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Liberty vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-60
34-31 34-29
Position#19
Record14-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game61.6
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#175
Record11-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Liberty v New Mexico State
30 Jan 2027
LIBE v NEW
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
LIBE73
NEW 71
18 Jan 2025
LIBE68
NEW 60
29 Feb 2024
LIBE83
NEW 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Penn
#644
W
93-36
93
36
+57
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
89-52
89
52
+37
H08/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H15/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
124-50
124
50
+74
H18/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H04/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A12/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-21
48-15
40-16
49-36
39-37
44-37
59-20
65-30
39-22
40-34
35-21
35-50
42-25
31-38
35-33
41-35
34-27
40-52
31-31
39-41
145.2Avg total
83.1Scored
62.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.961.6140.6+17.378%
Season at home (13)82.360.5142.8+21.877%
Season away (5)70.264.6134.8+5.680%
Last 10 (10)83.162.1145.2+21.070%
Last 5 (5)72.670.6143.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)69.766.3136.0+3.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)75.764.4140.2+11.359%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#208
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H05/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
A08/12
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
67-91
67
91
-24
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H17/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#457
W
87-50
87
50
+37
H20/12
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#497
W
85-52
85
52
+33
H28/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
78-48
78
48
+30
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
85-57
85
57
+28
A12/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-27
40-51
47-38
26-35
27-52
40-39
32-33
40-36
43-18
44-32
44-20
41-32
38-30
37-41
44-19
34-29
38-25
47-32
28-26
31-26
141.8Avg total
76.7Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.567.2141.6+7.365%
Season at home (8)80.463.4143.8+17.088%
Season away (9)69.270.6139.8-1.344%
Last 10 (10)76.765.1141.8+11.680%
Last 5 (5)76.456.0132.4+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)65.775.6141.3-9.938%
vs Similar (8)70.570.8141.2-0.238%
vs Weaker (7)71.164.0135.1+7.171%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +14.6+14.61st half: +8.3+8.32nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +2.7+2.7
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +14.6+14.61st half: +8.3+8.32nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +2.7+2.7
LibertyNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Penn
#644
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
40-16
40
16
+24
H08/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H15/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
59-20
59
20
+39
H18/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H03/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H04/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A12/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H17/01
NCAA
65.2Avg total
39.9Scored
25.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.729.965.6+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.828.265.9+9.674%-
Last 30 away (11)32.132.965.0-0.845%-
Last 10 (10)39.925.365.2+14.690%-
Last 5 (5)35.427.462.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)29.030.059.0-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)36.429.966.3+6.667%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#208
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H05/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A08/12
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#457
W
43-18
43
18
+25
H20/12
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#497
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H28/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
44-19
44
19
+25
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A12/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A17/01
NCAA
65.9Avg total
37.1Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.131.065.1+3.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.728.365.0+8.462%-
Last 30 away (17)32.133.165.2-0.935%-
Last 10 (10)37.128.865.9+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)38.424.062.4+14.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.534.967.4-2.523%-
vs Similar (8)36.030.466.4+5.662%-
vs Weaker (7)33.128.361.4+4.957%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Liberty wins
1
New Mexico State wins
DateGameScore
01/03/24Liberty v New Mexico State83-58
02/02/24New Mexico State v Liberty79-73 OT
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25HUTEP70-72
12/01/25ALouisiana Tech74-79
10/01/25ASam Houston St.76-68
04/01/25HMiddle Tenn. St.73-63
03/01/25HWestern Kentucky70-71
21/12/24HUT Arlington79-56
18/12/24HSt. Andrews124-50
15/12/24HN. Carolina A&T83-74
08/12/24HMiss. Valley St.89-52
29/11/24HCentral Penn93-36
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25AFlorida International59-52
12/01/25AUTEP85-57
04/01/25HLouisiana Tech78-48
03/01/25HSam Houston St.75-71
28/12/24HSouthwest Mustangs85-52
20/12/24HNorthern New Mexico87-50
17/12/24HSouthern Utah72-69
13/12/24ATexas67-91
08/12/24ANew Mexico89-83 OT
05/12/24HAbilene Christian70-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL78%
HomeWWLWL77%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %78%77%80%
Points / game78.982.370.2
Allowed / game61.660.564.6
Point differential+17.3+21.8+5.6
Avg total140.6142.8134.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %6%8%0%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%88%44%
Points / game74.580.469.2
Allowed / game67.263.470.6
Point differential+7.3+17.0-1.3
Avg total141.6143.8139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1814478%78.961.6+17.3
2 UTEP1814478%73.867.6+6.2
3 Middle Tenn. St.1712571%78.571.1+7.4
4 Louisiana Tech1913668%76.468.3+8.1
5 New Mexico State1711665%74.567.2+7.3
6 Western Kentucky1711665%78.675.7+2.9
7 Jacksonville State1811761%77.870.0+7.8
8 Kennesaw State1811761%79.975.4+4.4
9 Delaware1911858%79.676.9+2.7
10 Sam Houston St.1981142%77.877.3+0.5
11 Florida International1971237%72.771.3+1.5
12 Missouri State1971237%70.172.4-2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty343468
New Mexico State312960
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