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Wake Forest vs Duke Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#114
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game62.8
vs
Position#87
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game57.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Wake Forest v Duke
20 Jan 2027
WAKE v DUKE
upcoming
25 Jan 2025
WAKE56
DUKE63
24 Feb 2024
WAKE83
DUKE79
20 Dec 2022
WAKE81
DUKE70
12 Jan 2022
WAKE64
DUKE76
17 Feb 2021
WAKE60
DUKE84
25 Feb 2020
WAKE113
DUKE101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Duke win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#308
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A04/03
NCAA
California
#79
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
95-89 OT
95
89
+6
A10/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A12/03
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#339
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#16
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A05/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#215
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H11/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#173
W
89-51
89
51
+38
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-22
38-46
42-46
46-37
24-32
46-43
29-37
51-36
38-34
37-41
23-41
39-30
40-33
43-29
27-39
24-35
38-22
44-42
46-28
43-23
147.7Avg total
76.7Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.262.8139.0+13.575%
Season at home (3)84.759.0143.7+25.7100%
Season away (1)51.074.0125.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)76.771.0147.7+5.760%
Last 5 (5)73.464.4137.8+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.980.7153.6-7.815%
vs Similar (12)78.875.8154.5+3.075%
vs Weaker (5)80.266.8147.0+13.480%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#56
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H14/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H15/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H19/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H21/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H27/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H29/03
NCAA
Army
#201
W
84-50
84
50
+34
H02/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#230
W
113-52
113
52
+61
H06/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#28
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H11/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#256
W
90-47
90
47
+43
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-22
32-39
38-36
36-34
32-43
39-22
38-34
43-24
39-40
41-35
44-29
28-44
33-18
51-32
54-18
59-34
25-34
48-45
43-20
47-27
144.1Avg total
81.1Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.057.0147.0+33.075%
Season at home (4)90.057.0147.0+33.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.163.0144.1+18.180%
Last 5 (5)86.460.2146.6+26.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)68.063.0131.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)81.063.2144.1+17.890%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +9.3+9.32nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +8.8+8.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +9.3+9.32nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +8.8+8.8
Wake ForestDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#308
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A04/03
NCAA
California
#79
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H07/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A12/03
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#339
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#16
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A05/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#215
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#173
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H14/11
NCAA
67.0Avg total
33.6Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.437.472.8-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.238.476.6-0.241%-
Last 30 away (13)31.836.167.8-4.331%-
Last 10 (10)33.633.467.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.832.667.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.040.774.7-6.715%-
vs Similar (12)35.936.672.5-0.733%-
vs Weaker (5)37.830.868.6+7.0100%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#56
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H14/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H15/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H19/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H21/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H27/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H29/03
NCAA
Army
#201
W
33-18
33
18
+15
H02/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#230
W
54-18
54
18
+36
H06/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#28
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H11/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#256
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H14/11
NCAA
68.1Avg total
38.7Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.630.870.4+8.877%-
Last 30 at home (21)39.030.769.7+8.276%-
Last 30 away (9)41.031.072.0+10.078%-
Last 10 (10)38.729.468.1+9.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.823.863.6+16.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)35.033.068.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)39.730.770.4+9.076%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Wake Forest wins
8
Duke wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Duke v Wake Forest90-69
04/03/25Duke v Wake Forest93-60
25/01/25Wake Forest v Duke56-63
24/02/24Wake Forest v Duke83-79
13/02/24Duke v Wake Forest77-69
01/02/23Duke v Wake Forest75-73
20/12/22Wake Forest v Duke81-70
16/02/22Duke v Wake Forest76-74
13/01/22Wake Forest v Duke64-76
18/02/21Wake Forest v Duke60-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSouthern Utah89-51
11/11/26HCharleston Southern82-64
05/11/26AVanderbilt51-74
03/11/26HMd.-East. Shore83-62
12/03/26AClemson62-71
10/03/26AVirginia Tech95-89 OT
07/03/26HCalifornia80-73
04/03/26AVirginia70-75
28/02/26HSyracuse88-83
25/02/26ABoston College67-68
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSiu Edwardsville90-47
11/11/26HMichigan State73-79
06/11/26HCoastal Carolina113-52
02/11/26HArmy84-50
29/03/26HUconn72-73
27/03/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)80-75
21/03/26HTCU81-58
19/03/26HSiena71-65
15/03/26HVirginia74-70
14/03/26HClemson73-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game76.284.751.0
Allowed / game62.859.074.0
Point differential+13.5+25.7-23.0
Avg total139.0143.7125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Duke
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game57.057.0-
Point differential+33.0+33.0-
Avg total147.0147.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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