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Vitoria vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-87
21-17 17-20 9-30 24-20
Position#9
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game83.0
PortugalLPBRound 2· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vitoria v Ovarense
10 Oct 2026
VITO71
OVAR87
15 Nov 2025
VITO77
OVAR94
16 Nov 2024
VITO62
OVAR67
23 Sep 2023
VITO79
OVAR76
22 Dec 2022
VITO97
OVAR76
02 Apr 2022
VITO95
OVAR91
24 Oct 2021
VITO81
OVAR82
09 Jan 2021
VITO71
OVAR70
14 Dec 2019
VITO75
OVAR71
17 Nov 2018
VITO67
OVAR77
15 Nov 2017
VITO113
OVAR101
03 Dec 2016
VITO97
OVAR103
04 Dec 2015
VITO75
OVAR87
02 Nov 2014
VITO71
OVAR65
19 Apr 2014
VITO89
OVAR84
18 Apr 2014
VITO86
OVAR72
08 Mar 2014
VITO84
OVAR71
28 Apr 2013
VITO79
OVAR67
27 Apr 2013
VITO83
OVAR84
25 Nov 2012
VITO85
OVAR93
11 Dec 2011
VITO69
OVAR75
27 Nov 2010
VITO81
OVAR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#9
W
103-96
103
96
+7
95avg 73
H07/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-111
79
111
-32
61avg 73
A14/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
69-115
69
115
-46
56avg 73
H14/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
91-75
91
75
+16
77avg 73
A21/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
74avg 73
H28/03
LPB
Braga
#7
L
84-101
84
101
-17
71avg 73
A04/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
83avg 73
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 73
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
71avg 73
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 73
A03/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
19-19
20-17
31-34
19-32
25-31
15-25
20-23
23-32
15-29
19-29
12-25
22-23
23-19
24-16
22-17
19-16
17-23
24-25
24-22
19-11
22-40
22-29
21-21
21-17
23-15
29-30
20-25
14-28
17-20
24-18
34-30
29-18
15-12
22-17
18-27
14-18
17-24
25-21
27-15
177.8Avg total
85.9Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.078.0161.0+5.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)83.078.0161.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.991.9177.8-6.050%
Last 5 (5)86.687.2173.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.192.3171.4-13.219%
vs Similar (9)87.786.3174.0+1.367%
vs Weaker (5)85.088.2173.2-3.220%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#10
L
75-91
75
91
-16
64avg 72
H21/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
63avg 72
A28/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
83-60
83
60
+23
84avg 72
H04/04
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
73-74
73
74
-1
68avg 72
H11/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
83-82
83
82
+1
75avg 72
A18/04
LPB
Braga
#7
L
67-74
67
74
-7
60avg 72
H25/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
93-79
93
79
+14
90avg 72
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
72-90
72
90
-18
56avg 72
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
48avg 72
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#2
W
96-83
96
83
+13
47avg 72
H03/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
19-23
16-24
17-22
13-24
14-18
21-23
22-24
20-14
24-21
22-9
17-16
16-25
16-13
24-14
17-22
17-24
26-20
18-24
22-14
21-28
14-16
19-18
13-12
25-18
21-19
18-15
29-27
23-27
24-25
13-19
12-19
16-10
18-17
18-18
13-24
26-19
26-9
23-20
21-35
156.8Avg total
77.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)96.083.0179.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)96.083.0179.0+13.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.779.1156.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)78.679.0157.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.284.0159.2-8.827%
vs Similar (5)82.880.4163.2+2.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.477.2161.6+7.279%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
VitoriaOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#9
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H07/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A14/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
38-61
38
61
-23
H14/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A21/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H28/03
LPB
Braga
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A04/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A03/10
LPB
85.9Avg total
40.6Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.185.6-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.940.682.6+1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)41.147.188.2-5.919%-
Last 10 (10)40.645.385.9-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.678.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.745.686.2-4.925%-
vs Similar (9)43.042.485.4+0.644%-
vs Weaker (5)41.442.283.6-0.840%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H21/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A28/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H04/04
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H11/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A18/04
LPB
Braga
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H25/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#2
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H03/10
LPB
79.4Avg total
40.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.881.6-0.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.539.378.9+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)42.042.384.3-0.327%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.279.4+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.680.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.740.977.6-4.218%-
vs Similar (5)44.242.086.2+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.740.383.0+2.443%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.5
50.9%
51.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.9
29.8%
31.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws28.018.1
64.6%
71.6%18.1
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.6
48.1%
51.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.2
27.9%
31.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.613.6
73.1%
71.6%13.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
WWLWLLWLLW
Ovarense
WLLWLWLWLL
#9
League position
#3
-6.8
Net rating
-9.2
89.2
Offensive rating
83.4
96.0
Defensive rating
92.6
48.5%
Effective FG%
45.5%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.8%
3-point %
27.9%
49.3%
Assist %
75.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence89.2 · 83.4Defence96.0 · 92.6Shooting48.5% · 45.5%3-point %29.8% · 27.9%Ball care15.3% · 15.2%Free throws0.41 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Vitoria   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Vitoria wins
6
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
21/03/26Ovarense v Vitoria75-91
15/11/25Vitoria v Ovarense77-94
15/03/25Ovarense v Vitoria81-76
16/11/24Vitoria v Ovarense62-67
06/01/24Ovarense v Vitoria91-90
23/09/23Vitoria v Ovarense79-76
22/12/22Vitoria v Ovarense97-76
05/10/22Ovarense v Vitoria97-88
16/04/22Ovarense v Vitoria101-93
02/04/22Vitoria v Ovarense95-91
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26ACAB Madeira83-78
25/04/26HOliveirense84-74
18/04/26AVasco Da Gama89-96
11/04/26HEsgueira93-87
04/04/26ABraga84-101
28/03/26HGalitos Barreiro84-86
21/03/26AOvarense91-75
14/03/26HFC Porto69-115
14/02/26ABenfica79-111
07/02/26HCA Queluz103-96
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HBraga96-83
16/05/26HOliveirense65-69
13/05/26AOliveirense72-90
09/05/26HOliveirense93-79
25/04/26HBraga67-74
18/04/26AGalitos Barreiro83-82
11/04/26HCA Queluz73-74
04/04/26HFC Porto83-60
28/03/26ABenfica70-89
21/03/26HVitoria75-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game83.0-83.0
Allowed / game78.0-78.0
Point differential+5.0-+5.0
Avg total161.0-161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Ovarense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game96.096.0-
Allowed / game83.083.0-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total179.0179.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto110100%110.093.0+17.0
2 Benfica110100%84.071.0+13.0
3 Ovarense110100%96.083.0+13.0
4 CD Povoa220100%78.566.5+12.0
5 Oliveirense110100%91.082.0+9.0
6 Vitoria110100%83.078.0+5.0
7 Sporting CP21150%79.572.0+7.5
8 CAB Madeira2020%73.578.0-4.5
9 Portimonense1010%82.091.0-9.0
10 Braga1010%83.096.0-13.0
11 CA Queluz1010%93.0110.0-17.0
12 Esgueira2020%62.086.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria211792471
Ovarense1720302087
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