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Buffalo vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-74
38-36 42-38
Position#109
Record12-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game71.2
Buffalo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#237
Record11-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game77.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Buffalo v Ball State
03 Jan 2026
BUFF85
BALL72
01 Feb 2025
BUFF76
BALL89
23 Jan 2024
BUFF59
BALL87
12 Feb 2022
BUFF80
BALL74
09 Jan 2021
BUFF86
BALL69
18 Feb 2020
BUFF72
BALL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H29/12
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A01/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
99-88
99
88
+11
H06/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A12/01
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A14/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H22/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A26/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
53-74
53
74
-21
H29/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
102-64
102
64
+38
H09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-33
41-58
38-34
38-54
43-41
56-47
33-34
45-30
34-30
40-38
34-24
30-27
41-41
34-45
20-37
33-37
34-27
40-27
50-35
52-29
150.4Avg total
77.6Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.671.2150.8+8.460%
Season at home (9)84.268.8153.0+15.467%
Season away (11)75.873.1148.9+2.755%
Last 10 (10)77.672.8150.4+4.860%
Last 5 (5)73.665.8139.4+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.086.0161.0-11.00%
vs Similar (13)73.072.5145.5+0.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.471.1156.6+14.379%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A08/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H14/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A19/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H26/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A28/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H29/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
63-87
63
87
-24
A02/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H05/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
H09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
39-38
36-33
38-51
30-34
38-40
35-38
35-45
31-19
50-45
33-27
41-40
46-39
37-33
23-44
40-43
51-45
42-38
37-33
41-45
154.4Avg total
76.9Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.377.3152.7-2.048%
Season at home (12)80.072.5152.5+7.567%
Season away (11)70.382.5152.8-12.327%
Last 10 (10)76.977.5154.4-0.650%
Last 5 (5)79.679.6159.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.782.4157.1-7.721%
vs Similar (8)77.680.9158.5-3.250%
vs Weaker (7)81.169.9151.0+11.386%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -1.7-1.7
BuffaloBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H29/12
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A01/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H06/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/01
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H22/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A26/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H29/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A05/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H09/02
NCAA
70.3Avg total
36.7Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.233.370.5+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.831.968.8+4.975%-
Last 30 away (14)37.734.872.5+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)36.733.670.3+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.832.868.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.041.082.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (13)33.233.066.2+0.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.233.473.6+6.879%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H14/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A28/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H29/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A02/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H05/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H09/02
NCAA
70.7Avg total
36.1Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.572.1+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.132.372.4+7.881%-
Last 30 away (14)34.637.171.7-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.134.670.7+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.675.6+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)34.636.170.6-1.536%-
vs Similar (8)38.036.174.1+1.962%-
vs Weaker (7)40.930.371.1+10.6100%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Buffalo wins
1
Ball State wins
DateGameScore
14/01/22Ball State v Buffalo68-74
02/02/21Ball State v Buffalo58-78
09/01/21Buffalo v Ball State86-69
19/02/20Buffalo v Ball State72-59
08/01/20Ball State v Buffalo88-68
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/22HEastern Michigan102-64
05/02/22ACentral Michigan74-54
29/01/22HOhio53-74
26/01/22AToledo75-86
22/01/22HKent State64-51
14/01/22ABall State74-68
12/01/22AWestern Michigan78-64
06/01/22HBowling Green99-88
01/01/22AAkron76-88
29/12/21HMiami (Ohio)81-91
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/22HCentral Michigan85-89 OT
05/02/22HToledo93-83
02/02/22AOhio63-87
29/01/22HWestern Michigan83-72
28/01/22ANorthern Illinois74-67
26/01/22HMiami (Ohio)81-64
19/01/22AToledo70-83
14/01/22HBuffalo68-74
12/01/22AAkron74-84
08/01/22AEastern Michigan78-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %60%67%55%
Points / game79.684.275.8
Allowed / game71.268.873.1
Point differential+8.4+15.4+2.7
Avg total150.8153.0148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%67%27%
Points / game75.380.070.3
Allowed / game77.372.582.5
Point differential-2.0+7.5-12.3
Avg total152.7152.5152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio2420483%74.766.7+8.0
2 Toledo2419579%80.568.9+11.6
3 Akron2316770%71.262.9+8.3
4 Kent State2415962%70.564.1+6.3
5 Buffalo2012860%79.671.2+8.4
6 Bowling Green24121250%82.277.7+4.5
7 UMass23111248%75.777.4-1.8
8 Ball State23111248%75.377.3-2.0
9 Miami (Ohio)23101343%74.271.3+2.8
10 Eastern Michigan2381535%71.076.9-5.8
11 Northern Illinois2161529%63.571.6-8.1
12 Central Michigan2161529%66.079.4-13.3
13 Western Michigan2442017%64.876.6-11.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo384280
Ball State363874
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