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VMI vs Chattanooga Mocs Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#177
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#212
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game79.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · VMI v Chattanooga Mocs
28 Jan 2027
VMI v CHAT
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
VMI79
CHAT71
01 Mar 2025
VMI70
CHAT91
08 Feb 2024
VMI84
CHAT88
15 Feb 2023
VMI58
CHAT78
22 Jan 2022
VMI74
CHAT78
02 Jan 2021
VMI84
CHAT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VMI win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Chattanooga Mocs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
62-81
62
81
-19
H21/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A27/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A28/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A07/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
115-83
115
83
+32
H02/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
70-95
70
95
-25
A06/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#167
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H11/11
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#376
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-44
44-38
30-38
32-43
36-36
25-44
33-42
46-44
27-39
43-45
60-31
55-52
28-47
42-48
35-31
33-39
32-22
33-29
38-18
33-35
150.2Avg total
73.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.870.4148.2+7.460%
Season at home (3)83.762.3146.0+21.3100%
Season away (2)69.082.5151.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)73.776.5150.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)77.870.4148.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)68.983.0152.0-14.19%
vs Similar ◀ (2)62.081.0143.0-19.00%
vs Weaker (3)82.768.0150.7+14.767%
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chattanooga MocsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H14/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
93-72
93
72
+21
A21/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H27/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
85-88
85
88
-3
H06/03
NCAA
Louisville
#10
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A03/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
L
93-97
93
97
-4
A05/11
NCAA
Covenant
#416
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H10/11
NCAA
Elon
#231
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-39
47-42
44-39
50-51
50-29
43-43
37-38
43-47
42-33
44-46
49-49
36-39
35-56
35-28
31-54
62-43
52-22
45-45
41-32
36-38
166.4Avg total
85.1Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.279.5163.8+4.850%
Season at home (1)97.067.0164.0+30.0100%
Season away (3)80.083.7163.7-3.733%
Last 10 (10)85.181.3166.4+3.850%
Last 5 (5)84.481.2165.6+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.476.5147.9-5.125%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.379.6154.9-4.331%
vs Weaker (8)86.971.4158.2+15.562%
This opponent (VMI) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +1.9+1.9
VMIChattanooga Mocs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A27/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A28/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
60-31
60
31
+29
H02/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A06/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#167
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#376
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H14/11
NCAA
69.9Avg total
35.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.836.970.7-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.333.370.6+4.050%-
Last 30 away (16)30.740.170.8-9.412%-
Last 10 (10)35.134.869.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.629.868.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.239.471.6-7.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)29.540.570.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker (3)42.328.070.3+14.3100%-
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chattanooga MocsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A20/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A21/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H27/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H06/03
NCAA
Louisville
#10
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A03/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A05/11
NCAA
Covenant
#416
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H10/11
NCAA
Elon
#231
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A14/11
NCAA
80.1Avg total
41.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.036.473.5+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.535.374.9+4.247%-
Last 30 away (15)34.537.572.1-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.180.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.684.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.039.571.5-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.237.372.5-2.138%-
vs Weaker (8)43.133.876.9+9.462%-
This opponent (VMI) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
VMI wins
8
Chattanooga Mocs wins
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMary Baldwin71-53
11/11/26HN. Carolina Central65-51
07/11/26AUTSA Roadrunners68-70
06/11/26ASMU Mustangs70-95
02/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg115-83
07/03/26ANC Greensboro70-84
28/02/26AChattanooga Mocs79-86
27/02/26ASamford61-80
21/02/26HWestern Carolina62-81
18/02/26AWofford76-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AElon77-70
10/11/26HCovenant97-67
05/11/26APenn State93-97
03/11/26ALouisville70-84
06/03/26HCitadel85-88
28/02/26HVMI86-79
27/02/26HNC Greensboro80-85
21/02/26ACitadel93-72
20/02/26AMercer94-90
14/02/26HWestern Carolina76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VMI
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game77.883.769.0
Allowed / game70.462.382.5
Point differential+7.4+21.3-13.5
Avg total148.2146.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chattanooga Mocs
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game84.297.080.0
Allowed / game79.567.083.7
Point differential+4.8+30.0-3.7
Avg total163.8164.0163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman54180%88.068.8+19.2
2 Citadel43175%90.064.5+25.5
3 VMI53260%77.870.4+7.4
4 Western Carolina42250%89.874.5+15.2
5 NC Greensboro42250%81.070.8+10.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs42250%84.279.5+4.8
7 Wofford52340%82.482.0+0.4
8 Mercer52340%78.280.6-2.4
9 Samford31233%77.378.7-1.3
10 East Tennessee St31233%65.368.3-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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