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Wake Forest vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-79
36-38 47-41
Position#119
Record17-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game69.3
Wake Forest 🏆
USA
vs
Duke
USA
Position#32
Record21-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Wake Forest v Duke
20 Jan 2027
WAKE v DUKE
upcoming
25 Jan 2025
WAKE56
DUKE63
24 Feb 2024
WAKE83
DUKE79
20 Dec 2022
WAKE81
DUKE70
12 Jan 2022
WAKE64
DUKE76
17 Feb 2021
WAKE60
DUKE84
25 Feb 2020
WAKE113
DUKE101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#94
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H20/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
80-51
80
51
+29
A07/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A13/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A17/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
91-58
91
58
+33
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-35
31-48
48-33
42-32
34-33
30-52
37-27
35-50
42-28
57-42
46-20
34-31
39-45
44-34
27-29
42-48
22-21
25-28
45-33
46-25
146.5Avg total
77.1Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.469.3148.8+10.165%
Season at home (17)83.266.8150.0+16.488%
Season away (9)72.374.1146.4-1.822%
Last 10 (10)77.169.4146.5+7.750%
Last 5 (5)74.062.8136.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)69.077.0146.0-8.00%
vs Similar (12)75.672.8148.4+2.850%
vs Weaker (17)80.667.2147.8+13.471%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#69
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A30/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H13/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A17/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
84-55
84
55
+29
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-38
42-42
45-34
38-35
32-26
40-45
35-29
42-38
35-45
49-48
33-25
38-28
36-32
44-33
29-27
48-42
44-34
32-33
40-23
44-32
146.9Avg total
78.0Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.567.2147.6+13.381%
Season at home (16)83.166.6149.7+16.488%
Season away (10)76.368.0144.3+8.370%
Last 10 (10)78.068.9146.9+9.180%
Last 5 (5)77.661.8139.4+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.058.0121.0+5.050%
vs Similar (4)73.572.5146.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)80.966.0146.9+15.088%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +4.1+4.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +4.1+4.1
Wake ForestDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#94
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A17/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H20/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
46-20
46
20
+26
A07/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H10/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A13/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A17/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H21/02
NCAA
68.9Avg total
38.5Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.670.5+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.534.072.5+4.572%-
Last 30 away (12)34.632.967.5+1.742%-
Last 10 (10)38.530.468.9+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)35.829.665.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)27.029.056.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (12)36.933.870.7+3.258%-
vs Weaker (17)37.533.771.2+3.865%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#69
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A30/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H13/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A17/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A22/02
NCAA
67.6Avg total
36.3Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.430.466.8+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.431.168.5+6.376%-
Last 30 away (13)35.129.564.5+5.669%-
Last 10 (10)36.331.367.6+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)36.428.264.6+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.525.055.5+5.550%-
vs Similar (4)31.533.865.2-2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)37.730.368.0+7.479%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Wake Forest wins
7
Duke wins
DateGameScore
13/02/24Duke v Wake Forest77-69
01/02/23Duke v Wake Forest75-73
20/12/22Wake Forest v Duke81-70
16/02/22Duke v Wake Forest76-74
13/01/22Wake Forest v Duke64-76
18/02/21Wake Forest v Duke60-84
09/01/21Duke v Wake Forest79-68
26/02/20Wake Forest v Duke113-101 OT
12/01/20Duke v Wake Forest90-59
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/24HPittsburgh91-58
17/02/24AVirginia47-49
13/02/24ADuke69-77
10/02/24HNC State83-79
07/02/24AGeorgia Tech80-51
04/02/24HSyracuse99-70
01/02/24APittsburgh72-77
23/01/24ANorth Carolina64-85
20/01/24HLouisville90-65
17/01/24ANC State76-83
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24AMiami (FL)84-55
17/02/24AFlorida State76-67
13/02/24HWake Forest77-69
10/02/24HBoston College80-65
08/02/24HNotre Dame71-53
03/02/24ANorth Carolina84-93
30/01/24AVirginia Tech77-67
27/01/24HClemson72-71
24/01/24ALouisville83-69
21/01/24HPittsburgh76-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW65%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %65%88%22%
Points / game79.483.272.3
Allowed / game69.366.874.1
Point differential+10.1+16.4-1.8
Avg total148.8150.0146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%76%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %8%12%0%
Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWLWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %81%88%70%
Points / game80.583.176.3
Allowed / game67.266.668.0
Point differential+13.3+16.4+8.3
Avg total147.6149.7144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%62%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2621581%80.567.2+13.3
2 North Carolina2620677%82.871.4+11.4
3 Virginia2720774%64.158.6+5.6
4 SMU Mustangs2719870%77.566.2+11.3
5 Clemson2618869%78.971.4+7.5
6 Wake Forest2617965%79.469.3+10.1
7 Pittsburgh2617965%75.067.2+7.8
8 Syracuse28181064%76.375.0+1.3
9 NC State26161062%75.871.5+4.3
10 Virginia Tech26151158%74.669.6+5.0
11 Boston College26151158%76.273.2+3.0
12 Florida State26141254%76.574.8+1.7
13 Miami (FL)28151354%76.672.9+3.6
14 Stanford26121446%77.076.1+0.9
15 California27121544%75.176.2-1.1
16 Georgia Tech27111641%70.475.2-4.8
17 Notre Dame27101737%63.165.6-2.5
18 Louisville2781930%72.678.6-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wake Forest364783
Duke384179
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