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Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#99
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game63.5
vs
Position#295
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game78.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Western Kentucky v New Mexico State
07 Jan 2027
WEST v NEW
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
WEST93
NEW 70
01 Feb 2025
WEST101
NEW 69
14 Mar 2024
WEST89
NEW 69
17 Feb 2024
WEST72
NEW 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Kentucky win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
W
94-73
94
73
+21
A21/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H27/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
97-65
97
65
+32
H28/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A06/03
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A07/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H13/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#242
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H03/11
NCAA
Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers
#431
W
82-48
82
48
+34
H06/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#166
L
94-97
94
97
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#404
W
78-51
78
51
+27
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
48-37
46-36
48-26
45-44
49-39
48-26
38-43
36-44
33-45
34-47
41-46
46-50
38-28
45-30
38-14
44-34
41-50
53-47
35-22
43-29
158.6Avg total
84.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.263.5147.8+20.875%
Season at home (3)81.052.3133.3+28.7100%
Season away (1)94.097.0191.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)84.973.7158.6+11.260%
Last 5 (5)84.870.0154.8+14.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.877.5157.3+2.350%
vs Similar (15)72.976.5149.3-3.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.073.7158.7+11.383%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
70-93
70
93
-23
A27/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A11/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A12/03
NCAA
Western N. M.
#353
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H04/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#279
L
68-109
68
109
-41
A07/11
NCAA
UTEP
#156
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-25
32-38
26-48
44-45
42-36
34-40
24-33
44-35
37-33
42-43
39-28
29-35
26-37
35-32
26-31
47-35
42-47
26-62
28-28
30-32
146.6Avg total
70.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.378.3144.7-12.033%
Season at home (1)73.066.0139.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)63.084.5147.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)70.676.0146.6-5.450%
Last 5 (5)65.673.4139.0-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.078.4148.4-8.414%
vs Similar (15)73.676.2149.8-2.647%
vs Weaker (6)77.071.7148.7+5.350%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: -3.4-3.4
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: -3.4-3.4
Western KentuckyNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A21/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H27/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H28/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H13/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#242
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H03/11
NCAA
Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers
#431
W
38-14
38
14
+24
H06/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#166
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#404
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H12/11
NCAA
75.9Avg total
40.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.035.071.0+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.632.771.3+5.967%-
Last 30 away (12)32.138.570.6-6.417%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.075.9+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.632.070.6+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.536.371.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (15)34.436.270.6-1.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)37.337.574.8-0.250%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A27/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A11/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Western N. M.
#353
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H04/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#279
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/11
NCAA
UTEP
#156
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A13/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
32.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.768.9-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.231.365.5+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)34.137.871.9-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)32.534.667.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.266.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.137.971.0-4.729%-
vs Similar (15)33.636.369.9-2.733%-
vs Weaker (6)35.230.765.8+4.567%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Western Kentucky wins
3
New Mexico State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HCampbellsville78-51
08/11/26ATennessee Tech94-97
06/11/26HKentucky Wesleyan Panthers82-48
03/11/26HMorehead State83-58
13/03/26HKennesaw State87-96
07/03/26AFlorida International67-92
06/03/26AMissouri State74-87
28/02/26HUTEP97-65
27/02/26HNew Mexico State93-70
21/02/26ALiberty94-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AUTEP58-60
07/11/26AGonzaga68-109
04/11/26HWestern N. M.73-66
12/03/26ASam Houston St.61-69
11/03/26AJacksonville State68-63
07/03/26HKennesaw State79-76
06/03/26HJacksonville State77-75 OT
28/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.85-86 OT
27/02/26AWestern Kentucky70-93
22/02/26HUTEP67-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Kentucky
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game84.281.094.0
Allowed / game63.552.397.0
Point differential+20.8+28.7-3.0
Avg total147.8133.3191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game66.373.063.0
Allowed / game78.366.084.5
Point differential-12.0+7.0-21.5
Avg total144.7139.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Delaware42250%73.561.5+12.0
9 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
10 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
11 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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