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Wake Forest vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 83-79
39-45 44-34
Position#119
Record15-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#94
Record15-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Wake Forest v NC State
31 Jan 2026
WAKE78
NC S96
04 Jan 2025
WAKE77
NC S59
10 Feb 2024
WAKE83
NC S79
28 Jan 2023
WAKE77
NC S79
02 Mar 2022
WAKE101
NC S76
20 Feb 2021
WAKE62
NC S80
07 Dec 2019
WAKE82
NC S91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H13/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H20/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
80-51
80
51
+29
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-40
48-38
44-37
29-36
41-42
41-45
27-21
39-26
45-35
31-48
48-33
42-32
34-33
30-52
37-27
35-50
42-28
57-42
46-20
34-31
152.4Avg total
79.9Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.770.0150.7+10.768%
Season at home (15)82.766.6149.3+16.187%
Season away (7)76.477.3153.7-0.929%
Last 10 (10)79.972.5152.4+7.460%
Last 5 (5)81.069.6150.6+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)74.090.0164.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.275.2149.5-1.042%
vs Weaker (17)81.767.8149.5+13.976%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#66
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H06/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
54-67
54
67
-13
H11/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A13/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H20/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
53-59 OT
53
59
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A28/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H03/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
41-32
28-30
26-37
44-35
45-48
35-45
48-31
32-33
46-51
15-27
32-20
22-38
43-39
33-29
41-39
35-36
47-40
30-38
34-29
143.5Avg total
71.8Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.270.0145.3+5.265%
Season at home (14)78.167.0145.1+11.179%
Season away (9)70.874.8145.6-4.044%
Last 10 (10)71.871.7143.5+0.150%
Last 5 (5)67.669.4137.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.577.0145.5-8.50%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.773.7145.4-2.147%
vs Weaker (11)81.866.9148.7+14.9100%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +3.7+3.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +3.7+3.7
Wake ForestNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H13/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A17/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H20/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
46-20
46
20
+26
A07/02
NCAA
71.6Avg total
40.0Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.173.0+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.933.871.7+4.172%-
Last 30 away (12)38.037.075.0+1.033%-
Last 10 (10)40.031.671.6+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.428.269.6+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.052.098.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.434.370.8+2.150%-
vs Weaker (17)38.534.673.1+3.965%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#66
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H06/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A13/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H17/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H20/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
15-27
15
27
-12
A25/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A28/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H08/02
NCAA
64.8Avg total
30.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.233.869.0+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.733.771.4+3.961%-
Last 30 away (12)31.533.965.4-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)30.933.964.8-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)27.033.660.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.035.068.0-2.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.434.366.7-1.940%-
vs Weaker (11)39.832.772.5+7.173%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Wake Forest wins
7
NC State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24AGeorgia Tech80-51
04/02/24HSyracuse99-70
01/02/24APittsburgh72-77
23/01/24ANorth Carolina64-85
20/01/24HLouisville90-65
17/01/24ANC State76-83
13/01/24HVirginia66-47
10/01/24AFlorida State82-87
06/01/24HMiami (FL)86-82 OT
03/01/24ABoston College84-78
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24HPittsburgh64-67
03/02/24HGeorgia Tech82-76
31/01/24HMiami (FL)74-68
28/01/24ASyracuse65-77
25/01/24AVirginia53-59 OT
20/01/24HVirginia Tech78-84
17/01/24HWake Forest83-76
13/01/24ALouisville89-83
11/01/24HNorth Carolina54-67
06/01/24HVirginia76-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW68%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22157
Win %68%87%29%
Points / game80.782.776.4
Allowed / game70.066.677.3
Point differential+10.7+16.1-0.9
Avg total150.7149.3153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%80%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %9%13%0%
NC State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL65%
HomeWLWWL79%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %65%79%44%
Points / game75.278.170.8
Allowed / game70.067.074.8
Point differential+5.2+11.1-4.0
Avg total145.3145.1145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2318578%80.767.6+13.0
2 North Carolina2318578%82.870.3+12.4
3 Virginia2318578%65.156.9+8.2
4 SMU Mustangs2316770%76.464.4+12.0
5 Clemson2316770%79.072.2+6.7
6 Wake Forest2215768%80.770.0+10.7
7 Pittsburgh2315865%75.366.7+8.6
8 NC State2315865%75.270.0+5.2
9 Miami (FL)2415962%78.371.7+6.6
10 Syracuse2415962%75.674.5+1.1
11 Virginia Tech2213959%74.369.2+5.1
12 Florida State2213959%76.674.1+2.5
13 Boston College23131057%75.372.4+2.8
14 Stanford22111150%77.976.1+1.8
15 California23101343%75.676.5-0.9
16 Georgia Tech23101343%72.076.2-4.2
17 Notre Dame2371630%61.565.7-4.2
18 Louisville2371630%73.778.7-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wake Forest394483
NC State453479
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