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Wurzburg vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 78-63
21-12 16-24 20-16 21-11
Position#15
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#26
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1· Tectake Arena
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
79-72
79
72
+7
67avg 74
H27/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
97-88 OT
97
88
+9
85avg 74
A29/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
75avg 74
A01/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
87-77
87
77
+10
76avg 74
H04/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
86-99
86
99
-13
73avg 74
A07/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
78-77
78
77
+1
73avg 74
H10/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 74
A12/06
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
72-61
72
61
+11
69avg 74
A27/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
92-80
92
80
+12
94avg 74
H02/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 74
A05/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
16-13
17-21
18-17
23-10
22-17
15-29
17-21
16-24
21-21
19-19
17-9
20-20
26-17
20-20
21-20
20-17
17-31
18-20
31-31
25-23
19-18
19-22
15-14
17-26
26-24
15-16
26-25
22-17
13-7
22-12
15-25
19-21
23-21
26-19
24-19
23-22
21-26
12-13
28-18
166.1Avg total
84.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.681.5166.1+3.170%
Last 5 (5)82.077.6159.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.281.5161.7-1.342%
vs Similar (13)83.482.5165.9+0.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)94.487.8182.2+6.660%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
54avg 80
A13/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
88-94
88
94
-6
80avg 80
H19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
101-81
101
81
+20
98avg 80
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
80-85
80
85
-5
74avg 80
A04/05
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
92-76
92
76
+16
92avg 80
H10/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
73avg 80
A17/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
103-92
103
92
+11
98avg 80
A19/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
65avg 80
H22/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
78avg 80
H24/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
87-91
87
91
-4
72avg 80
H04/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-29
23-25
18-28
17-21
24-32
17-22
20-13
27-27
28-13
24-24
20-30
29-14
19-19
16-20
22-27
23-19
21-22
28-15
23-21
20-18
22-25
18-27
11-16
26-21
16-31
32-15
32-28
23-18
23-11
18-18
15-28
14-23
15-16
29-22
15-23
18-16
16-27
26-20
19-25
26-19
174.0Avg total
85.7Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.788.3174.0-2.630%
Last 5 (5)85.088.8173.8-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)85.091.7176.7-6.733%
vs Similar (12)81.585.7167.2-4.225%
vs Weaker (11)91.982.2174.1+9.782%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
WurzburgTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H27/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A29/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H04/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A07/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H10/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A12/06
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A27/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H02/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A05/10
BBL
81.3Avg total
41.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.882.5+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.241.082.2+0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)42.140.682.8+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.681.3+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.082.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.342.482.8-2.150%-
vs Similar (13)42.340.883.2+1.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.436.880.2+6.660%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A13/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A04/05
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H10/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A17/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A19/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H22/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H24/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H04/10
Lega A
86.1Avg total
42.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.283.7+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.480.1+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)43.344.087.3-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)42.843.386.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.485.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.846.386.2-6.517%-
vs Similar (12)41.642.283.8-0.742%-
vs Weaker (11)45.438.083.4+7.473%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.3
52.0%
52.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.6
33.6%
33.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws27.020.5
75.9%
74.1%20.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.6
52.2%
52.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.912.0
37.6%
33.8%36.0
🏀 Free throws16.311.5
70.6%
74.1%11.5
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WWWLWLWLWW
Trieste
LLLWLWLWLL
#15
League position
#26
+4.1
Net rating
-3.7
107.2
Offensive rating
112.2
103.2
Defensive rating
115.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
54.2%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.6%
3-point %
37.6%
56.5%
Assist %
61.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 112.2Defence103.2 · 115.9Shooting51.2% · 54.2%3-point %33.6% · 37.6%Ball care18.7% · 16.8%Off. rebounds27.9% · 31.8%Free throws0.44 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wurzburg wins
0
Trieste wins
No previous meetings.
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25ALudwigsburg84-79
02/10/25HBasketball Braunschweig92-80
27/09/25ABonn72-61
12/06/25AUlm84-91
10/06/25HUlm78-77
07/06/25AUlm86-99
04/06/25HUlm87-77
01/06/25AUlm87-91 OT
29/05/25ABasketball Braunschweig97-88 OT
27/05/25HBasketball Braunschweig79-72
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HTrapani87-91
24/05/25HBrescia88-92 OT
22/05/25HBrescia70-80
19/05/25ABrescia103-92
17/05/25ABrescia77-89
10/05/25HSassari92-76
04/05/25AVarese80-85
28/04/25ACremona101-81
19/04/25HTrento88-94
13/04/25AVenezia71-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
Champions League 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Trieste
Champions League 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chalon/Saone330100%101.082.3+18.7
2 Bursaspor330100%83.368.3+15.0
3 Levice330100%90.378.7+11.7
4 Promitheas110100%89.083.0+6.0
5 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
6 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
7 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
8 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
9 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
10 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
11 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
12 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
13 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
14 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
15 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
16 Heidelberg1010%83.089.0-6.0
17 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
18 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
19 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
20 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
21 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
22 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
23 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
24 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
25 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
26 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg2116202178
Trieste1224161163
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