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Western Michigan vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 67-77
22-39 45-38
Position#300
Record8-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#226
Record11-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Western Michigan v Ball State
16 Jan 2027
WEST v BALL
upcoming
03 Mar 2026
WEST71
BALL74
03 Feb 2024
WEST67
BALL77
18 Feb 2023
WEST78
BALL68
04 Mar 2022
WEST63
BALL64
22 Dec 2020
WEST68
BALL76
08 Feb 2020
WEST68
BALL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aquinas
#670
W
127-71
127
71
+56
H29/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A03/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A17/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A20/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H24/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H27/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
63-88
63
88
-25
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
68-40
59-31
44-41
39-33
34-32
48-45
33-48
46-31
37-36
44-43
29-27
37-50
31-39
48-45
31-20
42-36
16-29
39-33
27-48
36-40
156.2Avg total
80.4Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.075.5148.6-2.538%
Season at home (11)76.071.4147.4+4.655%
Season away (10)69.880.1149.9-10.320%
Last 10 (10)80.475.8156.2+4.660%
Last 5 (5)67.273.4140.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.277.8146.9-8.617%
vs Similar (9)70.073.6143.6-3.656%
vs Weaker (2)70.571.5142.0-1.050%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#163
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A22/12
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A03/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H06/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A14/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A17/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
87-59
87
59
+28
A24/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H27/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-39
36-41
30-41
39-41
29-31
36-40
35-33
41-47
33-40
39-37
32-29
44-33
35-37
37-35
45-31
42-28
39-26
42-45
31-33
41-48
149.1Avg total
74.1Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.170.6145.7+4.652%
Season at home (12)79.867.5147.2+12.267%
Season away (9)69.074.7143.7-5.733%
Last 10 (10)74.175.0149.1-0.930%
Last 5 (5)79.272.0151.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.881.4160.2-2.620%
vs Similar (8)71.682.2153.9-10.612%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)76.964.9141.9+12.076%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +0.2+0.2
Western MichiganBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aquinas
#670
W
68-40
68
40
+28
H29/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H10/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H13/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A20/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
16-29
16
29
-13
H27/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A31/01
NCAA
71.0Avg total
35.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.336.668.0-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.635.166.7-3.644%-
Last 30 away (14)31.138.469.4-7.321%-
Last 10 (10)35.036.071.0-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)26.832.659.4-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)29.938.468.3-8.428%-
vs Similar (9)30.134.264.3-4.133%-
vs Weaker (2)31.030.061.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#163
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A22/12
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A03/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H06/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A17/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H27/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H31/01
NCAA
67.6Avg total
33.6Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.634.269.8+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.732.970.6+4.859%-
Last 30 away (13)32.835.968.7-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)33.634.067.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.431.267.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.436.470.8-2.040%-
vs Similar (8)32.841.874.5-9.012%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)37.230.167.3+7.271%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Western Michigan wins
5
Ball State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24AToledo63-88
27/01/24HCentral Michigan55-62
24/01/24HEastern Michigan73-56
20/01/24ABowling Green79-84
17/01/24AAkron66-77
13/01/24HOhio81-79
10/01/24HNorthern Illinois95-90 OT
06/01/24ABuffalo82-77
03/01/24AMiami (Ohio)83-74
29/12/23HAquinas127-71
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HBowling Green72-81
27/01/24HNorthern Illinois81-71
24/01/24ABuffalo87-59
20/01/24HMiami (Ohio)80-87 OT
17/01/24AEastern Michigan76-62
14/01/24AToledo72-77
10/01/24HAkron76-80
06/01/24HCentral Michigan65-71
03/01/24AKent State69-82
22/12/23AMinnesota63-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWWWL55%
AwayWWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%55%20%
Points / game73.076.069.8
Allowed / game75.571.480.1
Point differential-2.5+4.6-10.3
Avg total148.6147.4149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %10%18%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL52%
HomeLLLWL67%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %52%67%33%
Points / game75.179.869.0
Allowed / game70.667.574.7
Point differential+4.6+12.2-5.7
Avg total145.7147.2143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2217577%76.265.0+11.2
2 Bowling Green2115671%76.871.7+5.0
3 UMass2114767%80.671.7+8.9
4 Toledo2214864%79.175.5+3.6
5 Central Michigan2112957%67.671.5-3.9
6 Miami (Ohio)2011955%74.271.0+3.2
7 Ohio21111052%78.270.9+7.3
8 Ball State21111052%75.170.6+4.6
9 Kent State22111150%77.573.3+4.2
10 Eastern Michigan2191243%66.374.5-8.2
11 Western Michigan2181338%73.075.5-2.5
12 Northern Illinois2061430%76.880.3-3.6
13 Buffalo2121910%66.580.0-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Michigan224567
Ball State393877
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