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Vytis VDU vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 107-98
36-15 23-27 19-26 29-30
Position#7
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#12
Record1-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game85.0
LithuaniaNKL· Sakiu sporto centras (Sakiai)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vytis VDU v Neptunas 2
06 Oct 2026
VYTI88
NEPT84
18 Apr 2026
VYTI83
NEPT84
12 Apr 2026
VYTI71
NEPT80
27 Nov 2025
VYTI92
NEPT70
30 Nov 2024
VYTI87
NEPT82
28 Oct 2023
VYTI107
NEPT98
05 Nov 2022
VYTI97
NEPT71
10 Mar 2022
VYTI75
NEPT99
07 Oct 2021
VYTI81
NEPT59
20 Mar 2021
VYTI97
NEPT81
14 Mar 2021
VYTI68
NEPT70
08 Mar 2021
VYTI85
NEPT58
24 Oct 2020
VYTI89
NEPT71
01 Feb 2020
VYTI93
NEPT86
12 Oct 2019
VYTI88
NEPT98
29 Mar 2019
VYTI75
NEPT66
22 Mar 2019
VYTI73
NEPT72
27 Jan 2019
VYTI92
NEPT58
20 Oct 2018
VYTI105
NEPT102
03 Mar 2018
VYTI95
NEPT79
16 Dec 2017
VYTI81
NEPT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vytis VDU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vytis VDULithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVDU
Date
Competition
Palangos Kursiai
#12
W
78-64
78
64
+14
no box
A18/03
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
W
101-95
101
95
+6
no box
H21/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
A29/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
H01/04
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
no box
A04/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 73
H05/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 73
H07/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 73
A10/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
62avg 73
A19/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
92avg 73
A26/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
15-12
16-14
22-18
29-16
28-29
30-23
14-27
23-8
13-21
12-20
22-23
26-16
16-23
12-23
19-17
16-21
22-21
23-28
12-17
22-17
24-21
21-19
12-25
25-22
17-21
24-22
18-25
14-28
23-13
21-17
20-22
19-19
25-20
24-15
5-25
24-18
21-20
21-20
27-21
160.9Avg total
80.2Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.482.0163.4-0.620%
Season at home (2)81.586.0167.5-4.50%
Season away (3)81.379.3160.7+2.033%
Last 10 (10)80.280.7160.9-0.530%
Last 5 (5)81.482.0163.4-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.780.9156.6-5.230%
vs Similar (8)79.281.9161.1-2.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.976.5159.4+6.467%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H04/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
92-77
92
77
+15
no box
H09/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A11/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
79avg 70
H07/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 70
A10/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
87-89
87
89
-2
84avg 70
H12/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 70
A14/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
67avg 70
H19/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
54avg 70
A21/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 70
H26/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
14-25
13-22
23-20
24-23
29-16
21-20
18-18
27-18
23-25
16-18
11-25
23-19
20-32
17-23
22-16
15-25
17-20
22-23
17-26
21-21
24-19
25-26
17-23
18-17
17-23
16-21
24-18
22-10
10-19
15-24
25-14
17-23
16-27
21-25
18-10
22-29
19-18
14-19
27-25
162.5Avg total
78.4Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.385.0162.3-7.714%
Season at home (4)80.884.2165.0-3.525%
Season away (3)72.786.0158.7-13.30%
Last 10 (10)78.484.1162.5-5.720%
Last 5 (5)77.682.2159.8-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)73.882.8156.6-9.026%
vs Similar (3)81.386.3167.7-5.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
Vytis VDUNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palangos Kursiai
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A18/03
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H21/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A29/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H01/04
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A04/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H05/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A10/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A19/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A26/10
NKL
81.3Avg total
42.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.179.3+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.640.382.9+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)37.637.675.3+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.681.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.882.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.440.978.3-3.530%-
vs Similar (8)40.439.179.5+1.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.637.580.1+5.167%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H04/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H09/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A11/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H07/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A10/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H12/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A14/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H19/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A21/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H26/10
NKL
82.7Avg total
40.2Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.142.379.3-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.341.079.3-2.738%-
Last 30 away (14)35.643.779.4-8.121%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.582.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.241.278.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.742.379.0-5.630%-
vs Similar (3)40.342.382.7-2.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.2
55.2%
51.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.4
34.9%
33.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws12.08.6
71.7%
70.3%8.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.7 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.9
54.2%
51.9%45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.35.3
28.9%
33.3%15.9
🏀 Free throws22.315.1
67.9%
70.3%15.1
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/7 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vytis VDU
WLLLLLLLWW
Neptunas 2
LLWLLLLLWL
#7
League position
#12
-1.9
Net rating
-9.5
109.4
Offensive rating
101.9
111.3
Defensive rating
111.4
53.9%
Effective FG%
50.9%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
21.4%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.9%
3-point %
28.9%
51.6%
Assist %
51.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 101.9Defence111.3 · 111.4Shooting53.9% · 50.9%3-point %34.9% · 28.9%Ball care17.6% · 21.4%Off. rebounds29.3% · 32.1%Free throws0.18 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Vytis VDU   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Vytis VDU wins
4
Neptunas 2 wins
Vytis VDUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23AKauno Atletas93-79
19/10/23AJurbarkas73-79
10/10/23ATelsiai78-80
07/10/23HKretinga84-90
05/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga79-82
04/04/23AMazeikiai73-87
01/04/23HMazeikiai73-79
29/03/23AMazeikiai70-72
21/03/23HPalangos Kursiai101-95
18/03/23APalangos Kursiai78-64
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23HDelikatesas Joniskis82-91
21/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas 272-85
19/10/23HUkmerges Stekas72-67
14/10/23ASilute75-79
12/10/23HVilkaviskis87-89
10/10/23ASuduva-Mantinga71-94
07/10/23HJurbarkas82-90
11/03/23ADelikatesas Joniskis77-86
09/03/23HKretinga92-77
04/03/23HRytas 274-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vytis VDU
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game81.481.581.3
Allowed / game82.086.079.3
Point differential-0.6-4.5+2.0
Avg total163.4167.5160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game77.380.872.7
Allowed / game85.084.286.0
Point differential-7.7-3.5-13.3
Avg total162.3165.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai660100%90.376.7+13.7
2 BC Olimpas Palanga76186%85.172.4+12.7
3 Jurbarkas76186%82.776.9+5.9
4 Suduva-Mantinga54180%86.075.4+10.6
5 Delikatesas Joniskis64267%81.784.3-2.7
6 Vilkaviskis85362%79.676.4+3.2
7 Zalgiris Kaunas 273443%77.475.3+2.1
8 Silute73443%77.981.4-3.6
9 Ukmerges Stekas73443%72.177.6-5.4
10 Kretinga72529%78.983.7-4.9
11 Kauno Atletas72529%77.082.7-5.7
12 Vytis VDU51420%81.482.0-0.6
13 Neptunas 271614%77.385.0-7.7
14 Rytas 281712%74.886.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vytis VDU36231929107
Neptunas 21527263098
← all games of the day
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