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Wake Forest vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-79
37-31 40-48
Position#142
Record14-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#66
Record16-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Wake Forest v NC State
31 Jan 2026
WAKE78
NC S96
04 Jan 2025
WAKE77
NC S59
10 Feb 2024
WAKE83
NC S79
28 Jan 2023
WAKE77
NC S79
02 Mar 2022
WAKE101
NC S76
20 Feb 2021
WAKE62
NC S80
07 Dec 2019
WAKE82
NC S91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#132
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A17/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A05/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H12/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A15/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-43
24-38
39-30
42-40
38-38
39-37
38-37
41-51
43-26
37-46
44-35
46-40
41-31
44-32
48-38
39-39
32-42
35-34
39-49
40-32
154.0Avg total
78.2Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.472.7150.1+4.767%
Season at home (13)79.770.2149.9+9.585%
Season away (8)73.876.8150.5-3.038%
Last 10 (10)78.275.8154.0+2.460%
Last 5 (5)81.674.4156.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.073.3140.3-6.343%
vs Similar (10)75.974.5150.4+1.460%
vs Weaker (12)85.872.9158.7+12.875%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#22
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H13/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H18/12
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H23/12
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A30/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H05/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A08/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A21/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-29
44-44
34-38
36-28
31-28
45-36
21-28
43-50
44-22
40-38
36-22
37-47
42-32
31-41
42-37
36-29
33-34
36-46
39-42
46-40
149.3Avg total
77.4Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.369.6148.9+9.776%
Season at home (15)82.367.3149.5+15.093%
Season away (6)71.875.5147.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)77.471.9149.3+5.580%
Last 5 (5)77.675.6153.2+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.478.6143.0-14.20%
vs Similar (14)73.673.1146.6+0.543%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.466.3149.6+17.1100%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: -0.5-0.5
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: -0.5-0.5
Wake ForestNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#132
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A17/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A05/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A26/01
NCAA
76.4Avg total
39.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.333.670.9+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.532.571.9+7.074%-
Last 30 away (11)33.635.569.2-1.945%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.976.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.079.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.934.367.1-1.457%-
vs Similar (10)35.137.372.4-2.240%-
vs Weaker (12)41.331.172.4+10.383%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#22
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H13/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H18/12
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H23/12
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A30/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H05/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
36-22
36
22
+14
A08/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A21/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H25/01
NCAA
68.2Avg total
37.0Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.131.969.0+5.357%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.331.369.6+6.963%-
Last 30 away (11)35.232.868.0+2.445%-
Last 10 (10)37.031.268.2+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.433.471.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.836.065.8-6.20%-
vs Similar (14)36.431.167.5+5.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.431.072.4+10.482%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Wake Forest wins
4
NC State wins
DateGameScore
03/03/22Wake Forest v NC State101-76
10/02/22NC State v Wake Forest51-69
20/02/21Wake Forest v NC State62-80
28/01/21NC State v Wake Forest72-67
07/03/20NC State v Wake Forest84-64
07/12/19Wake Forest v NC State82-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/23APittsburgh79-81
21/01/23HVirginia67-76
18/01/23HClemson87-77
15/01/23ABoston College85-63
12/01/23HFlorida State90-75
07/01/23ALouisville80-72
05/01/23ANorth Carolina79-88
31/12/22HVirginia Tech77-75
20/12/22HDuke81-70
17/12/22ARutgers57-81
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23HNotre Dame85-82
21/01/23ANorth Carolina69-80
18/01/23AGeorgia Tech78-66
14/01/23HMiami (FL)83-81 OT
08/01/23AVirginia Tech73-69
05/01/23HDuke84-60
30/12/22AClemson64-78
23/12/22HLouisville76-64
18/12/22HVanderbilt70-66
13/12/22HFurman92-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %67%85%38%
Points / game77.479.773.8
Allowed / game72.770.276.8
Point differential+4.7+9.5-3.0
Avg total150.1149.9150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%62%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %10%8%12%
NC State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21156
Win %76%93%33%
Points / game79.382.371.8
Allowed / game69.667.375.5
Point differential+9.7+15.0-3.7
Avg total148.9149.5147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia1916384%70.660.1+10.5
2 Clemson2117481%74.366.1+8.2
3 NC State2116576%79.369.6+9.7
4 North Carolina2115671%79.272.0+7.2
5 Duke2014670%72.264.2+7.9
6 Pittsburgh2114767%74.468.2+6.2
7 Wake Forest2114767%77.472.7+4.7
8 Syracuse2113862%75.270.0+5.2
9 Virginia Tech2012860%72.866.1+6.8
10 Miami (FL)40231757%76.272.2+4.0
11 Notre Dame22101245%70.771.5-0.8
12 Boston College22101245%65.969.8-3.9
13 Stanford2081240%68.166.1+2.0
14 Georgia Tech2081240%68.970.5-1.6
15 SMU Mustangs2171433%69.473.8-4.4
16 Florida State2171433%69.374.0-4.7
17 California2031715%61.068.4-7.5
18 Louisville2121910%62.575.2-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wake Forest374077
NC State314879
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