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Wake Forest vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 56-63
22-35 34-28
Position#87
Record15-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game65.7
Wake Forest
USA
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#7
Record16-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game59.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Wake Forest v Duke
20 Jan 2027
WAKE v DUKE
upcoming
25 Jan 2025
WAKE56
DUKE63
24 Feb 2024
WAKE83
DUKE79
20 Dec 2022
WAKE81
DUKE70
12 Jan 2022
WAKE64
DUKE76
17 Feb 2021
WAKE60
DUKE84
25 Feb 2020
WAKE113
DUKE101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#70
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A04/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H07/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A31/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A11/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H15/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-29
18-28
38-35
34-31
31-32
44-26
31-40
31-33
36-34
45-37
38-32
39-27
39-31
49-47
33-35
47-32
31-29
41-34
29-31
38-35
137.6Avg total
71.8Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.765.7136.4+5.079%
Season at home (12)73.263.0136.2+10.2100%
Season away (7)66.470.3136.7-3.943%
Last 10 (10)71.865.8137.6+6.080%
Last 5 (5)76.866.6143.4+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)67.074.4141.4-7.440%
vs Similar (10)71.766.0137.7+5.770%
vs Weaker (14)72.165.5137.6+6.671%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#26
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A08/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
72-46
72
46
+26
H11/12
NCAA
George Mason
#31
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
82-56
82
56
+26
A21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H31/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H08/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
88-63
88
63
+25
A19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
43-28
28-21
44-25
25-16
43-31
41-36
41-20
37-27
51-38
41-32
48-30
34-24
42-23
44-36
42-42
50-26
39-28
40-34
48-29
139.7Avg total
81.4Scored
58.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.359.5140.8+21.889%
Season at home (13)81.559.2140.7+22.285%
Season away (5)80.860.2141.0+20.6100%
Last 10 (10)81.458.3139.7+23.1100%
Last 5 (5)85.660.8146.4+24.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)72.559.2131.8+13.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)79.761.4141.1+18.281%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +14.7+14.7
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +14.7+14.7
Wake ForestDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#70
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A31/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A11/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H22/01
NCAA
66.0Avg total
33.2Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.232.867.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.432.768.1+2.758%-
Last 30 away (11)32.033.065.0-1.055%-
Last 10 (10)33.232.866.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.031.665.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.636.467.0-5.80%-
vs Similar (10)33.532.465.9+1.140%-
vs Weaker (14)35.832.268.0+3.686%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#26
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H11/12
NCAA
George Mason
#31
W
25-16
25
16
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H31/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A19/01
NCAA
66.2Avg total
37.3Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.828.666.4+9.287%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.427.465.8+11.085%-
Last 30 away (10)36.731.167.8+5.690%-
Last 10 (10)37.328.966.2+8.490%-
Last 5 (5)41.830.472.2+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)33.829.062.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)38.528.567.0+9.988%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Wake Forest wins
7
Duke wins
DateGameScore
24/02/24Wake Forest v Duke83-79
13/02/24Duke v Wake Forest77-69
01/02/23Duke v Wake Forest75-73
20/12/22Wake Forest v Duke81-70
16/02/22Duke v Wake Forest76-74
13/01/22Wake Forest v Duke64-76
18/02/21Wake Forest v Duke60-84
09/01/21Duke v Wake Forest79-68
26/02/20Wake Forest v Duke113-101 OT
12/01/20Duke v Wake Forest90-59
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25HNorth Carolina67-66
18/01/25AVirginia Tech72-63
15/01/25HStanford80-67
11/01/25AMiami (FL)88-78
04/01/25HNC State77-59
31/12/24ASyracuse81-71
21/12/24AClemson62-73
18/12/24HJames Madison75-58
07/12/24HBoston College72-66
04/12/24ATexas A&M44-57
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25ABoston College88-63
15/01/25HMiami (FL)89-54
11/01/25HNotre Dame86-78
08/01/25HPittsburgh76-47
04/01/25ASMU Mustangs89-62
31/12/24HVirginia Tech88-65
21/12/24AGeorgia Tech82-56
18/12/24HGeorge Mason68-47
11/12/24HIncarnate Word72-46
08/12/24ALouisville76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %79%100%43%
Points / game70.773.266.4
Allowed / game65.763.070.3
Point differential+5.0+10.2-3.9
Avg total136.4136.2136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%58%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %89%85%100%
Points / game81.381.580.8
Allowed / game59.559.260.2
Point differential+21.8+22.2+20.6
Avg total140.8140.7141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%69%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1816289%81.359.5+21.8
2 Clemson2016480%77.767.0+10.7
3 Wake Forest1915479%70.765.7+5.0
4 SMU Mustangs2015575%83.172.2+10.9
5 Louisville2015575%79.369.8+9.6
6 Pittsburgh1913668%80.270.9+9.3
7 Florida State1913668%78.270.5+7.6
8 Stanford1913668%76.970.2+6.7
9 North Carolina2113862%82.576.4+6.1
10 California1910953%75.174.6+0.5
11 NC State1991047%70.666.9+3.7
12 Virginia1991047%62.063.9-1.9
13 Georgia Tech2091145%74.773.5+1.2
14 Syracuse2091145%74.878.0-3.1
15 Boston College2091145%70.875.3-4.5
16 Notre Dame1881044%74.971.2+3.7
17 Virginia Tech1981142%70.172.9-2.8
18 Miami (FL)1941521%74.779.7-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wake Forest223456
Duke352863
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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