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Oliveirense vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-53
19-18 22-15 21-14 30-6
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game80.8
Oliveirense 🏆
Portugal
vs
CD Povoa
Portugal
Position#10
Record3-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game75.6
PortugalLPBRound 10· Pavilhão Dr. Salvador Machado
Other2024-25
Meetings · Oliveirense v CD Povoa
03 Apr 2027
OLIV v CD P
upcoming
29 Dec 2024
OLIV92
CD P53
30 Nov 2024
OLIV v CD P
upcoming
17 May 2024
OLIV78
CD P69
11 May 2024
OLIV78
CD P65
14 Feb 2024
OLIV86
CD P83
01 Dec 2023
OLIV104
CD P75
03 Dec 2022
OLIV74
CD P70
09 Oct 2021
OLIV88
CD P67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Galomar
#12
W
95-61
95
61
+34
84avg 76
A19/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
93-76
93
76
+17
88avg 76
H25/10
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
90-60
90
60
+30
88avg 76
H02/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
95-98
95
98
-3
85avg 76
A09/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 76
H16/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
75-93
75
93
-18
72avg 76
A30/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
99-109 OT
99
109
-10
93avg 76
A07/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
80-79
80
79
+1
75avg 76
H14/12
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
96-88 OT
96
88
+8
92avg 76
A17/12
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
80-74
80
74
+6
69avg 76
A21/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
23-20
25-12
24-14
27-22
21-18
22-24
23-12
23-14
20-15
21-17
26-14
20-21
27-21
23-23
25-33
18-18
27-23
21-21
27-15
15-17
16-26
18-25
26-25
25-35
22-18
24-18
18-18
29-22
11-20
17-17
23-20
18-19
20-28
23-17
19-16
15-19
17-20
25-16
23-19
171.1Avg total
89.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.980.8169.7+8.167%
Season at home (4)89.073.0162.0+16.0100%
Season away (5)88.887.0175.8+1.840%
Last 10 (10)89.681.5171.1+8.170%
Last 5 (5)86.088.6174.6-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.086.7159.7-13.733%
vs Similar (4)81.080.5161.5+0.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.974.8160.8+11.185%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#11
L
71-76
71
76
-5
53avg 70
A19/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 70
A26/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
69-75
69
75
-6
59avg 70
H02/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
65avg 70
A09/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
82avg 70
H16/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
80avg 70
H30/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
66-68
66
68
-2
52avg 70
H07/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 70
A15/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
72-94
72
94
-22
63avg 70
A18/12
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
65avg 70
H22/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
18-24
11-19
13-13
18-15
19-17
13-20
14-24
23-24
16-18
22-23
8-10
21-24
23-13
12-18
21-20
26-16
15-23
19-16
21-17
22-25
23-8
16-28
12-12
20-24
19-11
14-11
13-22
19-21
21-11
21-29
17-14
22-15
16-25
12-28
22-26
22-21
15-13
11-23
27-22
150.9Avg total
73.5Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.775.6149.2-1.933%
Season at home (5)74.675.6150.2-1.020%
Season away (4)72.575.5148.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)73.577.4150.9-3.930%
Last 5 (5)74.680.0154.6-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)76.482.8159.2-6.433%
vs Similar (5)78.082.4160.4-4.440%
vs Weaker (7)86.779.4166.1+7.371%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
OliveirenseCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A19/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/10
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H02/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A09/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H16/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A30/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A07/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H14/12
LPB
Esgueira
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A17/12
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A21/12
LPB
82.8Avg total
41.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.278.9+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.038.178.1+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.440.279.6-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.182.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.882.4-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.744.079.7-8.333%-
vs Similar (4)38.836.575.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.138.379.4+2.850%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A19/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A26/10
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A09/11
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H30/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/12
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H22/12
LPB
77.5Avg total
40.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.680.9-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.938.680.6+3.371%-
Last 30 away (16)38.842.481.2-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.877.5+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.874.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.740.178.8-1.450%-
vs Similar (5)41.640.081.6+1.680%-
vs Weaker (7)43.342.485.7+0.943%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.2
51.4%
51.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.5
38.7%
32.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws23.117.7
76.6%
69.2%17.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.2
48.5%
51.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.9
29.6%
32.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.012.6
60.0%
69.2%12.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oliveirense
WWWLLWLWWW
CD Povoa
LLWLLWWLLL
#4
League position
#10
+9.9
Net rating
-5.2
115.3
Offensive rating
96.8
105.4
Defensive rating
102.0
54.5%
Effective FG%
46.8%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.7%
3-point %
29.6%
62.3%
Assist %
57.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 96.8Defence105.4 · 102.0Shooting54.5% · 46.8%3-point %38.7% · 29.6%Ball care17.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds32.1% · 28.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Oliveirense   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Oliveirense wins
4
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
17/05/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa78-69
14/05/24CD Povoa v Oliveirense85-84
11/05/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa78-65
13/04/24CD Povoa v Oliveirense90-81
14/02/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa86-83 OT
01/12/23Oliveirense v CD Povoa104-75
18/02/23CD Povoa v Oliveirense71-61
03/12/22Oliveirense v CD Povoa74-70
29/12/21CD Povoa v Oliveirense76-70
09/10/21Oliveirense v CD Povoa88-67
Oliveirenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AGalitos Barreiro80-74
17/12/24AEsgueira96-88 OT
14/12/24HOvarense80-79
07/12/24ACA Queluz99-109 OT
30/11/24ABenfica75-93
16/11/24HEsgueira93-77
09/11/24AFC Porto95-98
02/11/24HImortal90-60
25/10/24HVitoria93-76
19/10/24AGalomar95-61
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HBenfica75-79
18/12/24AVitoria72-94
15/12/24AVitoria78-75
07/12/24HSporting CP66-68
30/11/24HEsgueira82-84 OT
16/11/24HGalomar81-72
09/11/24AGalitos Barreiro77-75
02/11/24HOvarense69-75
26/10/24AFC Porto64-76
19/10/24ACA Queluz71-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game88.989.088.8
Allowed / game80.873.087.0
Point differential+8.1+16.0+1.8
Avg total169.7162.0175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
CD Povoa
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%20%50%
Points / game73.774.672.5
Allowed / game75.675.675.5
Point differential-1.9-1.0-3.0
Avg total149.2150.2148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica10100100%90.874.7+16.1
2 FC Porto98189%86.077.1+8.9
3 Sporting CP107370%83.476.7+6.7
4 Oliveirense96367%88.980.8+8.1
5 Ovarense96367%78.776.6+2.1
6 Esgueira94544%82.286.4-4.2
7 CD Povoa93633%73.775.6-1.9
8 Vitoria93633%78.380.2-1.9
9 Galitos Barreiro103730%75.377.8-2.5
10 Galomar92722%74.882.7-7.9
11 CA Queluz92722%82.791.8-9.1
12 Imortal102820%72.787.7-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oliveirense1922213092
CD Povoa181514653
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