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Vitoria vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-89
18-21 14-20 17-30 20-18
Position#9
Record3-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record10-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game74.7
PortugalLPBRound 11· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vitoria v Benfica
17 Apr 2027
VITO v BEN
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
VITO76
BEN87
14 May 2025
VITO68
BEN88
08 Feb 2025
VITO90
BEN95
04 Jan 2025
VITO69
BEN89
14 May 2024
VITO71
BEN93
20 Jan 2024
VITO91
BEN71
25 Nov 2022
VITO79
BEN106
17 Dec 2021
VITO68
BEN108
31 Jan 2021
VITO66
BEN89
28 Dec 2019
VITO83
BEN90
27 Oct 2018
VITO71
BEN74
30 Mar 2018
VITO87
BEN77
16 Dec 2017
VITO100
BEN98
12 Mar 2017
VITO80
BEN85
17 Dec 2016
VITO68
BEN65
12 Dec 2015
VITO73
BEN79
30 May 2015
VITO63
BEN71
21 Feb 2015
VITO77
BEN69
23 May 2014
VITO72
BEN88
09 Nov 2013
VITO80
BEN70
09 Dec 2012
VITO74
BEN87
12 Nov 2011
VITO60
BEN93
24 Oct 2010
VITO76
BEN71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
63avg 69
A19/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
66avg 69
A25/10
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 69
H02/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
75avg 69
A13/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
62-67
62
67
-5
55avg 69
H16/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
78avg 69
H30/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
71-70
71
70
+1
62avg 69
A07/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
62avg 69
H15/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#11
W
94-72
94
72
+22
90avg 69
H18/12
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
L
90-92
90
92
-2
88avg 69
A21/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
19-18
16-23
28-23
22-27
18-21
24-22
12-23
12-18
23-20
21-24
23-20
29-29
18-14
19-19
20-17
25-11
14-20
12-23
11-13
27-26
16-11
19-17
24-19
19-14
20-22
17-18
15-16
21-19
11-21
29-21
14-17
15-22
25-16
28-12
26-22
17-23
30-20
31-16
12-33
159.3Avg total
79.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.380.2158.6-1.933%
Season at home (4)75.575.0150.5+0.525%
Season away (5)80.684.4165.0-3.840%
Last 10 (10)79.979.4159.3+0.540%
Last 5 (5)83.277.0160.2+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.688.3165.9-10.710%
vs Similar (9)78.979.1158.0-0.233%
vs Weaker (10)82.771.1153.8+11.680%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
92avg 81
A09/11
LPB
Tortona
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
66avg 81
A13/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#11
W
108-82
108
82
+26
108avg 81
H16/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 81
H30/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
98-77
98
77
+21
100avg 81
A07/12
LPB
Manresa
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
66avg 81
H10/12
Champions League
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
91-68
91
68
+23
93avg 81
H14/12
LPB
Chemnitz
#41
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 81
H17/12
Champions League
CD Povoa
#10
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 81
A22/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
81-64
81
64
+17
74avg 81
H29/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
27-23
25-17
22-26
19-15
26-20
16-22
10-20
28-16
30-17
28-27
22-22
17-15
26-16
25-18
25-26
23-17
29-21
22-20
24-19
23-15
21-18
19-24
17-34
22-23
25-9
21-14
23-22
20-14
25-17
14-23
20-14
21-22
13-15
23-11
22-27
22-22
19-13
24-12
16-17
163.5Avg total
87.3Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.874.7165.5+16.1100%
Season at home (5)91.073.2164.2+17.8100%
Season away (5)90.676.2166.8+14.4100%
Last 10 (10)87.376.2163.5+11.180%
Last 5 (5)82.073.2155.2+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.584.2159.7-8.733%
vs Similar (4)74.875.8150.5-1.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.569.4157.9+19.1100%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +7.2+7.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +7.2+7.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
VitoriaBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A19/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A25/10
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H02/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A13/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H16/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H30/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A07/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/12
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A21/12
LPB
79.4Avg total
39.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.278.1-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.237.974.1-1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)41.540.682.1+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.679.4+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.879.0+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.243.281.4-5.030%-
vs Similar (9)37.739.076.7-1.356%-
vs Weaker (10)40.934.975.8+6.080%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A09/11
LPB
Tortona
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A13/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#11
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H16/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H30/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A07/12
LPB
Manresa
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/12
Champions League
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H14/12
LPB
Chemnitz
#41
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H17/12
Champions League
CD Povoa
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A22/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H29/12
LPB
80.2Avg total
45.5Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.336.078.3+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.433.978.3+10.481%-
Last 30 away (14)40.038.478.4+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)45.534.780.2+10.890%-
Last 5 (5)42.233.675.8+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.840.383.2+2.567%-
vs Similar (4)39.838.878.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.633.576.2+9.179%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.7
47.4%
51.2%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.110.9
32.9%
32.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.313.1
67.9%
69.2%13.1
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.6
56.3%
51.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.8
35.4%
32.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.513.3
61.9%
69.2%13.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LWLWWLWLLL
Benfica
WWWWLWWWLW
#9
League position
#1
+1.0
Net rating
+15.2
101.5
Offensive rating
112.7
100.5
Defensive rating
97.5
48.4%
Effective FG%
54.8%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
19.9%
Turnover %
17.5%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.9%
3-point %
35.4%
57.2%
Assist %
70.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 112.7Defence100.5 · 97.5Shooting48.4% · 54.8%3-point %32.9% · 35.4%Ball care19.9% · 17.5%Off. rebounds33.3% · 32.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Vitoria   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vitoria wins
9
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
14/05/24Vitoria v Benfica71-93
11/05/24Benfica v Vitoria81-53
20/01/24Vitoria v Benfica91-71
04/10/23Benfica v Vitoria107-66
14/02/23Benfica v Vitoria100-80
25/11/22Vitoria v Benfica79-106
07/05/22Benfica v Vitoria89-70
17/12/21Vitoria v Benfica68-108
05/10/21Benfica v Vitoria96-57
31/01/21Vitoria v Benfica66-89
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ASporting CP90-92
18/12/24HCD Povoa94-72
15/12/24HCD Povoa75-78
07/12/24AGalitos Barreiro71-70
30/11/24HImortal86-73
16/11/24HOvarense62-67
13/11/24ACA Queluz86-79
02/11/24HEsgueira79-82
25/10/24AOliveirense76-93
19/10/24AFC Porto80-88
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HSporting CP81-64
22/12/24ACD Povoa79-75
17/12/24HChemnitz79-68
14/12/24HGalitos Barreiro91-68
10/12/24HManresa80-91
07/12/24AOvarense98-77
30/11/24HOliveirense93-75
16/11/24HCA Queluz108-82
13/11/24ATortona71-77
09/11/24AEsgueira93-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game78.375.580.6
Allowed / game80.275.084.4
Point differential-1.9+0.5-3.8
Avg total158.6150.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.891.090.6
Allowed / game74.773.276.2
Point differential+16.1+17.8+14.4
Avg total165.5164.2166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica10100100%90.874.7+16.1
2 FC Porto109190%86.777.4+9.3
3 Oliveirense107370%89.278.0+11.2
4 Sporting CP107370%83.476.7+6.7
5 Ovarense106460%78.977.8+1.1
6 Esgueira105550%82.985.9-3.0
7 Vitoria93633%78.380.2-1.9
8 CD Povoa103730%71.677.2-5.6
9 CA Queluz103730%82.089.3-7.3
10 Galitos Barreiro113827%75.779.2-3.5
11 Galomar102820%74.082.0-8.0
12 Imortal102820%72.787.7-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria1814172069
Benfica2120301889
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