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Cremona vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-101
13-28 24-24 30-20 14-29
Position#13
Record8-19
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game84.2
Cremona
Italy
vs
Trieste 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record16-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game85.4
ItalyLega ARound 28· PalaRadi
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Cremona v Trieste
15 Nov 2025
CRE113
TRI94
28 Apr 2025
CRE81
TRI101
12 Jan 2022
CRE75
TRI80
17 Jan 2021
CRE80
TRI101
24 Nov 2019
CRE88
TRI78
21 May 2019
CRE v TRI
upcoming
19 May 2019
CRE82
TRI75
09 Dec 2018
CRE87
TRI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
51-78
51
78
-27
38avg 70
A01/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 70
H09/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
79avg 70
A02/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 70
H08/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
70-87
70
87
-17
58avg 70
A16/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
89-93
89
93
-4
82avg 70
A23/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
94-77
94
77
+17
93avg 70
H30/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
83avg 70
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
86-89
86
89
-3
78avg 70
H13/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
83-118
83
118
-35
78avg 70
A18/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
12-12
11-22
10-24
21-25
27-19
11-18
26-18
19-22
24-18
19-29
25-30
26-20
23-24
19-24
26-17
9-23
20-16
25-26
16-22
22-23
20-17
23-28
24-25
29-19
26-22
22-15
17-21
6-16
16-14
18-23
28-15
21-21
27-19
22-21
16-28
18-27
25-27
16-33
24-31
171.7Avg total
82.6Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.984.2163.1-5.330%
Season at home (13)80.681.1161.7-0.538%
Season away (14)77.387.1164.4-9.921%
Last 10 (10)82.689.1171.7-6.540%
Last 5 (5)87.892.4180.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)76.685.6162.1-9.017%
vs Similar (10)84.381.8166.1+2.560%
vs Weaker (2)75.578.5154.0-3.00%
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Trapani
#5
W
74-72
74
72
+2
63avg 79
A13/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
77avg 79
A15/02
Italian Cup
Treviso
#11
W
85-73
85
73
+12
79avg 79
H02/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
88-75
88
75
+13
87avg 79
H09/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
88-131
88
131
-43
84avg 79
A15/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 79
H22/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
89-69
89
69
+20
95avg 79
A30/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
109-82
109
82
+27
108avg 79
H06/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
54avg 79
A13/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
88-94
88
94
-6
80avg 79
H19/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
23-13
18-20
18-19
13-23
20-15
25-21
21-23
18-18
27-15
20-18
20-22
17-24
22-10
26-23
23-18
25-41
17-29
27-31
19-30
17-22
20-19
20-17
28-20
28-17
19-10
24-17
18-25
17-15
34-21
23-22
35-24
13-29
23-25
18-28
17-21
24-32
17-22
20-13
27-27
171.5Avg total
85.6Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.885.4172.2+1.459%
Season at home (14)86.980.8167.6+6.164%
Season away (13)86.790.4177.1-3.754%
Last 10 (10)85.685.9171.5-0.360%
Last 5 (5)88.485.2173.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.691.8176.4-7.240%
vs Similar (13)80.483.1163.5-2.738%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.383.7178.0+10.591%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
CremonaTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A01/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H09/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H08/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A16/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A23/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H30/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H13/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A18/04
Lega A
81.3Avg total
40.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.779.9-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.040.781.7+0.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.540.778.2-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.481.3+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.083.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.041.279.2-3.244%-
vs Similar (10)41.940.482.3+1.560%-
vs Weaker (2)37.038.075.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A13/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A15/02
Italian Cup
Treviso
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H02/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H09/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
42-70
42
70
-28
A15/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H22/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A30/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H06/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A13/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H19/04
Lega A
82.9Avg total
40.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.584.0+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.438.380.7+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.544.887.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.082.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.484.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.446.285.6-6.820%-
vs Similar (13)40.841.782.5-0.846%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.140.086.1+6.164%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.7
51.2%
52.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.8
40.4%
35.8%35.4
🏀 Free throws17.912.6
70.4%
76.8%12.6
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.5
54.4%
52.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.6
37.9%
35.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.413.5
69.6%
76.8%13.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LLWWLLWLWL
Trieste
LLWWWLWWLW
#13
League position
#6
-10.0
Net rating
+0.9
109.7
Offensive rating
111.6
119.7
Defensive rating
110.7
55.7%
Effective FG%
55.6%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
19.3%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.4%
3-point %
37.9%
65.6%
Assist %
57.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 111.6Defence119.7 · 110.7Shooting55.7% · 55.6%3-point %40.4% · 37.9%Ball care15.1% · 19.3%Off. rebounds21.3% · 31.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Cremona   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cremona wins
6
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
21/12/24Trieste v Cremona91-83
16/04/22Trieste v Cremona84-72
12/01/22Cremona v Trieste75-80
17/01/21Cremona v Trieste80-101
27/09/20Trieste v Cremona102-77
24/11/19Cremona v Trieste88-78
19/05/19Cremona v Trieste82-75
31/03/19Trieste v Cremona97-80
09/12/18Cremona v Trieste87-78
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/25AOlimpia Milano83-118
13/04/25HTrento86-89
06/04/25AVarese87-85 OT
30/03/25HTreviso94-77
23/03/25ASassari89-93
16/03/25AVenezia70-87
08/03/25HBasket Napoli94-85
02/03/25ABrescia87-99
09/02/25HTrapani85-80
01/02/25AReggiana51-78
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25HTrento88-94
13/04/25AVenezia71-103
06/04/25HBasket Napoli109-82
30/03/25APistoia89-69
22/03/25HVirtus Bologna85-78
15/03/25ATrapani88-131
09/03/25HScafati88-75
02/03/25HTreviso85-73
15/02/25ATrento79-82
13/02/25ATrapani74-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL30%
HomeWWWWL38%
AwayLLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %30%38%21%
Points / game78.980.677.3
Allowed / game84.281.187.1
Point differential-5.3-0.5-9.9
Avg total163.1161.7164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %15%15%14%
Trieste
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeWWWWL64%
AwayLLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%64%54%
Points / game86.886.986.7
Allowed / game85.480.890.4
Point differential+1.4+6.1-3.7
Avg total172.2167.6177.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2821775%84.976.4+8.5
2 Trapani2720774%94.785.1+9.7
3 Trento2820871%87.781.9+5.8
4 Brescia2820871%89.784.8+5.0
5 Olimpia Milano2819968%89.483.9+5.5
6 Reggiana28171161%80.077.6+2.5
7 Trieste27161159%86.885.4+1.4
8 Venezia28151354%83.580.6+2.9
9 Tortona28141450%85.985.6+0.3
10 Sassari28121643%81.583.9-2.4
11 Treviso28111739%84.487.8-3.4
12 Varese2891932%87.195.8-8.7
13 Basket Napoli2781930%83.588.0-4.5
14 Cremona2781930%78.984.2-5.3
15 Scafati2862221%84.892.2-7.5
16 Pistoia2862221%79.589.1-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona1324301481
Trieste28242029101
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