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Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 109-116 (OT)
30-26 23-27 26-33 26-19 4-11
Position#23
Record30-32
FormWLLWW
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game113.1
vs
Position#18
Record31-33
FormWWLWL
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game112.0
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Toronto Raptors
22 Dec 2026
WAS v TOR
upcoming
23 Oct 2026
WAS102
TOR112
28 Feb 2026
WAS125
TOR134
26 Dec 2025
WAS138
TOR117
24 Mar 2025
WAS104
TOR112
29 Jan 2025
WAS82
TOR106
23 Mar 2024
WAS112
TOR109
27 Dec 2023
WAS102
TOR132
04 Mar 2023
WAS109
TOR116
02 Mar 2023
WAS119
TOR108
21 Jan 2022
WAS105
TOR109
03 Nov 2021
WAS100
TOR109
10 Feb 2021
WAS115
TOR137
07 Apr 2020
WAS v TOR
upcoming
13 Jan 2019
WAS138
TOR140
20 Oct 2018
WAS113
TOR117
27 Apr 2018
WAS92
TOR102
22 Apr 2018
WAS106
TOR98
20 Apr 2018
WAS122
TOR103
02 Mar 2018
WAS95
TOR102
01 Feb 2018
WAS122
TOR119
03 Mar 2017
WAS106
TOR114
02 Nov 2016
WAS103
TOR113
08 Jan 2016
WAS88
TOR97
28 Nov 2015
WAS82
TOR84
26 Apr 2015
WAS125
TOR94
24 Apr 2015
WAS106
TOR99
31 Jan 2015
WAS116
TOR120
18 Feb 2014
WAS93
TOR103
03 Jan 2014
WAS88
TOR101
31 Mar 2013
WAS109
TOR92
19 Feb 2013
WAS88
TOR96
06 Feb 2012
WAS111
TOR108
10 Jan 2012
WAS93
TOR78
15 Jan 2011
WAS98
TOR95
16 Nov 2010
WAS109
TOR94
04 Dec 2009
WAS107
TOR109
13 Apr 2009
WAS96
TOR97
07 Jan 2009
WAS93
TOR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
91-114
91
114
-23
78avg 106
H07/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
118-104
118
104
+14
120avg 106
H09/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
127-113
127
113
+14
135avg 106
H12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
126-135
126
135
-9
123avg 106
A14/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
126-101
126
101
+25
129avg 106
A15/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
114-106
114
106
+8
106avg 106
A17/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
109-115
109
115
-6
104avg 106
H25/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
82-102
82
102
-20
74avg 106
A26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
119-116
119
116
+3
106avg 106
A01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
119-108
119
108
+11
118avg 106
H03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-37
21-29
26-30
19-18
32-31
29-30
27-15
30-28
37-29
43-28
24-31
23-25
39-29
27-42
27-35
33-29
31-27
28-25
38-22
29-27
21-36
30-23
25-28
38-19
38-27
26-33
24-29
21-26
27-25
18-22
22-27
15-28
27-27
25-29
33-34
34-26
24-20
35-30
30-28
30-30
224.5Avg total
113.1Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)113.2113.1226.4+0.148%
Season at home (28)113.3113.2226.5+0.154%
Season away (34)113.2113.1226.3+0.144%
Last 10 (10)113.1111.4224.5+1.760%
Last 5 (5)108.6109.4218.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)109.5110.8220.2-1.250%
vs Similar ◀ (23)116.8114.1230.9+2.757%
vs Weaker (3)117.7104.3222.0+13.3100%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
106-103
106
103
+3
89avg 100
A05/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
112-98
112
98
+14
106avg 100
H09/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
116-122
116
122
-6
105avg 100
H11/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
119-118
119
118
+1
105avg 100
H12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
123-113
123
113
+10
125avg 100
H15/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
115-110
115
110
+5
102avg 100
H24/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
95-91
95
91
+4
80avg 100
A25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
93-118
93
118
-25
76avg 100
A26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
104-98
104
98
+6
93avg 100
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
108-119
108
119
-11
101avg 100
A03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-31
31-31
19-24
28-17
34-24
23-30
31-21
24-23
34-28
27-30
35-25
20-39
31-29
22-23
31-25
35-41
35-27
30-43
29-19
29-24
23-19
31-26
38-32
23-33
22-22
22-22
27-26
24-21
28-34
24-30
24-28
17-26
24-23
20-23
26-26
34-26
20-24
30-35
28-30
30-30
218.1Avg total
109.1Scored
109.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)112.5112.0224.6+0.548%
Season at home (33)113.4110.8224.1+2.661%
Season away (31)111.6113.4225.0-1.835%
Last 10 (10)109.1109.0218.1+0.170%
Last 5 (5)103.0107.2210.2-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)104.0106.0210.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)112.8115.0227.8-2.240%
vs Weaker (9)117.0109.3226.3+7.789%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
Washington WizardsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
46-66
46
66
-20
H07/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H09/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A14/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A15/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A17/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H25/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H03/03
NBA
116.2Avg total
58.3Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.356.9116.2+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (13)61.558.4119.8+3.162%-
Last 30 away (17)57.755.7113.4+2.059%-
Last 10 (10)58.357.9116.2+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)54.254.4108.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.558.2115.8-0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)60.156.5116.6+3.765%-
vs Weaker (3)55.758.0113.7-2.333%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A05/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H09/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H11/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H15/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H24/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A03/03
NBA
109.3Avg total
53.9Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.056.5113.4+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.654.7110.3+0.962%-
Last 30 away (14)58.558.5117.0+0.036%-
Last 10 (10)53.955.4109.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)48.851.6100.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.050.0107.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)56.258.1114.3-1.935%-
vs Weaker (9)58.753.6112.2+5.178%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.430.4
58.0%
54.5%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.012.1
39.0%
35.8%36.3
🏀 Free throws19.716.0
81.2%
78.1%16.0
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 109.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.031.0
51.7%
54.5%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.1
32.7%
35.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.916.8
73.4%
78.1%16.8
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
WWLLWWLWWL
Toronto Raptors
LWLWWWWLWW
#23
League position
#18
+1.7
Net rating
+0.1
116.2
Offensive rating
108.4
114.5
Defensive rating
108.3
58.2%
Effective FG%
50.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
12.2%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.0%
3-point %
32.7%
60.2%
Assist %
57.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 108.4Defence114.5 · 108.3Shooting58.2% · 50.8%3-point %39.0% · 32.7%Ball care15.1% · 12.2%Off. rebounds24.5% · 26.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23HToronto Raptors119-108
01/03/23AAtlanta Hawks119-116
26/02/23AChicago Bulls82-102
25/02/23HNew York Knicks109-115
17/02/23AMinnesota Timberwolves114-106
15/02/23APortland Trail Blazers126-101
14/02/23AGolden State Warriors126-135
12/02/23HIndiana Pacers127-113
09/02/23HCharlotte Hornets118-104
07/02/23HCleveland Cavaliers91-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23AWashington Wizards108-119
01/03/23HChicago Bulls104-98
26/02/23ACleveland Cavaliers93-118
25/02/23ADetroit Pistons95-91
24/02/23HNew Orleans Pelicans115-110
15/02/23HOrlando Magic123-113
12/02/23HDetroit Pistons119-118
11/02/23HUtah Jazz116-122
09/02/23HSan Antonio Spurs112-98
05/02/23AMemphis Grizzlies106-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW48%
HomeLWWLW54%
AwayLWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games622834
Win %48%54%44%
Points / game113.2113.3113.2
Allowed / game113.1113.2113.1
Point differential+0.1+0.1+0.1
Avg total226.4226.5226.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)71% (7)44% (9)
Overtime %3%4%3%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeLWWWW61%
AwayWWWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643331
Win %48%61%35%
Points / game112.5113.4111.6
Allowed / game112.0110.8113.4
Point differential+0.5+2.6-1.8
Avg total224.6224.1225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%30%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (21)44% (9)33% (12)
Overtime %6%3%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks62451773%115.3111.2+4.1
2 Boston Celtics64451970%117.5112.1+5.4
3 Denver Nuggets64451970%117.1112.6+4.6
4 Philadelphia 76ers62402265%114.2110.3+3.8
5 Memphis Grizzlies62382461%115.6111.6+4.0
6 Cleveland Cavaliers65392660%111.9106.7+5.2
7 Sacramento Kings62372560%120.9118.2+2.6
8 New York Knicks65382758%115.2112.1+3.1
9 Brooklyn Nets63352856%113.7113.3+0.4
10 Phoenix Suns64352955%112.8110.8+1.9
11 Golden State Warriors64343053%118.2117.2+1.0
12 Dallas Mavericks64333152%113.8112.9+0.9
13 Miami Heat64333152%108.0108.8-0.9
14 Atlanta Hawks63323151%117.1116.9+0.2
15 Minnesota Timberwolves65333251%115.3115.3-0.0
16 Los Angeles Clippers66333350%112.4112.7-0.4
17 New Orleans Pelicans64313348%114.2113.4+0.8
18 Toronto Raptors64313348%112.5112.0+0.5
19 Utah Jazz64313348%117.0117.0+0.0
20 Washington Wizards62303248%113.2113.1+0.1
21 Los Angeles Lakers64303447%116.8117.8-1.0
22 Oklahoma City Thunder63293446%118.0116.6+1.4
23 Portland Trail Blazers63293446%114.9115.7-0.9
24 Chicago Bulls64293545%112.9112.5+0.3
25 Indiana Pacers64283644%114.9117.3-2.5
26 Orlando Magic64273742%110.8113.6-2.8
27 Charlotte Hornets65204531%112.2118.1-5.9
28 San Antonio Spurs63164725%112.1122.0-9.9
29 Detroit Pistons63154824%111.8119.2-7.4
30 Houston Rockets62134921%109.5118.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Washington Wizards302326264109
Toronto Raptors2627331911116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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