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Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#23
Record4-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game107.5
Allowed / game113.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#17
Record5-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game111.9
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Toronto Raptors
22 Dec 2026
WAS v TOR
upcoming
23 Oct 2026
WAS102
TOR112
28 Feb 2026
WAS125
TOR134
26 Dec 2025
WAS138
TOR117
24 Mar 2025
WAS104
TOR112
29 Jan 2025
WAS82
TOR106
23 Mar 2024
WAS112
TOR109
27 Dec 2023
WAS102
TOR132
04 Mar 2023
WAS109
TOR116
02 Mar 2023
WAS119
TOR108
21 Jan 2022
WAS105
TOR109
03 Nov 2021
WAS100
TOR109
10 Feb 2021
WAS115
TOR137
07 Apr 2020
WAS v TOR
upcoming
13 Jan 2019
WAS138
TOR140
20 Oct 2018
WAS113
TOR117
27 Apr 2018
WAS92
TOR102
22 Apr 2018
WAS106
TOR98
20 Apr 2018
WAS122
TOR103
02 Mar 2018
WAS95
TOR102
01 Feb 2018
WAS122
TOR119
03 Mar 2017
WAS106
TOR114
02 Nov 2016
WAS103
TOR113
08 Jan 2016
WAS88
TOR97
28 Nov 2015
WAS82
TOR84
26 Apr 2015
WAS125
TOR94
24 Apr 2015
WAS106
TOR99
31 Jan 2015
WAS116
TOR120
18 Feb 2014
WAS93
TOR103
03 Jan 2014
WAS88
TOR101
31 Mar 2013
WAS109
TOR92
19 Feb 2013
WAS88
TOR96
06 Feb 2012
WAS111
TOR108
10 Jan 2012
WAS93
TOR78
15 Jan 2011
WAS98
TOR95
16 Nov 2010
WAS109
TOR94
04 Dec 2009
WAS107
TOR109
13 Apr 2009
WAS96
TOR97
07 Jan 2009
WAS93
TOR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
124-120
124
120
+4
118avg 99
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 99
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
111-121
111
121
-10
105avg 99
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
95-79
95
79
+16
92avg 99
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 99
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
105-120
105
120
-15
96avg 99
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
132-139
132
139
-7
126avg 99
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
75-114
75
114
-39
54avg 99
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#8
L
111-122
111
122
-11
96avg 99
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
L
101-114
101
114
-13
83avg 99
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
29-35
40-20
27-38
21-19
23-35
24-26
35-30
42-34
27-25
23-33
19-29
22-26
29-20
28-13
16-20
28-33
32-26
19-9
24-26
32-37
29-31
24-25
20-27
32-28
27-38
35-39
38-34
19-25
17-32
23-33
16-24
32-31
26-37
29-35
24-19
25-26
25-29
27-22
24-37
219.3Avg total
106.0Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)107.5113.4220.9-5.933%
Season at home (4)107.5106.8214.2+0.850%
Season away (8)107.5116.8224.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)106.0113.3219.3-7.330%
Last 5 (5)104.8121.8226.6-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)111.0128.2239.2-17.20%
vs Similar (4)113.0109.8222.8+3.250%
vs Weaker (4)112.5106.2218.8+6.275%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
W
112-102
112
102
+10
99avg 107
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
94-117
94
117
-23
52avg 107
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
129-99
129
99
+30
127avg 107
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
114-121
114
121
-7
99avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
125-131
125
131
-6
111avg 107
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
125-118
125
118
+7
115avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
109-128
109
128
-19
98avg 107
A05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
121-107
121
107
+14
111avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
102-118
102
118
-16
88avg 107
H10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
93-98
93
98
-5
84avg 107
H12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
26-31
21-25
31-25
21-32
26-23
15-35
32-27
32-25
37-28
34-23
26-23
27-31
28-33
33-31
26-26
23-36
31-30
28-38
43-27
22-33
30-30
26-28
47-27
35-33
32-31
15-39
27-25
24-29
27-31
38-27
32-20
26-25
27-34
28-30
21-29
38-29
23-25
19-21
13-23
226.3Avg total
112.4Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.5111.9226.4+2.545%
Season at home (5)114.6105.6220.2+9.040%
Season away (6)114.3117.2231.5-2.850%
Last 10 (10)112.4113.9226.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)110.0113.8223.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.0116.7220.7-12.70%
vs Similar (13)112.6111.1223.7+1.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)125.2108.4233.5+16.882%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +4.6+4.6
Washington WizardsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#8
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A12/11
NBA
113.9Avg total
54.5Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.262.2116.4-7.913%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.762.4117.1-7.88%-
Last 30 away (18)53.962.0115.9-8.117%-
Last 10 (10)54.559.4113.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)52.862.8115.6-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)54.065.0119.0-11.05%-
vs Similar (4)59.054.5113.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (4)50.854.5105.2-3.825%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H12/11
NBA
115.9Avg total
56.9Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.154.6111.7+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.651.8112.4+8.871%-
Last 30 away (16)54.057.1111.1-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)56.959.0115.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)56.860.0116.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.756.5106.2-6.817%-
vs Similar (13)57.453.7111.1+3.754%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)60.754.6115.4+6.164%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.431.5
55.9%
54.0%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.0
34.8%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws23.018.1
78.7%
77.1%18.1
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 108.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.227.9
49.6%
54.0%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.5
33.9%
35.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws25.518.3
71.8%
77.1%18.3
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLLWWLLW
Toronto Raptors
LLWLWLLWLW
#23
League position
#17
-6.2
Net rating
-0.9
110.3
Offensive rating
105.5
116.5
Defensive rating
106.4
54.5%
Effective FG%
50.1%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.5%
Turnover %
12.9%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.8%
3-point %
33.9%
56.2%
Assist %
67.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 105.5Defence116.5 · 106.4Shooting54.5% · 50.1%3-point %34.8% · 33.9%Ball care13.5% · 12.9%Off. rebounds24.1% · 24.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AIndiana Pacers101-114
10/11/26ADetroit Pistons111-122
08/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder75-114
07/11/26AAtlanta Hawks132-139
05/11/26HAtlanta Hawks105-120
03/11/26AOrlando Magic103-94
30/10/26HCharlotte Hornets95-79
28/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers111-121
26/10/26ACharlotte Hornets103-110
25/10/26AChicago Bulls124-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HBoston Celtics93-98
10/11/26HMemphis Grizzlies102-118
07/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks121-107
05/11/26ADenver Nuggets109-128
03/11/26ALos Angeles Clippers125-118
02/11/26ALos Angeles Lakers125-131
30/10/26HOrlando Magic114-121
28/10/26HOrlando Magic129-99
25/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves94-117
23/10/26AWashington Wizards112-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game107.5107.5107.5
Allowed / game113.4106.8116.8
Point differential-5.9+0.8-9.2
Avg total220.9214.2224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game114.5114.6114.3
Allowed / game111.9105.6117.2
Point differential+2.5+9.0-2.8
Avg total226.4220.2231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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