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Ulm vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 99-86
17-20 31-17 20-18 31-31
Position#2
Record27-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game80.1
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#5
Record22-17
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game81.3
GermanyBBLBBL - Semi-finals· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Ulm v Wurzburg
27 Sep 2026
ULM67
WUR90
29 Dec 2025
ULM66
WUR61
12 Jun 2025
ULM91
WUR84
07 Jun 2025
ULM99
WUR86
01 Jun 2025
ULM91
WUR87
28 Sep 2024
ULM85
WUR76
20 May 2024
ULM100
WUR64
18 May 2024
ULM65
WUR78
23 Mar 2024
ULM87
WUR79
14 Jan 2023
ULM84
WUR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 81
A14/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
119-92
119
92
+27
111avg 81
H21/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
90-74
90
74
+16
84avg 81
A03/05
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
92-77
92
77
+15
84avg 81
H08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
79-64
79
64
+15
73avg 81
A11/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
94-83
94
83
+11
84avg 81
H17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
74-62
74
62
+12
73avg 81
A21/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
93-84
93
84
+9
92avg 81
H24/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
82avg 81
H01/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
70avg 81
A04/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
12-20
23-20
18-25
25-24
25-17
37-18
32-33
17-18
21-19
27-19
25-18
27-16
26-21
16-27
23-13
25-21
21-16
19-10
14-17
20-27
25-13
30-22
19-21
22-18
25-9
14-13
13-22
20-24
23-21
19-22
31-17
24-16
21-21
19-19
9-17
20-20
17-26
20-20
20-21
168.0Avg total
88.1Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)88.180.1168.2+8.073%
Season at home (19)94.378.7172.9+15.695%
Season away (18)81.781.6163.3+0.150%
Last 10 (10)88.179.9168.0+8.280%
Last 5 (5)85.880.6166.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.591.0176.5-5.50%
vs Similar (11)87.582.7170.2+4.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.180.5169.6+8.676%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
W
85-70
85
70
+15
78avg 74
A01/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
85-102
85
102
-17
68avg 74
H07/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
72-86
72
86
-14
61avg 74
A11/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
79-92
79
92
-13
65avg 74
A18/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
94-90
94
90
+4
84avg 74
H21/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
58avg 74
A25/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
79-72
79
72
+7
67avg 74
H27/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
97-88 OT
97
88
+9
85avg 74
A29/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
75avg 74
A01/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
87-77
87
77
+10
76avg 74
H04/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
21-20
22-18
23-20
15-29
25-18
25-34
20-21
21-25
23-17
20-22
8-22
15-30
24-21
18-25
22-16
24-21
25-26
20-18
25-25
16-13
19-24
22-19
18-24
28-21
16-13
17-21
18-17
23-10
22-17
15-29
17-21
16-24
21-21
19-19
17-9
20-20
26-17
20-20
21-20
168.8Avg total
84.0Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)83.581.3164.7+2.256%
Season at home (19)82.980.4163.3+2.663%
Season away (20)84.082.2166.1+1.850%
Last 10 (10)84.084.8168.8-0.850%
Last 5 (5)85.081.6166.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.479.0158.4+0.450%
vs Similar (15)85.886.9172.7-1.147%
vs Weaker (5)91.887.2179.0+4.660%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
UlmWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A14/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H21/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/05
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A11/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A21/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H01/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A04/06
BBL
82.6Avg total
43.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.482.5+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.641.087.6+5.675%-
Last 30 away (14)36.839.876.6-3.043%-
Last 10 (10)43.539.182.6+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.082.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.046.588.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (11)40.741.982.6-1.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.938.881.6+4.171%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A01/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H07/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A18/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H21/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A25/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H27/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A29/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H04/06
BBL
81.8Avg total
41.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.083.2+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.441.684.0+0.860%-
Last 30 away (15)42.140.382.5+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.981.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.077.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.940.680.5-0.760%-
vs Similar (15)44.042.186.1+1.960%-
vs Weaker (5)41.838.480.2+3.460%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.519.3
59.4%
52.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.2
32.3%
33.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws27.121.1
77.9%
73.5%21.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.717.2
46.9%
52.3%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.0
34.0%
33.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.918.3
79.9%
73.5%18.3
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWWWWWWWWL
Wurzburg
WLWWLWLLLW
#2
League position
#5
+10.7
Net rating
-1.5
110.8
Offensive rating
109.1
100.2
Defensive rating
110.5
54.3%
Effective FG%
48.7%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
19.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.3%
3-point %
34.0%
59.6%
Assist %
45.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 109.1Defence100.2 · 110.5Shooting54.3% · 48.7%3-point %32.3% · 34.0%Ball care19.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds28.8% · 32.6%Free throws0.44 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ulm wins
5
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
04/06/25Wurzburg v Ulm87-77
01/06/25Ulm v Wurzburg91-87 OT
14/04/25Wurzburg v Ulm89-72
28/09/24Ulm v Wurzburg85-76
24/05/24Wurzburg v Ulm75-72
22/05/24Wurzburg v Ulm82-79
20/05/24Ulm v Wurzburg100-64
18/05/24Ulm v Wurzburg65-78
23/03/24Ulm v Wurzburg87-79
19/11/23Wurzburg v Ulm83-88
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/06/25AWurzburg77-87
01/06/25HWurzburg91-87 OT
24/05/25HAlba Berlin93-84
21/05/25AAlba Berlin74-62
17/05/25HAlba Berlin94-83
11/05/25AHamburg79-64
08/05/25HBamberg92-77
03/05/25AHeidelberg90-74
21/04/25HOldenburg119-92
14/04/25AWurzburg72-89
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/06/25HUlm87-77
01/06/25AUlm87-91 OT
29/05/25ABasketball Braunschweig97-88 OT
27/05/25HBasketball Braunschweig79-72
25/05/25ABasketball Braunschweig75-80
21/05/25HBasketball Braunschweig94-90
18/05/25ABasketball Braunschweig79-92
11/05/25ABasketball Braunschweig72-86
07/05/25HHeidelberg85-102
01/05/25AFrankfurt85-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %73%95%50%
Points / game88.194.381.7
Allowed / game80.178.781.6
Point differential+8.0+15.6+0.1
Avg total168.2172.9163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%63%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeWLWWW63%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %56%63%50%
Points / game83.582.984.0
Allowed / game81.380.482.2
Point differential+2.2+2.6+1.8
Avg total164.7163.3166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%32%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)75% (4)38% (8)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3728976%83.275.4+7.8
2 Ulm37271073%88.180.1+8.0
3 Basketball Braunschweig37221559%84.181.3+2.8
4 Heidelberg38221658%80.881.2-0.4
5 Wurzburg39221756%83.581.3+2.2
6 Alba Berlin36191753%86.080.3+5.6
7 Chemnitz36191753%82.485.3-2.9
8 Ludwigsburg32161650%76.274.6+1.7
9 Oldenburg34171750%89.689.4+0.3
10 Vechta32161650%79.881.7-1.8
11 Syntainics MBC37181949%83.985.1-1.1
12 Rostock33161748%81.481.5-0.1
13 Hamburg32151747%81.183.5-2.3
14 Bonn32141844%84.284.3-0.1
15 Bamberg32122038%83.886.0-2.3
16 Frankfurt3282425%75.682.5-7.0
17 Gottingen323299%81.094.8-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1731203199
Wurzburg2017183186
← all games of the day
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