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Wurzburg vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 87-77
20-20 26-17 20-20 21-20
Position#5
Record21-17
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#2
Record27-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game79.9
GermanyBBLBBL - Semi-finals· Tectake Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Wurzburg v Ulm
09 May 2027
WUR v ULM
upcoming
02 May 2026
WUR98
ULM84
10 Jun 2025
WUR78
ULM77
04 Jun 2025
WUR87
ULM77
14 Apr 2025
WUR89
ULM72
24 May 2024
WUR75
ULM72
22 May 2024
WUR82
ULM79
19 Nov 2023
WUR83
ULM88
14 Oct 2023
WUR72
ULM76
03 Mar 2023
WUR62
ULM82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Bonn
#14
W
83-75
83
75
+8
76avg 74
H26/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
85-70
85
70
+15
78avg 74
A01/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
85-102
85
102
-17
68avg 74
H07/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
72-86
72
86
-14
61avg 74
A11/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
79-92
79
92
-13
65avg 74
A18/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
94-90
94
90
+4
84avg 74
H21/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
58avg 74
A25/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
79-72
79
72
+7
67avg 74
H27/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
97-88 OT
97
88
+9
85avg 74
A29/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
75avg 74
A01/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
26-24
23-13
16-12
19-12
21-20
22-18
23-20
15-29
25-18
25-34
20-21
21-25
23-17
20-22
8-22
15-30
24-21
18-25
22-16
24-21
25-26
20-18
25-25
16-13
19-24
22-19
18-24
28-21
16-13
17-21
18-17
23-10
22-17
15-29
17-21
16-24
21-21
19-19
17-9
168.2Avg total
83.6Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)83.481.4164.8+2.055%
Season at home (18)82.780.6163.3+2.261%
Season away (20)84.082.2166.1+1.850%
Last 10 (10)83.684.6168.2-1.050%
Last 5 (5)86.484.2170.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.679.2157.8-0.744%
vs Similar (16)85.186.8171.9-1.844%
vs Weaker (5)91.887.2179.0+4.660%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
W
109-94
109
94
+15
106avg 82
H08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 82
A14/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
119-92
119
92
+27
111avg 82
H21/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
90-74
90
74
+16
84avg 82
A03/05
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
92-77
92
77
+15
84avg 82
H08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
79-64
79
64
+15
73avg 82
A11/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
94-83
94
83
+11
84avg 82
H17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
74-62
74
62
+12
73avg 82
A21/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
93-84
93
84
+9
92avg 82
H24/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
82avg 82
H01/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
29-35
28-24
24-19
19-24
12-20
23-20
18-25
25-24
25-17
37-18
32-33
17-18
21-19
27-19
25-18
27-16
26-21
16-27
23-13
25-21
21-16
19-10
14-17
20-27
25-13
30-22
19-21
22-18
25-9
14-13
13-22
20-24
23-21
19-22
31-17
24-16
21-21
19-19
9-17
171.9Avg total
91.3Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)88.479.9168.4+8.575%
Season at home (19)94.378.7172.9+15.695%
Season away (17)81.981.3163.2+0.653%
Last 10 (10)91.380.6171.9+10.790%
Last 5 (5)86.276.0162.2+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.591.0176.5-5.50%
vs Similar (11)87.582.7170.2+4.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.479.9170.3+10.482%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
WurzburgUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#14
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H26/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A01/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H07/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A18/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H21/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A25/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H27/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A29/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/06
BBL
82.9Avg total
41.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.182.9+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.541.883.3-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)42.140.382.5+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.282.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.080.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.241.080.2-1.856%-
vs Similar (16)43.341.985.2+1.456%-
vs Weaker (5)41.838.480.2+3.460%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A14/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H21/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/05
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A11/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A21/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H01/06
BBL
85.1Avg total
45.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.340.282.5+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.641.087.6+5.675%-
Last 30 away (14)37.439.276.6-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)45.539.685.1+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.282.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.046.588.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (11)40.741.982.6-1.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.438.381.7+5.176%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.4
47.3%
52.3%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.1
33.4%
33.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.317.2
80.8%
73.5%17.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.819.5
59.5%
52.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
33.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws25.920.2
78.0%
73.5%20.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LWWLWLLLWW
Ulm
WWWWWWWWLW
#5
League position
#2
-1.7
Net rating
+14.5
109.0
Offensive rating
116.2
110.7
Defensive rating
101.7
48.6%
Effective FG%
57.1%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.42
33.4%
3-point %
36.3%
48.0%
Assist %
60.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 116.2Defence110.7 · 101.7Shooting48.6% · 57.1%3-point %33.4% · 36.3%Ball care15.5% · 18.6%Off. rebounds31.4% · 28.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Wurzburg wins
6
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
01/06/25Ulm v Wurzburg91-87 OT
14/04/25Wurzburg v Ulm89-72
28/09/24Ulm v Wurzburg85-76
24/05/24Wurzburg v Ulm75-72
22/05/24Wurzburg v Ulm82-79
20/05/24Ulm v Wurzburg100-64
18/05/24Ulm v Wurzburg65-78
23/03/24Ulm v Wurzburg87-79
19/11/23Wurzburg v Ulm83-88
14/10/23Wurzburg v Ulm72-76
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/06/25AUlm87-91 OT
29/05/25ABasketball Braunschweig97-88 OT
27/05/25HBasketball Braunschweig79-72
25/05/25ABasketball Braunschweig75-80
21/05/25HBasketball Braunschweig94-90
18/05/25ABasketball Braunschweig79-92
11/05/25ABasketball Braunschweig72-86
07/05/25HHeidelberg85-102
01/05/25AFrankfurt85-70
26/04/25HBonn83-75
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/06/25HWurzburg91-87 OT
24/05/25HAlba Berlin93-84
21/05/25AAlba Berlin74-62
17/05/25HAlba Berlin94-83
11/05/25AHamburg79-64
08/05/25HBamberg92-77
03/05/25AHeidelberg90-74
21/04/25HOldenburg119-92
14/04/25AWurzburg72-89
08/04/25HBayern109-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL55%
HomeWWLWW61%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381820
Win %55%61%50%
Points / game83.482.784.0
Allowed / game81.480.682.2
Point differential+2.0+2.2+1.8
Avg total164.8163.3166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%28%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)75% (4)38% (8)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayLLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %75%95%53%
Points / game88.494.381.9
Allowed / game79.978.781.3
Point differential+8.5+15.6+0.6
Avg total168.4172.9163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%63%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulm3627975%88.479.9+8.5
2 Bayern3627975%83.075.8+7.2
3 Basketball Braunschweig37221559%84.181.3+2.8
4 Heidelberg37221559%81.381.0+0.3
5 Wurzburg38211755%83.481.4+2.0
6 Alba Berlin36191753%86.080.3+5.6
7 Chemnitz36191753%82.485.3-2.9
8 Ludwigsburg32161650%76.274.6+1.7
9 Oldenburg34171750%89.689.4+0.3
10 Vechta32161650%79.881.7-1.8
11 Syntainics MBC37181949%83.985.1-1.1
12 Rostock33161748%81.481.5-0.1
13 Hamburg32151747%81.183.5-2.3
14 Bonn32141844%84.284.3-0.1
15 Bamberg32122038%83.886.0-2.3
16 Frankfurt3282425%75.682.5-7.0
17 Gottingen323299%81.094.8-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg2026202187
Ulm2017202077
← all games of the day
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