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Vitoria vs Esgueira Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#12
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game97.7
PortugalLPBRound 11· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vitoria v Esgueira
19 Dec 2026
VITO v ESGU
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
VITO93
ESGU87
02 Nov 2024
VITO79
ESGU82
10 Feb 2024
VITO60
ESGU78
06 May 2023
VITO101
ESGU99
08 Oct 2022
VITO96
ESGU95
11 Nov 2020
VITO99
ESGU71
04 Mar 2020
VITO89
ESGU81
11 Jan 2020
VITO85
ESGU72
26 Apr 2019
VITO73
ESGU81
12 Jan 2019
VITO99
ESGU88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
83avg 70
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 70
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
71avg 70
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 70
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 70
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
72-91
72
91
-19
54avg 70
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
61avg 70
H24/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
57avg 70
H01/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
48-91
48
91
-43
no box
A07/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
no box
H13/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
23-15
29-30
20-25
14-28
17-20
24-18
34-30
29-18
15-12
22-17
18-27
14-18
17-24
25-21
27-15
21-17
17-20
9-30
24-20
12-20
18-23
22-26
20-22
24-21
19-13
15-20
16-18
18-12
21-16
14-23
15-24
10-21
11-34
12-22
15-14
16-23
10-26
17-23
22-21
159.1Avg total
74.7Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.783.9152.6-15.129%
Season at home (4)69.581.8151.2-12.225%
Season away (3)67.786.7154.3-19.033%
Last 10 (10)74.784.4159.1-9.740%
Last 5 (5)65.484.4149.8-19.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)74.588.8163.3-14.425%
vs Similar ◀ (6)89.587.2176.7+2.367%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.525%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
86-85
86
85
+1
74avg 66
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
67-109
67
109
-42
58avg 66
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
66avg 66
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
28avg 66
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
60-88
60
88
-28
38avg 66
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
80avg 66
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
80-104
80
104
-24
40avg 66
A24/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
93-104
93
104
-11
75avg 66
H31/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
78-112
78
112
-34
no box
A07/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
16-23
26-20
23-15
21-27
20-30
9-25
17-27
18-25
18-23
21-19
16-18
25-16
7-25
20-17
12-26
17-20
8-23
18-23
17-22
27-25
19-24
14-22
31-24
24-23
8-32
20-24
28-25
24-23
29-26
13-34
27-21
20-23
14-25
28-27
16-37
21-41
25-13
14-15
27-18
175.1Avg total
78.8Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.397.7178.0-17.40%
Season at home (3)82.794.3177.0-11.70%
Season away (4)78.5100.2178.8-21.80%
Last 10 (10)78.896.3175.1-17.510%
Last 5 (5)87.6102.4190.0-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)80.192.6172.7-12.525%
vs Similar ◀ (6)88.392.8181.2-4.533%
vs Weaker (4)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -8.0-8.0Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -8.0-8.0Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
VitoriaEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H01/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A07/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H13/11
LPB
74.5Avg total
34.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.082.6-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.339.079.3+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)38.947.586.4-8.614%-
Last 10 (10)34.739.874.5-5.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.841.873.6-10.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.543.080.5-5.535%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.742.787.3+2.050%-
vs Weaker (4)42.843.286.0-0.550%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A24/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H31/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A07/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A14/11
LPB
87.6Avg total
38.2Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.047.687.6-7.617%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.347.289.5-4.933%-
Last 30 away (15)37.748.185.7-10.40%-
Last 10 (10)38.249.487.6-11.210%-
Last 5 (5)42.251.093.2-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)39.448.287.6-8.915%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.846.787.5-5.817%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.288.2-4.225%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.1
46.7%
51.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.5
29.1%
31.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws26.816.4
61.2%
71.1%16.4
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.0
47.5%
51.1%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.8
32.1%
31.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.413.1
67.5%
71.1%13.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LLLWLLWWLW
Esgueira
LLLLLLLLLW
#9
League position
#12
-5.3
Net rating
-21.3
83.7
Offensive rating
82.8
88.9
Defensive rating
104.1
45.6%
Effective FG%
47.8%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.1%
3-point %
32.1%
55.8%
Assist %
57.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence83.7 · 82.8Defence88.9 · 104.1Shooting45.6% · 47.8%3-point %29.1% · 32.1%Ball care14.7% · 16.8%Free throws0.39 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Vitoria   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vitoria wins
5
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
11/04/26Vitoria v Esgueira93-87
28/12/25Esgueira v Vitoria91-103
15/02/25Esgueira v Vitoria73-86
02/11/24Vitoria v Esgueira79-82
10/02/24Vitoria v Esgueira60-78
09/12/23Esgueira v Vitoria78-66
21/10/23Esgueira v Vitoria66-96
06/05/23Vitoria v Esgueira101-99
25/03/23Esgueira v Vitoria98-88
28/12/22Esgueira v Vitoria88-77
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HFC Porto65-93
07/11/26ASporting CP48-91
01/11/26HCD Povoa68-75
24/10/26HPortimonense74-72
18/10/26ABraga72-91
10/10/26HOvarense71-87
03/10/26ACAB Madeira83-78
25/04/26HOliveirense84-74
18/04/26AVasco Da Gama89-96
11/04/26HEsgueira93-87
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APortimonense96-97 OT
07/11/26ABenfica78-112
31/10/26HCA Queluz93-104
24/10/26AOliveirense80-104
16/10/26HFC Porto91-95
10/10/26ASporting CP60-88
03/10/26HCD Povoa64-84
14/05/26HSporting CP73-85
10/05/26ASporting CP67-109
25/04/26AFC Porto86-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game68.769.567.7
Allowed / game83.981.886.7
Point differential-15.1-12.2-19.0
Avg total152.6151.2154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.382.778.5
Allowed / game97.794.3100.2
Point differential-17.4-11.7-21.8
Avg total178.0177.0178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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