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Vitoria vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 60-78
11-23 17-8 16-27 16-20
Position#7
Record7-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#9
Record2-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game87.3
PortugalLPBRound 15· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vitoria v Esgueira
19 Dec 2026
VITO v ESGU
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
VITO93
ESGU87
02 Nov 2024
VITO79
ESGU82
10 Feb 2024
VITO60
ESGU78
06 May 2023
VITO101
ESGU99
08 Oct 2022
VITO96
ESGU95
11 Nov 2020
VITO99
ESGU71
04 Mar 2020
VITO89
ESGU81
11 Jan 2020
VITO85
ESGU72
26 Apr 2019
VITO73
ESGU81
12 Jan 2019
VITO99
ESGU88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
L
74-83 OT
74
83
-9
no box
H18/11
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
74-82
74
82
-8
62avg 71
A25/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
72-64
72
64
+8
65avg 71
H01/12
LPB
Esgueira
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
50avg 71
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
82-56
82
56
+26
79avg 71
H16/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 71
A23/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
90-91
90
91
-1
77avg 71
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
91-71
91
71
+20
83avg 71
H20/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
66avg 71
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
68-98
68
98
-30
58avg 71
A04/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
11-19
17-6
16-12
26-18
15-20
16-20
17-24
25-11
14-15
18-24
15-14
29-23
7-22
16-13
14-20
17-9
19-13
24-22
22-12
24-13
22-26
19-18
35-23
26-29
23-17
17-21
24-24
19-18
22-15
22-14
28-24
24-21
13-23
21-23
22-21
22-28
14-21
13-23
19-26
158.8Avg total
79.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.680.7161.3-0.150%
Season at home (7)80.373.1153.4+7.171%
Season away (7)80.988.3169.1-7.429%
Last 10 (10)79.779.1158.8+0.640%
Last 5 (5)85.885.6171.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.197.6178.8-16.512%
vs Similar (12)90.889.6180.4+1.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.774.8158.4+8.989%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
56avg 63
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
68-105
68
105
-37
56avg 63
H02/12
LPB
Vitoria
#13
W
78-66
78
66
+12
79avg 63
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Lusitania
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
76avg 63
A16/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 63
H28/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
85-68
85
68
+17
84avg 63
H06/01
LPB
Imortal
#4
L
68-95
68
95
-27
51avg 63
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
60avg 63
A20/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
60avg 63
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
51avg 63
H03/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
15-28
19-18
17-14
18-24
9-33
21-27
20-21
23-29
22-7
13-16
20-14
21-16
14-32
25-21
23-20
18-21
12-19
23-21
19-19
26-15
28-16
16-20
15-17
9-22
17-22
21-22
21-29
8-20
20-23
18-25
27-23
27-17
12-21
16-16
14-24
17-31
14-11
14-34
19-24
157.8Avg total
73.1Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.987.3160.2-14.414%
Season at home (7)71.685.3156.9-13.729%
Season away (7)74.389.3163.6-15.00%
Last 10 (10)73.184.7157.8-11.620%
Last 5 (5)71.886.4158.2-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.891.9160.8-23.10%
vs Similar (14)79.379.1158.4+0.150%
vs Weaker (3)82.081.7163.7+0.367%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
VitoriaEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H18/11
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A25/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H01/12
LPB
Esgueira
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H16/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A04/02
LPB
77.4Avg total
38.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.484.5-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.740.884.5+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.544.184.6-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.577.4+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.284.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.950.189.0-11.212%-
vs Similar (12)44.442.286.7+2.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.635.678.1+7.089%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
27-57
27
57
-30
H02/12
LPB
Vitoria
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Lusitania
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A16/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H28/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H06/01
LPB
Imortal
#4
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A20/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H03/02
LPB
77.2Avg total
35.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.141.379.3-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.940.481.3+0.456%-
Last 30 away (14)34.942.277.1-7.47%-
Last 10 (10)35.042.277.2-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.675.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.143.675.7-11.58%-
vs Similar (14)41.839.381.1+2.550%-
vs Weaker (3)42.343.085.3-0.733%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.616.3
48.5%
51.0%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.911.7
33.5%
33.5%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.612.0
64.5%
69.3%12.0
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.9
49.1%
51.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.3
28.9%
33.5%18.9
🏀 Free throws20.814.3
68.8%
69.3%14.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LLWLWWLWLL
Esgueira
LLLLWLLWLL
#7
League position
#9
+2.1
Net rating
-14.4
103.1
Offensive rating
94.7
101.0
Defensive rating
109.1
49.4%
Effective FG%
47.1%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
20.6%
Turnover %
19.0%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.5%
3-point %
28.9%
57.5%
Assist %
54.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 94.7Defence101.0 · 109.1Shooting49.4% · 47.1%3-point %33.5% · 28.9%Ball care20.6% · 19.0%Off. rebounds35.5% · 24.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Vitoria   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Vitoria wins
4
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Esgueira v Vitoria78-66
21/10/23Esgueira v Vitoria66-96
06/05/23Vitoria v Esgueira101-99
25/03/23Esgueira v Vitoria98-88
28/12/22Esgueira v Vitoria88-77
08/10/22Vitoria v Esgueira96-95 OT
13/02/21Esgueira v Vitoria97-88 OT
11/11/20Vitoria v Esgueira99-71
04/03/20Vitoria v Esgueira89-81
11/01/20Vitoria v Esgueira85-72
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24ASporting CP68-98
27/01/24HSporting CP80-88
20/01/24HBenfica91-71
06/01/24AOvarense90-91
23/12/23AOliveirense100-80
16/12/23HGalomar82-56
09/12/23AEsgueira66-78
01/12/23HPortimonense72-64
25/11/23AImortal74-82
18/11/23HCD Povoa74-83 OT
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HBenfica64-100
27/01/24HOliveirense69-78
20/01/24AOliveirense73-91
13/01/24AImortal68-95
06/01/24HPortimonense85-68
28/12/23HCD Povoa72-80
16/12/23ALusitania83-89
09/12/23HVitoria78-66
02/12/23HSporting CP68-105
25/11/23AOvarense71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game80.680.380.9
Allowed / game80.773.188.3
Point differential-0.1+7.1-7.4
Avg total161.3153.4169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeWLLWL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%29%0%
Points / game72.971.674.3
Allowed / game87.385.389.3
Point differential-14.4-13.7-15.0
Avg total160.2156.9163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1512380%86.175.3+10.8
2 Sporting CP1411379%93.681.8+11.9
3 Benfica1511473%87.668.3+19.3
4 Oliveirense139469%79.475.7+3.7
5 Ovarense149564%79.578.6+0.9
6 Vitoria147750%80.680.7-0.1
7 Imortal147750%77.581.6-4.1
8 CD Povoa146843%81.685.6-3.9
9 Portimonense145936%71.978.1-6.3
10 Galomar1441029%75.579.9-4.4
11 Esgueira1421214%72.987.3-14.4
12 Lusitania131128%73.189.5-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria1117161660
Esgueira238272078
← all games of the day
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