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Wurzburg vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 86-75
Projected total 161.2
Final 78-76
12-24 23-22 26-17 17-13
Position#13
Record3-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game75.4
Wurzburg 🏆
Vs
81%
19%
■ WUR 81%■ ALA 19%
Pythia win probability
AEK Larnaca
Position#25
Record3-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6· Tectake Arena
European cup2026
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Wurzburg faces AEK Larnaca in the FIBA Europe Cup on 11 November 2026, with the model ranking Wurzburg the clear favourite at 81% thanks to a 3-2 record, 85.8 points per game and 75.4 allowed, and a perfect 3-0 home slate; AEK Larnaca also sits 3-2, 80.2 points per game and 80.4 allowed, but their road form is weaker at 1-2 and 76.3 points per game, 81.3 allowed. Wurzburg's last five games show four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 113-79 home victory over Tartu Ulikool and a 96-72 away win against Basketball Braunschweig, while AEK Larnaca's recent five include a 103-78 win over Morphou and a 64-81 loss to Iraklis. The only prior meeting ended with AEK Larnaca defeating Wurzburg 73-65 on 7 October 2026. Pythia projects a 86-75 score, 161.2 total points, and gives Wurzburg an 81% chance of winning, 19% for AEK Larnaca; the home team's line is -11.0 with a 51% probability of covering, and the total line is 160.5 with a 51% chance of the over, while the overtime probability is 3%. The next game will test whether Wurzburg can translate its home dominance into a decisive win.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
81.0%fair 1.23
Best odds1.17
Implied82.9%
Edge-1.9pp
AEK Larnaca winLost
19.0%fair 5.26
Best odds6.50
Implied17.1%
Edge+1.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 18:25 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Bonn
#6
W
83-76
83
76
+7
76avg 73
H02/10
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
65-73
65
73
-8
46avg 73
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#5
L
62-101
62
101
-39
38avg 73
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
73-90
73
90
-17
56avg 73
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 73
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#15
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 73
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
91-62
91
62
+29
79avg 73
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
96-72
96
72
+24
92avg 73
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
113-79
113
79
+34
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
no box
H08/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
15-19
21-19
26-21
17-22
23-18
19-15
6-18
21-19
14-21
6-35
21-26
20-22
17-17
12-27
24-24
21-21
28-22
20-15
18-15
27-17
23-25
27-15
21-31
30-16
16-14
27-11
18-21
29-19
29-11
21-22
17-20
23-20
31-19
33-17
26-23
21-26
18-23
7-33
27-12
164.9Avg total
84.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.875.4161.2+10.460%
Season at home (3)97.071.3168.3+25.7100%
Season away (2)69.081.5150.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)84.180.8164.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)94.279.0173.2+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.890.2165.0-15.525%
vs Similar (15)82.177.1159.3+5.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.876.7159.5+6.160%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#13
W
73-65
73
65
+8
65avg 80
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
90-56
90
56
+34
92avg 80
A11/10
Division A
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
80-94
80
94
-14
69avg 80
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 80
H18/10
Division A
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
99-93
99
93
+6
100avg 80
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
65avg 80
A24/10
Division A
MZT Skopje
#47
W
85-69
85
69
+16
78avg 80
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#5
W
87-61
87
61
+26
94avg 80
H31/10
Division A
Iraklis
#11
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#7
W
103-78
103
78
+25
no box
A08/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
18-23
15-19
18-6
26-14
23-12
18-13
23-17
14-29
20-19
31-17
15-29
30-18
19-20
21-23
13-18
32-21
25-30
22-20
20-22
18-16
30-22
15-21
22-15
23-20
26-22
22-11
14-16
27-10
17-16
30-14
13-21
23-21
11-27
11-14
19-19
29-10
25-18
21-33
28-17
159.9Avg total
84.9Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.280.4160.6-0.260%
Season at home (2)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Season away (3)76.381.3157.7-5.033%
Last 10 (10)84.975.0159.9+9.980%
Last 5 (5)84.872.6157.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)72.380.0152.3-7.733%
vs Similar (7)78.076.6154.6+1.457%
vs Weaker (19)87.875.4163.2+12.489%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1201%1252%1304%1356%1409%14510%15012%15512%16011%16510%1707%1755%1803%1852%1901%1950%2000%205
1%1254%1359%14512%15511%1657%1753%1851%1950%205
Pythia expects about 161 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 155-159 (12%). The market's main line is 160.5.
Over/Under 155.5Actual: Under 155.5
Over 155.5
63.4%
@ 1.47
Under 155.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.47
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 160.5 · main lineActual: Under 160.5
Over 160.5
51.2%
@ 1.91+1.2pp
Under 160.5
48.8%
@ 2.05-1.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
SBO
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Under
Bet365
2.05
Marathon Be
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
SBO
1.83
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Under 165.5
Over 165.5
38.9%
@ 2.15-4.1pp
Under 165.5
61.1%
@ 1.62+4.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.15
Marathon Be
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Under
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Marathon Be
1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

Wurzburg total 83.5Actual: Wurzburg under 83.5
Over 83.5
60.6%
Under 83.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wurzburg total 87.5 · main lineActual: Wurzburg under 87.5
Over 87.5
45.6%
@ 1.90-2.8pp
Under 87.5
54.4%
@ 1.83+2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Betano
1.75
Wurzburg total 91.5Actual: Wurzburg under 91.5
Over 91.5
31.1%
Under 91.5
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca total 71.5Actual: AEK Larnaca over 71.5
Over 71.5
62.3%
Under 71.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca total 75.5 · main lineActual: AEK Larnaca over 75.5
Over 75.5
47.0%
@ 1.87-2.3pp
Under 75.5
53.0%
@ 1.83+2.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Betano
1.80
AEK Larnaca total 79.5Actual: AEK Larnaca under 79.5
Over 79.5
32.4%
Under 79.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%1%-211%-181%-152%-123%-95%-66%-35%+09%+39%+610%+910%+129%+158%+186%+215%+244%+273%+302%+331%+361%+390%+42
1%-211%-153%-96%-39%+310%+99%+156%+214%+272%+331%+39
Margin from Wurzburg's side (positive = Wurzburg win). Pythia's expected margin is +11.4; Wurzburg win by 1+ in 76% of simulations.
Spread Wurzburg -14Actual: AEK Larnaca +14
WUR -14
41.6%
@ 2.38+1.8pp
ALA +14
58.4%
@ 1.68-1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
WUR
Pinnacle
2.38
Marathon Be
2.12
1xBet
2.12
Bet365
2.05
ALA
Bet365
1.68
Marathon Be
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Spread Wurzburg -11 · main lineActual: AEK Larnaca +11
WUR -11
51.2%
@ 1.93+1.7pp
ALA +11
48.8%
@ 2.05-1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
WUR
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Bet365
1.68
ALA
Bet365
2.05
Marathon Be
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.83
Spread Wurzburg -8Actual: AEK Larnaca +8
WUR -8
61.0%
@ 1.49
ALA +8
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
WUR
Marathon Be
1.49
ALA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
WurzburgAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/10
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#15
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H08/11
BBL
83.2Avg total
44.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80
Last 30 (30)40.938.078.9+2.957%43%
Last 30 at home (17)42.739.382.0+3.465%47%
Last 30 away (13)38.636.374.9+2.346%38%
Last 10 (10)44.438.883.2+5.650%50%
Last 5 (5)49.438.087.4+11.480%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.040.579.5-1.525%50%
vs Similar (15)41.037.178.1+3.967%40%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.037.979.9+4.160%50%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A11/10
Division A
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H18/10
Division A
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
Division A
MZT Skopje
#47
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#5
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H31/10
Division A
Iraklis
#11
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#7
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A08/11
Division A
84.3Avg total
45.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80
Last 30 (30)43.840.183.9+3.750%70%
Last 30 at home (15)45.539.184.6+6.560%60%
Last 30 away (15)42.141.183.1+1.040%80%
Last 10 (10)45.838.584.3+7.370%70%
Last 5 (5)45.836.482.2+9.480%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.045.381.3-9.30%67%
vs Similar (7)40.339.179.4+1.129%57%
vs Weaker (19)46.739.486.1+7.368%74%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: AEK Larnaca win
WUR win
74.1%
@ 1.29-3.0pp
ALA win
25.9%
@ 4.10+3.0pp
1st half Spread Wurzburg -6 · main lineActual: AEK Larnaca +6
WUR -6
49.6%
@ 1.88-1.1pp
ALA +6
50.4%
@ 1.93+1.1pp
1st half Over/Under 80 · main lineActual: Over 80
Over
53.5%
@ 1.92+4.0pp
Under
46.5%
@ 1.88-4.0pp
Wurzburg 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Wurzburg under 43.5
Over
49.1%
@ 1.96+1.0pp
Under
50.9%
@ 1.83-1.0pp
AEK Larnaca 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: AEK Larnaca over 36.5
Over
55.6%
@ 1.83+5.0pp
Under
44.4%
@ 1.93-5.0pp
1st half: WUR + total 80.5
WUR & over
37.0%
@ 2.50+2.2pp
WUR & under
34.6%
@ 2.55+0.4pp
1st half: Draw + total 80.5
Draw & over
1.6%
@ 31.00-1.2pp
Draw & under
1.7%
@ 31.00-1.1pp
1st half: ALA + total 80.5
ALA & over
12.8%
@ 6.75-0.1pp
ALA & under
12.3%
@ 7.00-0.2pp
1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Over 78.5
Over
58.8%
@ 1.71+3.1pp
Under
41.2%
@ 2.15-3.1pp
1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Under 81.5
Over
47.7%
@ 1.89-1.2pp
Under
52.3%
@ 1.81+1.2pp
1st half Spread Wurzburg -7Actual: AEK Larnaca +7
WUR -7
45.2%
@ 2.07-0.7pp
ALA +7
54.8%
@ 1.80+0.7pp
1st half Spread Wurzburg -5Actual: AEK Larnaca +5
WUR -5
54.0%
@ 1.75+1.2pp
ALA +5
46.0%
@ 1.96-1.2pp
1st half Spread Wurzburg -8.5Actual: AEK Larnaca +8.5
WUR -8.5
39.2%
@ 2.22-2.3pp
ALA +8.5
60.8%
@ 1.58+2.3pp
1st half Spread Wurzburg -2.5Actual: AEK Larnaca +2.5
WUR -2.5
64.0%
@ 1.43-1.0pp
ALA +2.5
36.0%
@ 2.65+1.0pp
1st half Spread Wurzburg -10.5Actual: AEK Larnaca +10.5
WUR -10.5
31.2%
@ 2.70-3.1pp
ALA +10.5
68.8%
@ 1.41+3.1pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Wurzburg (regulation)
WUR
71.6%
@ 1.30+1.4pp
Draw
3.3%
@ 18.00-1.9pp
ALA
25.1%
@ 3.80+0.5pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
WUR win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
ALA win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: WUR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ALA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (WUR:ALA): WUR wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Wurzburg under 104.596.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.8ppWon
Wurzburg under 107.598.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.5ppWon
Wurzburg under 106.597.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.3ppWon
Wurzburg under 102.594.2%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+6.3ppWon
Wurzburg under 100.591.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+6.3ppWon
Wurzburg under 108.598.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+6.2ppWon
Wurzburg under 98.587.6%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+6.2ppWon
Wurzburg under 97.585.6%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+6.1ppWon
Wurzburg under 92.572.2%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+5.9ppWon
Wurzburg under 94.578.2%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+5.8ppWon
Q1: Wurzburg under 30.595.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+5.7ppWon
Wurzburg under 96.583.3%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+5.6ppWon
Wurzburg over 67.596.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.1ppWon
Wurzburg over 66.597.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.0ppWon
Under 177.584.5%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+5.0ppWon
Q1: Wurzburg under 26.582.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+4.9ppWon
Under 187.594.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.9ppWon
AEK Larnaca +32.595.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.9ppWon
1st half: Wurzburg under 53.592.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+4.8ppWon
Q1: Wurzburg under 28.590.9%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+4.8ppWon
Overtime: no96.9%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+4.7ppWon
Q1: Wurzburg over 12.597.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.7ppLost
AEK Larnaca over 55.597.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.7ppWon
Wurzburg over 68.595.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.7ppWon
AEK Larnaca over 58.595.1%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+4.6ppWon
AEK Larnaca over 56.596.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.6ppWon
Q1: Wurzburg under 32.598.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.6ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca +14.582.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+4.3ppWon
Under 172.576.2%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+4.3ppWon
1st half: Wurzburg under 51.587.4%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+4.3ppWon
AEK Larnaca over 54.598.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.3ppWon
Q1: Wurzburg under 24.570.3%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+4.2ppWon
AEK Larnaca under 95.597.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.2ppWon
1st half: Wurzburg under 49.580.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+4.2ppWon
AEK Larnaca under 94.596.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.2ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca over 27.592.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+4.1ppWon
AEK Larnaca under 92.594.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.1ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca +9.581.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+4.1ppWon
1st half: Wurzburg over 33.591.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+4.1ppWon
AEK Larnaca under 96.597.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.0ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca +16.587.0%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+3.9ppWon
Under 182.590.6%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+3.9ppWon
Q1: Wurzburg over 14.592.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+3.9ppLost
AEK Larnaca under 90.592.7%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+3.7ppWon
1st half: Wurzburg over 37.579.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+3.7ppLost
1st half: AEK Larnaca over 29.587.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+3.7ppWon
Wurzburg over 70.593.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+3.6ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca +12.575.9%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+3.6ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca over 10.594.7%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+3.6ppWon
1st half: Wurzburg over 35.586.6%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+3.6ppLost
AEK Larnaca over 60.592.5%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+3.5ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca +7.573.5%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+3.5ppWon
AEK Larnaca +27.590.4%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+3.3ppWon
AEK Larnaca under 84.582.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+3.3ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca under 26.593.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+3.0ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca under 47.592.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+3.0ppWon
AEK Larnaca under 85.584.4%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+3.0ppWon
AEK Larnaca under 88.590.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+2.8ppWon
AEK Larnaca under 80.570.9%1.36
Bet365
1.36		----+2.8ppWon
Q1: Wurzburg over 16.585.8%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+2.7ppLost
Q1: Wurzburg or AEK Larnaca94.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+2.7ppWon
AEK Larnaca over 64.585.0%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+2.7ppWon
Wurzburg over 72.590.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+2.7ppWon
AEK Larnaca +22.580.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+2.7ppWon
AEK Larnaca under 86.586.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+2.7ppWon
AEK Larnaca over 62.589.2%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+2.5ppWon
Over 137.593.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+2.5ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca over 33.571.4%1.35
Bet365
1.35		----+2.5ppWon
AEK Larnaca under 82.576.9%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+2.4ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca over 31.580.2%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+2.4ppWon
1st half: Wurzburg under 47.571.8%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+2.3ppWon
Wurzburg +12.595.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.1ppWon
1st half: Wurzburg over 39.571.0%1.35
Bet365
1.35		----+2.1ppLost
Q1: AEK Larnaca over 12.589.1%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+2.0ppWon
Wurzburg over 76.582.2%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+1.7ppWon
1st half: Wurzburg +3.583.9%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+1.6ppLost
Wurzburg over 74.586.6%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+1.6ppWon
1st half: Wurzburg (regulation)71.6%1.28
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathon Bet
1.29
Betano
1.28
WilliamHill
1.25		+1.4ppWon
Q2: Wurzburg or AEK Larnaca94.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.2ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca over 14.580.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+1.2ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca under 45.587.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+1.1ppLost
Wurzburg (regulation)79.1%1.16
Marathon Bet
1.16
1xBet
1.16		---+1.1ppWon
Q1: AEK Larnaca under 24.587.1%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+1.0ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca under 43.580.5%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+1.0ppLost
Wurzburg +7.591.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.0ppWon
AEK Larnaca over 66.578.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+1.0ppWon
AEK Larnaca over 65.581.5%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+1.0ppWon
Wurzburg over 77.579.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+0.9ppWon
Q1: Wurzburg over 18.574.9%1.26
Bet365
1.26		----+0.8ppLost
Wurzburg over 78.577.0%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+0.8ppLost
Q1: AEK Larnaca under 22.576.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+0.6ppLost
Over 142.587.7%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+0.5ppWon
1st half: Wurzburg +1.578.2%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+0.5ppLost
Q1: Wurzburg +1.574.5%1.26
Bet365
1.26		----+0.4ppLost
1st half: Wurzburg -0.571.6%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+0.2ppLost
AEK Larnaca over 68.572.7%1.27
Bet365
1.27		-----0.1ppWon
1st half: AEK Larnaca under 41.571.6%1.29
Bet365
1.29		-----0.3ppLost
Over 147.580.1%1.15
Bet365
1.15		-----0.5ppWon
Wurzburg over 80.570.9%1.30
Bet365
1.30		-----0.5ppLost
Wurzburg win81.0%1.14
1xBet
1.17
WilliamHill
1.17
Marathon Bet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Betano
1.14		-1.9ppWon
Over 152.570.2%1.28
Bet365
1.28		-----2.2ppWon
Wurzburg +2.584.7%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----2.8ppWon
1st half: Wurzburg win74.1%1.25
WilliamHill
1.29
Bet365
1.26
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22		--3.0ppLost
Wurzburg -2.576.4%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----3.1ppLost
Wurzburg or draw83.2%1.09
Marathon Bet
1.09		-----Won
AEK Larnaca +18.571.1%1.34
Marathon Bet
1.34		-----Won
AEK Larnaca +1870.3%1.36
Marathon Bet
1.36		-----Won
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.2
48.5%
53.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
72.8%13.6
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.7
51.9%
53.4%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.4
35.2%
32.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.016.1
76.7%
72.8%16.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LWWWWWLLLW
AEK Larnaca
WLWWWWWLWW
#13
League position
#25
+4.1
Net rating
+10.3
92.6
Offensive rating
99.1
88.5
Defensive rating
88.8
49.0%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
14.2%
Turnover %
12.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.1%
3-point %
35.2%
54.9%
Assist %
66.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 99.1Defence88.5 · 88.8Shooting49.0% · 52.2%3-point %33.1% · 35.2%Ball care14.2% · 12.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Wurzburg   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wurzburg wins
1
AEK Larnaca wins
DateGameScore
07/10/26AEK Larnaca v Wurzburg73-65
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBayern73-94
02/11/26HTartu Ulikool113-79
31/10/26ABasketball Braunschweig96-72
28/10/26HDziki Warszawa91-62
26/10/26HChemnitz98-88
20/10/26HMZT Skopje87-73
14/10/26AIraklis73-90
10/10/26ARostock62-101
07/10/26AAEK Larnaca65-73
02/10/26HBonn83-76
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AMorphou103-78
04/11/26AIraklis64-81
31/10/26HETHA Engomi87-61
27/10/26AMZT Skopje85-69
24/10/26AParalimni85-74
21/10/26HTartu Ulikool99-93
18/10/26HApoel BC83-79
14/10/26ADziki Warszawa80-94
11/10/26AApollon90-56
07/10/26HWurzburg73-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game85.897.069.0
Allowed / game75.471.381.5
Point differential+10.4+25.7-12.5
Avg total161.2168.3150.5
Over 160.540%33%50%
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game80.286.076.3
Allowed / game80.479.081.3
Point differential-0.2+7.0-5.0
Avg total160.6165.0157.7
Over 160.540%50%33%
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor550100%96.272.0+24.2
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
5 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
6 Nancy54180%84.469.8+14.6
7 Benfica54180%94.484.8+9.6
8 Dziki Warszawa54180%86.879.6+7.2
9 Bakken Bears54180%82.681.2+1.4
10 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
11 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
12 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
13 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
16 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
17 Wurzburg53260%85.875.4+10.4
18 CSM Oradea53260%86.480.4+6.0
19 Geneva Lions53260%88.885.4+3.4
20 Keravnos53260%79.879.0+0.8
21 Split53260%81.681.0+0.6
22 Oostende53260%79.879.4+0.4
23 AEK Larnaca53260%80.280.4-0.2
24 Sporting CP53260%76.879.2-2.4
25 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
29 BC Prievidza73443%90.784.7+6.0
30 Denizli Basket52340%83.283.0+0.2
31 Vienna Basket52340%79.482.0-2.6
32 Levice52340%73.279.6-6.4
33 Tartu Ulikool52340%88.8101.4-12.6
34 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
35 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
36 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
37 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
38 Parnu72529%72.378.0-5.7
39 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
40 Gence41325%72.586.0-13.5
41 Opava51420%84.488.0-3.6
42 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
43 Absheron Lions51420%85.097.4-12.4
44 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
45 Fribourg Olympic51420%71.687.6-16.0
46 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
47 Rilski Sportist4040%73.292.0-18.8
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg1223261778
AEK Larnaca2422171376
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