PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trieste vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 May 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 70-80
23-11 18-18 15-28 14-23
Position#6
Record19-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record23-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game85.0
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals· PalaTrieste
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Trieste v Brescia
23 May 2026
TRI83
BRE77
21 May 2026
TRI80
BRE84
19 Apr 2026
TRI82
BRE86
24 May 2025
TRI88
BRE92
22 May 2025
TRI70
BRE80
08 Dec 2024
TRI65
BRE69
26 Nov 2022
TRI90
BRE91
10 Oct 2021
TRI80
BRE72
07 Feb 2021
TRI78
BRE81
19 Oct 2019
TRI76
BRE74
21 Oct 2018
TRI90
BRE86
10 May 2015
TRI79
BRE73
08 May 2015
TRI85
BRE84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 80
H22/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
89-69
89
69
+20
95avg 80
A30/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
109-82
109
82
+27
108avg 80
H06/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
54avg 80
A13/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
88-94
88
94
-6
80avg 80
H19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
101-81
101
81
+20
98avg 80
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
80-85
80
85
-5
74avg 80
A04/05
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
92-76
92
76
+16
92avg 80
H10/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
73avg 80
A17/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
103-92
103
92
+11
98avg 80
A19/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
20-19
20-17
28-20
28-17
19-10
24-17
18-25
17-15
34-21
23-22
35-24
13-29
23-25
18-28
17-21
24-32
17-22
20-13
27-27
28-13
24-24
20-30
29-14
19-19
16-20
22-27
23-19
21-22
28-15
23-21
20-18
22-25
18-27
11-16
26-21
16-31
32-15
32-28
23-18
174.4Avg total
89.5Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.485.3172.7+2.159%
Season at home (15)87.280.5167.7+6.767%
Season away (17)87.589.5177.1-2.053%
Last 10 (10)89.584.9174.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)90.684.6175.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.691.8176.4-7.240%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.784.7165.5-4.027%
vs Weaker (13)93.783.1176.8+10.685%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 84
A23/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
73avg 84
A30/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
97-89
97
89
+8
92avg 84
H06/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
74avg 84
A14/04
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
86-72
86
72
+14
81avg 84
H19/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
79-66
79
66
+13
80avg 84
H27/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
96-77
96
77
+19
98avg 84
A04/05
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
114-91
114
91
+23
102avg 84
H11/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
79avg 84
H17/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
92-103
92
103
-11
87avg 84
H19/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-34
26-10
21-26
15-24
18-19
25-18
12-18
23-20
16-26
32-23
20-20
29-20
29-18
24-27
9-28
17-18
26-17
23-14
21-19
16-22
19-12
18-20
19-18
23-16
20-28
28-14
24-19
24-16
22-30
28-19
26-26
38-16
25-22
27-18
16-11
21-26
31-16
15-32
28-32
18-23
173.3Avg total
89.8Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)90.785.0175.8+5.772%
Season at home (17)92.686.9179.5+5.776%
Season away (15)88.682.9171.5+5.767%
Last 10 (10)89.883.5173.3+6.370%
Last 5 (5)94.082.8176.8+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.796.7146.3-47.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.183.3167.4+0.864%
vs Weaker (12)95.884.6180.3+11.275%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
TriesteBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H22/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A30/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H06/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A13/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A04/05
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H10/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A17/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A19/05
Lega A
85.9Avg total
43.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.984.4+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.238.080.2+4.262%-
Last 30 away (17)42.844.987.6-2.135%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.385.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.287.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.446.285.6-6.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.944.284.1-4.327%-
vs Weaker (13)46.239.085.2+7.269%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A23/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A30/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H06/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A14/04
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H19/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H27/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/05
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H11/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H17/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H19/05
Lega A
89.5Avg total
47.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.685.3+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.641.687.2+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)41.541.683.1-0.157%-
Last 10 (10)47.841.789.5+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.288.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)25.342.067.3-16.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.441.485.7+3.057%-
vs Weaker (12)47.642.590.1+5.175%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.116.9
51.1%
52.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.814.2
40.8%
35.8%42.6
🏀 Free throws17.011.9
70.0%
76.8%11.9
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.6
56.1%
52.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.0
38.5%
35.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.319.4
83.3%
76.8%19.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WLWLWLLWWW
Brescia
LWWWWWLWWL
#6
League position
#2
+5.3
Net rating
+9.6
116.6
Offensive rating
118.4
111.3
Defensive rating
108.8
56.3%
Effective FG%
56.7%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.38
40.8%
3-point %
38.5%
62.7%
Assist %
61.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 118.4Defence111.3 · 108.8Shooting56.3% · 56.7%3-point %40.8% · 38.5%Ball care16.2% · 16.0%Off. rebounds31.8% · 27.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Trieste   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trieste wins
8
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
19/05/25Brescia v Trieste92-103
17/05/25Brescia v Trieste89-77
09/02/25Brescia v Trieste93-90
08/12/24Trieste v Brescia65-69
12/03/23Brescia v Trieste95-59
26/11/22Trieste v Brescia90-91 OT
12/02/22Brescia v Trieste87-76
10/10/21Trieste v Brescia80-72
07/02/21Trieste v Brescia78-81
18/10/20Brescia v Trieste75-63
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/25ABrescia103-92
17/05/25ABrescia77-89
10/05/25HSassari92-76
04/05/25AVarese80-85
28/04/25ACremona101-81
19/04/25HTrento88-94
13/04/25AVenezia71-103
06/04/25HBasket Napoli109-82
30/03/25APistoia89-69
22/03/25HVirtus Bologna85-78
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/25HTrieste92-103
17/05/25HTrieste89-77
11/05/25HTreviso114-91
04/05/25ASassari96-77
27/04/25HReggiana79-66
19/04/25HScafati86-72
14/04/25AVirtus Bologna79-91
06/04/25HVenezia97-89
30/03/25ATrento78-75
23/03/25ATrapani88-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW59%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLWLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %59%67%53%
Points / game87.487.287.5
Allowed / game85.380.589.5
Point differential+2.1+6.7-2.0
Avg total172.7167.7177.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL72%
HomeWWWWL76%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %72%76%67%
Points / game90.792.688.6
Allowed / game85.086.982.9
Point differential+5.7+5.7+5.7
Avg total175.8179.5171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%41%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna3225778%85.977.5+8.3
2 Trapani3325876%94.284.9+9.3
3 Brescia3223972%90.785.0+5.7
4 Trento33231070%87.181.6+5.5
5 Olimpia Milano33221167%88.882.7+6.1
6 Trieste32191359%87.485.3+2.1
7 Reggiana33181555%79.978.8+1.1
8 Venezia32161650%82.980.3+2.6
9 Tortona30151550%86.286.0+0.2
10 Sassari30121840%81.184.5-3.4
11 Treviso30121840%84.588.1-3.6
12 Varese30102033%86.394.9-8.6
13 Cremona3092130%79.884.6-4.8
14 Basket Napoli3092130%83.688.9-5.3
15 Scafati3062420%84.492.9-8.5
16 Pistoia3062420%78.789.0-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste2318151470
Brescia1118282380
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.