4.8
VitoriaBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H01/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A07/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H13/11
LPB
74.5Avg total
34.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.082.6-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.339.079.3+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)38.947.586.4-8.614%-
Last 10 (10)34.739.874.5-5.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.841.873.6-10.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.543.080.5-5.535%-
vs Similar (6)44.742.787.3+2.050%-
vs Weaker (4)42.843.286.0-0.550%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denizli Basket
#31
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#4
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/10
LPB
BC Prievidza
#23
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#8
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A24/10
LPB
Geneva Lions
#17
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Portimonense
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A31/10
LPB
Absheron Lions
#45
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#12
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H07/11
LPB
Bakken Bears
#22
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H14/11
LPB
88.3Avg total
47.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.439.185.6+7.380%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.137.785.8+10.489%-
Last 30 away (12)43.941.285.2+2.767%-
Last 10 (10)47.740.688.3+7.190%-
Last 5 (5)47.236.884.0+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)49.047.596.5+1.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.338.684.9+7.778%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.1
46.7%
51.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.5
29.1%
31.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws26.816.4
61.2%
71.1%16.4
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.025.4
52.9%
51.1%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.0
31.7%
31.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.318.2
74.9%
71.1%18.2
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LLLWLLWWLW
Benfica
WWWWWLWWWW
#9
League position
#1
-5.3
Net rating
+8.7
83.7
Offensive rating
96.7
88.9
Defensive rating
88.0
45.6%
Effective FG%
51.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
14.7%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.1%
3-point %
31.7%
55.8%
Assist %
54.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence83.7 · 96.7Defence88.9 · 88.0Shooting45.6% · 51.2%3-point %29.1% · 31.7%Ball care14.7% · 13.4%Free throws0.39 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Vitoria   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vitoria wins
10
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26Benfica v Vitoria111-79
01/11/25Vitoria v Benfica76-87
14/05/25Vitoria v Benfica68-88
09/05/25Benfica v Vitoria99-87
26/04/25Benfica v Vitoria91-81
01/03/25Benfica v Vitoria85-68
08/02/25Vitoria v Benfica90-95
04/01/25Vitoria v Benfica69-89
14/05/24Vitoria v Benfica71-93
11/05/24Benfica v Vitoria81-53
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HFC Porto65-93
07/11/26ASporting CP48-91
01/11/26HCD Povoa68-75
24/10/26HPortimonense74-72
18/10/26ABraga72-91
10/10/26HOvarense71-87
03/10/26ACAB Madeira83-78
25/04/26HOliveirense84-74
18/04/26AVasco Da Gama89-96
11/04/26HEsgueira93-87
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCAB Madeira69-62
11/11/26HBakken Bears94-79
07/11/26HEsgueira112-78
04/11/26HAbsheron Lions97-76
31/10/26APortimonense86-72
28/10/26AGeneva Lions90-93
24/10/26ACA Queluz89-72
21/10/26HBC Prievidza98-83
17/10/26HOliveirense92-67
14/10/26HDenizli Basket96-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game68.769.567.7
Allowed / game83.981.886.7
Point differential-15.1-12.2-19.0
Avg total152.6151.2154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game88.389.287.0
Allowed / game73.669.579.0
Point differential+14.7+19.8+8.0
Avg total161.9158.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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