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Brescia vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 92-103
31-16 15-32 28-32 18-23
Position#2
Record23-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game84.5
Brescia
Italy
vs
Trieste 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record18-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game85.1
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Brescia v Trieste
25 May 2026
BRE90
TRI75
18 May 2026
BRE90
TRI82
16 May 2026
BRE90
TRI92
09 Nov 2025
BRE98
TRI75
19 May 2025
BRE92
TRI103
17 May 2025
BRE89
TRI77
09 Feb 2025
BRE93
TRI90
12 Mar 2023
BRE95
TRI59
12 Feb 2022
BRE87
TRI76
18 Oct 2020
BRE75
TRI63
09 Feb 2020
BRE76
TRI74
03 Feb 2019
BRE77
TRI85
13 May 2015
BRE69
TRI55
05 May 2015
BRE79
TRI77
03 May 2015
BRE86
TRI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 84
H15/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 84
A23/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
73avg 84
A30/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
97-89
97
89
+8
92avg 84
H06/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
74avg 84
A14/04
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
86-72
86
72
+14
81avg 84
H19/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
79-66
79
66
+13
80avg 84
H27/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
96-77
96
77
+19
98avg 84
A04/05
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
114-91
114
91
+23
102avg 84
H11/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
79avg 84
H17/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
23-24
17-22
14-19
26-34
26-10
21-26
15-24
18-19
25-18
12-18
23-20
16-26
32-23
20-20
29-20
29-18
24-27
9-28
17-18
26-17
23-14
21-19
16-22
19-12
18-20
19-18
23-16
20-28
28-14
24-19
24-16
22-30
28-19
26-26
38-16
25-22
27-18
16-11
21-26
169.0Avg total
87.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)90.784.5175.1+6.274%
Season at home (16)92.685.9178.5+6.881%
Season away (15)88.682.9171.5+5.767%
Last 10 (10)87.981.1169.0+6.870%
Last 5 (5)92.876.6169.4+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.796.7146.3-47.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.581.8165.2+1.769%
vs Weaker (13)96.184.9181.0+11.277%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
88-131
88
131
-43
84avg 80
A15/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 80
H22/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
89-69
89
69
+20
95avg 80
A30/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
109-82
109
82
+27
108avg 80
H06/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
54avg 80
A13/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
88-94
88
94
-6
80avg 80
H19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
101-81
101
81
+20
98avg 80
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
80-85
80
85
-5
74avg 80
A04/05
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
92-76
92
76
+16
92avg 80
H10/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
73avg 80
A17/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-41
17-29
27-31
19-30
17-22
20-19
20-17
28-20
28-17
19-10
24-17
18-25
17-15
34-21
23-22
35-24
13-29
23-25
18-28
17-21
24-32
17-22
20-13
27-27
28-13
24-24
20-30
29-14
19-19
16-20
22-27
23-19
21-22
28-15
23-21
20-18
22-25
18-27
11-16
26-21
176.8Avg total
88.0Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.985.1171.9+1.858%
Season at home (15)87.280.5167.7+6.767%
Season away (16)86.689.4175.9-2.850%
Last 10 (10)88.088.8176.8-0.850%
Last 5 (5)87.685.0172.6+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.691.8176.4-7.240%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.185.2164.3-6.118%
vs Weaker (13)93.783.1176.8+10.685%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
BresciaTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A23/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A30/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H06/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A14/04
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H19/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H27/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/05
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H11/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H17/05
Lega A
88.1Avg total
47.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.485.3+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.541.286.7+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)42.341.583.9+0.860%-
Last 10 (10)47.440.788.1+6.790%-
Last 5 (5)47.238.886.0+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)25.342.067.3-16.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.240.885.1+3.462%-
vs Weaker (13)48.142.490.5+5.777%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
42-70
42
70
-28
A15/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H22/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A30/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H06/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A13/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A04/05
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H10/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A17/05
Lega A
87.7Avg total
43.0Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.084.6+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.738.881.5+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)42.444.887.2-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)43.044.787.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.887.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.446.285.6-6.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.144.584.5-4.427%-
vs Weaker (13)46.239.085.2+7.269%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.2
54.0%
52.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.3
37.8%
35.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.219.4
83.6%
76.8%19.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.7
51.7%
52.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.313.6
39.7%
35.8%40.8
🏀 Free throws18.012.8
71.1%
76.8%12.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWWWWLWWLL
Trieste
LWLWLLWWWL
#2
League position
#6
+10.4
Net rating
-1.6
116.5
Offensive rating
114.9
106.1
Defensive rating
116.5
55.1%
Effective FG%
55.7%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.9%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.8%
3-point %
39.7%
63.4%
Assist %
63.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 114.9Defence106.1 · 116.5Shooting55.1% · 55.7%3-point %37.8% · 39.7%Ball care16.5% · 17.9%Off. rebounds28.3% · 33.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Brescia   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Brescia wins
1
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
17/05/25Brescia v Trieste89-77
09/02/25Brescia v Trieste93-90
08/12/24Trieste v Brescia65-69
12/03/23Brescia v Trieste95-59
26/11/22Trieste v Brescia90-91 OT
12/02/22Brescia v Trieste87-76
10/10/21Trieste v Brescia80-72
07/02/21Trieste v Brescia78-81
18/10/20Brescia v Trieste75-63
09/02/20Brescia v Trieste76-74
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25HTrieste89-77
11/05/25HTreviso114-91
04/05/25ASassari96-77
27/04/25HReggiana79-66
19/04/25HScafati86-72
14/04/25AVirtus Bologna79-91
06/04/25HVenezia97-89
30/03/25ATrento78-75
23/03/25ATrapani88-94
15/03/25HOlimpia Milano73-79
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25ABrescia77-89
10/05/25HSassari92-76
04/05/25AVarese80-85
28/04/25ACremona101-81
19/04/25HTrento88-94
13/04/25AVenezia71-103
06/04/25HBasket Napoli109-82
30/03/25APistoia89-69
22/03/25HVirtus Bologna85-78
15/03/25ATrapani88-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %74%81%67%
Points / game90.792.688.6
Allowed / game84.585.982.9
Point differential+6.2+6.8+5.7
Avg total175.1178.5171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL58%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game86.987.286.6
Allowed / game85.180.589.4
Point differential+1.8+6.7-2.8
Avg total171.9167.7175.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna3124777%86.277.6+8.5
2 Trapani3224875%94.485.0+9.4
3 Brescia3123874%90.784.5+6.2
4 Trento3223972%87.380.8+6.5
5 Olimpia Milano32211166%88.282.8+5.4
6 Trieste31181358%86.985.1+1.8
7 Reggiana32181456%79.878.4+1.3
8 Venezia31161552%83.280.5+2.7
9 Tortona30151550%86.286.0+0.2
10 Sassari30121840%81.184.5-3.4
11 Treviso30121840%84.588.1-3.6
12 Varese30102033%86.394.9-8.6
13 Cremona3092130%79.884.6-4.8
14 Basket Napoli3092130%83.688.9-5.3
15 Scafati3062420%84.492.9-8.5
16 Pistoia3062420%78.789.0-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia3115281892
Trieste16323223103
← all games of the day
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