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North Carolina vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 100-80
56-31 44-49
Position#41
Record14-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#297
Record10-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · North Carolina v NC State
09 Jan 2027
NORT v NC S
upcoming
19 Feb 2025
NORT97
NC S73
16 Mar 2024
NORT76
NC S84
02 Mar 2024
NORT79
NC S70
21 Jan 2023
NORT80
NC S69
29 Jan 2022
NORT100
NC S80
23 Jan 2021
NORT86
NC S76
25 Feb 2020
NORT85
NC S79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#34
L
69-98
69
98
-29
A18/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
70-50
70
50
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
91-65
91
65
+26
A02/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A06/01
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A23/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-40
40-58
35-27
35-23
49-20
42-45
35-39
38-39
31-25
43-33
42-26
46-39
22-49
35-36
36-46
40-52
37-33
41-35
33-31
25-16
144.6Avg total
73.4Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.971.0147.9+5.970%
Season at home (13)76.865.5142.4+11.385%
Season away (7)77.081.3158.3-4.343%
Last 10 (10)73.471.2144.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)71.472.6144.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.595.5172.0-19.00%
vs Similar (16)74.470.6145.0+3.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.866.8149.6+16.192%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#123
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H22/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A05/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A13/01
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H20/01
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-37
32-47
41-40
42-51
41-43
40-40
29-33
39-30
28-30
37-40
35-27
44-36
36-45
37-43
21-35
38-27
43-32
34-31
30-30
35-43
146.0Avg total
72.0Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.873.7148.4+1.148%
Season at home (15)75.673.0148.6+2.653%
Season away (6)72.775.3148.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)72.074.0146.0-2.030%
Last 5 (5)70.669.8140.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.673.7145.3-2.140%
vs Similar (9)73.073.3146.3-0.356%
vs Weaker (5)77.666.2143.8+11.480%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -1.0-1.0
North CarolinaNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#34
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A18/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H22/12
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
49-20
49
20
+29
A02/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A06/01
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A23/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H27/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
34.9Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.770.1+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.133.570.6+3.665%-
Last 30 away (10)32.237.169.3-4.910%-
Last 10 (10)34.933.668.5+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)34.037.071.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.040.572.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (16)33.135.268.2-2.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.233.072.2+6.267%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#123
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A30/12
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A05/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H08/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A13/01
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H20/01
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A27/01
NCAA
69.4Avg total
34.2Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.168.5+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.534.668.1-1.141%-
Last 30 away (13)35.533.569.0+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)34.235.269.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.866.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.933.566.4-0.747%-
vs Similar (9)34.135.970.0-1.844%-
vs Weaker (5)38.233.071.2+5.260%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
North Carolina wins
1
NC State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/22HBoston College58-47
25/01/22HVirginia Tech78-68
23/01/22AWake Forest76-98
19/01/22AMiami (FL)57-85
16/01/22HGeorgia Tech88-65
08/01/22HVirginia74-58
06/01/22ANotre Dame73-78
02/01/22ABoston College91-65
22/12/21HAppalachian State70-50
18/12/21AKentucky69-98
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/22ANotre Dame65-73
22/01/22HVirginia77-63
20/01/22HVirginia Tech59-62
15/01/22ADuke73-88
13/01/22ALouisville79-63
08/01/22HClemson65-70
05/01/22AVirginia Tech68-63
01/01/22HFlorida State81-83
30/12/21AMiami (FL)83-91
22/12/21HWright State70-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW70%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %70%85%43%
Points / game76.976.877.0
Allowed / game71.065.581.3
Point differential+5.8+11.3-4.3
Avg total147.9142.4158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%77%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NC State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL48%
HomeLLLLW53%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21156
Win %48%53%33%
Points / game74.875.672.7
Allowed / game73.773.075.3
Point differential+1.1+2.6-2.7
Avg total148.4148.6148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %10%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2017385%81.665.8+15.8
2 Wake Forest2117481%79.667.9+11.7
3 SMU Mustangs1915479%76.467.2+9.3
4 Miami (FL)2116576%75.971.4+4.4
5 North Carolina2014670%76.971.0+5.8
6 Notre Dame1913668%71.766.5+5.2
7 Florida State1913668%72.968.8+4.1
8 Stanford1812667%69.369.6-0.3
9 Virginia2012860%62.559.4+3.2
10 Clemson2011955%73.067.0+6.0
11 Louisville21111052%68.368.0+0.3
12 Virginia Tech20101050%69.361.6+7.7
13 NC State21101148%74.873.7+1.1
14 Syracuse2091145%76.575.3+1.1
15 California2091145%64.565.3-0.8
16 Boston College1981142%65.566.4-0.9
17 Georgia Tech2081240%69.569.7-0.1
18 Pittsburgh2081240%61.864.9-3.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina5644100
NC State314980
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