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Washington vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 63-80
31-39 32-41
Position#218
Record10-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game73.6
Washington
USA
vs
Michigan State 🏆
USA
Position#29
Record15-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game64.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WashingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H04/12
NCAA
USC
#153
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A06/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
105-69
105
69
+36
H13/12
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A20/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
86-56
86
56
+30
H23/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A05/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A08/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
48-46
30-48
54-28
53-33
52-36
29-26
37-44
46-26
40-30
36-37
38-28
40-52
40-38
28-45
45-36
36-38
45-36
30-39
42-43
154.6Avg total
80.1Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.173.6154.8+7.559%
Season at home (9)86.171.2157.3+14.978%
Season away (8)75.576.4151.9-0.938%
Last 10 (10)80.174.5154.6+5.650%
Last 5 (5)76.078.4154.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)69.681.2150.8-11.615%
vs Similar (12)79.278.1157.2+1.150%
vs Weaker (5)88.061.8149.8+26.2100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H03/12
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H06/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H20/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
114-97
114
97
+17
H30/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A03/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
80-51
80
51
+29
H06/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-21
36-31
34-31
26-35
36-39
40-33
58-28
34-41
39-36
40-34
55-53
59-44
33-33
23-25
33-17
47-34
28-35
48-31
39-32
42-28
144.6Avg total
78.5Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.064.2143.2+14.888%
Season at home (13)79.964.6144.5+15.392%
Season away (4)76.063.0139.0+13.075%
Last 10 (10)78.566.1144.6+12.480%
Last 5 (5)81.466.4147.8+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.066.0126.0-6.00%
vs Similar (12)70.862.8133.6+7.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.666.7149.4+15.9100%
This opponent (Washington) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: +7.6+7.62nd half: +5.9+5.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: +7.6+7.62nd half: +5.9+5.9
WashingtonMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
WashingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H04/12
NCAA
USC
#153
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A06/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H13/12
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A20/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H23/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A05/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A08/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H15/01
NCAA
74.0Avg total
36.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.536.972.4-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.334.571.8+2.940%-
Last 30 away (15)33.739.373.1-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.074.0-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.042.276.2-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.739.573.2-5.823%-
vs Similar (12)34.037.571.5-3.533%-
vs Weaker (5)44.028.872.8+15.280%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H03/12
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H06/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H20/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H30/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A03/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
33-17
33
17
+16
H06/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/01
NCAA
71.5Avg total
39.0Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.831.768.5+5.157%-
Last 30 at home (21)38.031.269.2+6.771%-
Last 30 away (9)34.032.866.8+1.222%-
Last 10 (10)39.032.571.5+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.071.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (12)31.631.663.2+0.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.631.872.4+8.871%-
This opponent (Washington) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Washington wins
1
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
10/01/25Michigan State v Washington88-54
Washingtonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HMichigan72-82
11/01/26HOhio State81-74
08/01/26APurdue73-81
05/01/26AIndiana80-90
30/12/25HUtah Utes74-65
23/12/25HSan Diego Toreros86-56
20/12/25ASeattle66-70
13/12/25HSouthern Utah105-69
06/12/25AUSC84-76
04/12/25HUCLA80-82
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HIndiana81-60
08/01/26HNorthwestern76-66
06/01/26HUSC80-51
03/01/26ANebraska56-58
30/12/25HCornell114-97
20/12/25HOakland79-70
16/12/25HToledo92-69
13/12/25APenn State76-72
06/12/25HDuke60-66
03/12/25HIowa71-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL59%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%78%38%
Points / game81.186.175.5
Allowed / game73.671.276.4
Point differential+7.5+14.9-0.9
Avg total154.8157.3151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17134
Win %88%92%75%
Points / game79.079.976.0
Allowed / game64.264.663.0
Point differential+14.8+15.3+13.0
Avg total143.2144.5139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%77%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska18180100%81.465.3+16.1
2 Michigan1716194%93.168.8+24.2
3 Purdue1716194%86.068.3+17.7
4 Michigan State1715288%79.064.2+14.8
5 Illinois1815383%85.167.4+17.7
6 USC1714382%84.576.2+8.4
7 Iowa1813572%78.462.4+16.1
8 Wisconsin1813572%83.575.7+7.8
9 Ohio State1712571%83.372.1+11.2
10 Indiana1812667%81.669.1+12.6
11 UCLA1812667%78.269.5+8.7
12 Washington1710759%81.173.6+7.5
13 Minnesota1810856%72.867.3+5.4
14 Penn State179853%77.175.1+1.9
15 Rutgers189950%70.774.4-3.7
16 Northwestern1881044%77.371.9+5.4
17 Oregon1881044%75.274.6+0.6
18 Maryland1771041%73.278.1-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Washington313263
Michigan State394180
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