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Vitoria vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 94-72
15-22 25-16 28-12 26-22
Position#9
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Vitoria 🏆
Portugal
vs
CD Povoa
Portugal
Position#11
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalTaca da Liga· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2025
Meetings · Vitoria v CD Povoa
01 Nov 2026
VITO68
CD P75
18 Dec 2024
VITO94
CD P72
15 Dec 2024
VITO75
CD P78
18 Nov 2023
VITO74
CD P83
08 Apr 2023
VITO96
CD P92
17 Dec 2022
VITO79
CD P76
11 Dec 2021
VITO65
CD P77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
53-81
53
81
-28
33avg 69
A11/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
62avg 69
H14/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
63avg 69
A19/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
66avg 69
A25/10
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 69
H02/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
75avg 69
A13/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
62-67
62
67
-5
55avg 69
H16/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
78avg 69
H30/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
71-70
71
70
+1
62avg 69
A07/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
62avg 69
H15/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-18
19-20
13-27
12-16
15-30
17-24
23-16
16-23
17-24
19-18
16-23
28-23
22-27
18-21
24-22
12-23
12-18
23-20
21-24
23-20
29-29
18-14
19-19
20-17
25-11
14-20
12-23
11-13
27-26
16-11
19-17
24-19
19-14
20-22
17-18
15-16
21-19
11-21
29-21
14-17
154.3Avg total
73.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.980.4154.3-6.530%
Last 5 (5)76.073.4149.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.287.9164.1-11.711%
vs Similar (10)78.479.5157.9-1.130%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.772.1152.8+8.670%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
W
85-84
85
84
+1
79avg 71
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
51avg 71
A17/05
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
71-76
71
76
-5
53avg 71
A19/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 71
A26/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
69-75
69
75
-6
59avg 71
H02/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
65avg 71
A09/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
82avg 71
H16/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
80avg 71
H30/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
66-68
66
68
-2
52avg 71
H07/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 71
A15/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
25-26
23-25
15-22
15-15
19-26
21-16
14-21
29-20
18-24
11-19
13-13
18-15
19-17
13-20
14-24
23-24
16-18
22-23
8-10
21-24
23-13
12-18
21-20
26-16
15-23
19-16
21-17
22-25
23-8
16-28
12-12
20-24
19-11
14-11
13-22
19-21
21-11
21-29
17-14
150.5Avg total
74.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.276.3150.5-2.140%
Last 5 (5)76.874.8151.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.682.4158.1-6.835%
vs Similar (5)78.082.4160.4-4.440%
vs Weaker (7)86.779.4166.1+7.371%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
VitoriaCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A11/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H14/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A19/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A25/10
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H02/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A13/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H16/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H30/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A07/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/12
LPB
77.8Avg total
37.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.277.5-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.438.273.6-2.840%-
Last 30 away (15)41.140.381.4+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)37.140.777.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.477.4+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.243.280.4-6.022%-
vs Similar (10)36.739.476.1-2.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.034.975.9+6.180%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/05
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A19/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A26/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A09/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H30/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/12
LPB
78.5Avg total
41.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.981.4-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.139.381.3+2.867%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.581.4-3.740%-
Last 10 (10)41.337.278.5+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.277.0+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.740.479.1-1.647%-
vs Similar (5)41.640.081.6+1.680%-
vs Weaker (7)43.342.485.7+0.943%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.516.0
43.8%
51.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.39.9
29.7%
34.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.611.4
64.8%
68.1%11.4
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.716.8
45.8%
51.0%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.5
31.0%
34.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.214.3
61.6%
68.1%14.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LWWLWLLLLL
CD Povoa
WLLWWLLLLW
#9
League position
#11
-8.1
Net rating
-2.8
93.7
Offensive rating
96.9
101.8
Defensive rating
99.7
44.2%
Effective FG%
46.1%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.7%
20.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.7%
3-point %
31.0%
57.5%
Assist %
60.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 96.9Defence101.8 · 99.7Shooting44.2% · 46.1%3-point %29.7% · 31.0%Ball care20.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds33.8% · 26.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Vitoria   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vitoria wins
6
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Vitoria v CD Povoa75-78
23/03/24CD Povoa v Vitoria75-73
18/11/23Vitoria v CD Povoa74-83 OT
08/04/23Vitoria v CD Povoa96-92
11/03/23CD Povoa v Vitoria97-84
17/12/22Vitoria v CD Povoa79-76
01/10/22CD Povoa v Vitoria76-86
26/03/22CD Povoa v Vitoria87-81
11/12/21Vitoria v CD Povoa65-77
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HCD Povoa75-78
07/12/24AGalitos Barreiro71-70
30/11/24HImortal86-73
16/11/24HOvarense62-67
13/11/24ACA Queluz86-79
02/11/24HEsgueira79-82
25/10/24AOliveirense76-93
19/10/24AFC Porto80-88
14/05/24HBenfica71-93
11/05/24ABenfica53-81
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24AVitoria78-75
07/12/24HSporting CP66-68
30/11/24HEsgueira82-84 OT
16/11/24HGalomar81-72
09/11/24AGalitos Barreiro77-75
02/11/24HOvarense69-75
26/10/24AFC Porto64-76
19/10/24ACA Queluz71-76
17/05/24AOliveirense69-78
14/05/24HOliveirense85-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
CD Povoa
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sporting CP110100%86.068.0+18.0
2 FC Porto110100%89.075.0+14.0
3 Oliveirense110100%96.088.0+8.0
4 Esgueira1010%88.096.0-8.0
5 CA Queluz1010%75.089.0-14.0
6 Imortal1010%68.086.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria1525282694
CD Povoa2216122272
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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