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Xinjiang vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 82-80
19-28 29-26 23-15 11-11
Position#16
Record9-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game82.4
Xinjiang 🏆
China
vs
Guangdong
China
Position#6
Record17-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game90.7
ChinaCBA· Hongshan Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Xinjiang v Guangdong
23 Dec 2026
XINJ v GUAN
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
XINJ82
GUAN80
10 Mar 2025
XINJ87
GUAN106
15 Dec 2023
XINJ110
GUAN88
28 Oct 2022
XINJ81
GUAN100
03 Mar 2022
XINJ109
GUAN107
02 Jan 2021
XINJ95
GUAN132
21 Jan 2020
XINJ101
GUAN112
03 May 2019
XINJ98
GUAN103
01 May 2019
XINJ118
GUAN128
09 Jan 2019
XINJ89
GUAN115
01 Jan 2019
XINJ130
GUAN126
22 Mar 2018
XINJ94
GUAN118
14 Mar 2018
XINJ114
GUAN130
05 Jan 2018
XINJ104
GUAN96
02 Apr 2017
XINJ103
GUAN97
31 Mar 2017
XINJ122
GUAN105
13 Jan 2017
XINJ129
GUAN109
16 Dec 2015
XINJ108
GUAN100
23 Nov 2014
XINJ118
GUAN101
08 Dec 2013
XINJ104
GUAN88
10 Mar 2013
XINJ76
GUAN86
25 Nov 2012
XINJ103
GUAN92
04 Mar 2012
XINJ92
GUAN95
10 Feb 2012
XINJ106
GUAN110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xinjiang winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
67avg 86
H13/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
75-82
75
82
-7
70avg 86
A16/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 86
A18/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
89-65
89
65
+24
93avg 86
A20/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
98-56
98
56
+42
94avg 86
H22/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
78-59
78
59
+19
74avg 86
H25/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
L
97-98
97
98
-1
90avg 86
A27/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
68-88
68
88
-20
57avg 86
A29/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
105-47
105
47
+58
82avg 86
A01/02
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
59-61
59
61
-2
47avg 86
H03/02
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
23-20
19-18
10-24
18-21
16-21
18-14
23-26
17-13
16-25
19-25
18-17
24-13
16-17
17-12
32-23
21-21
21-12
28-9
28-14
23-14
19-26
16-15
20-4
24-32
28-30
22-17
23-19
15-25
23-23
17-22
13-18
23-6
30-12
24-20
28-9
14-18
18-18
15-14
12-11
152.8Avg total
81.2Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.482.4167.8+3.039%
Season at home (9)84.974.3159.2+10.656%
Season away (14)85.787.6173.4-1.929%
Last 10 (10)81.271.6152.8+9.640%
Last 5 (5)81.470.6152.0+10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.088.9164.9-12.90%
vs Similar (13)93.592.0185.5+1.554%
vs Weaker (8)97.078.4175.4+18.675%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
87-71
87
71
+16
83avg 93
A13/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
73-113
73
113
-40
58avg 93
H15/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
98-99
98
99
-1
91avg 93
H17/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
104-76
104
76
+28
96avg 93
A19/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
119-98
119
98
+21
119avg 93
A21/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
107-97
107
97
+10
111avg 93
H24/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
98-89
98
89
+9
93avg 93
H26/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 93
H28/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
81-94
81
94
-13
68avg 93
A01/02
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
74avg 93
H03/02
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
17-12
28-23
21-19
11-29
23-31
19-29
20-24
22-27
34-28
24-25
18-19
31-22
21-17
20-18
32-19
30-28
32-25
35-25
22-20
23-21
30-28
31-24
23-24
25-19
22-25
27-29
24-16
31-24
21-10
17-21
20-26
13-21
24-20
26-30
18-23
16-28
14-23
29-20
25-23
185.2Avg total
94.0Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)95.090.7185.8+4.374%
Season at home (12)94.494.2188.6+0.267%
Season away (11)95.787.0182.7+8.782%
Last 10 (10)94.091.2185.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)91.891.0182.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.5103.5182.0-25.00%
vs Similar (16)97.198.7195.8-1.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)100.287.3187.5+12.892%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
XinjiangGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H13/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A16/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A18/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A20/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H22/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H25/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A27/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A29/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
53-18
53
18
+35
A01/02
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H03/02
CBA
79.5Avg total
41.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.846.791.5-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.242.588.8+3.858%-
Last 30 away (18)43.949.493.3-5.617%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.579.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.884.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.749.087.7-10.311%-
vs Similar (13)47.649.797.3-2.131%-
vs Weaker (8)47.239.186.4+8.162%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A13/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H15/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H17/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A19/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A21/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H24/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H26/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H28/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A01/02
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H03/02
CBA
91.6Avg total
46.1Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.447.598.9+3.973%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.347.999.2+3.380%-
Last 30 away (15)51.547.098.5+4.567%-
Last 10 (10)46.145.591.6+0.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.887.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.055.587.5-23.50%-
vs Similar (16)51.949.9101.8+2.169%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)53.942.996.8+11.092%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.822.7
55.6%
54.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.1
34.5%
35.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws15.410.8
70.1%
73.6%10.8
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.623.0
55.3%
54.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.6
32.8%
35.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.718.9
79.7%
73.6%18.9
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Xinjiang
LWLLWWWLLL
Guangdong
LLWWWWWLLW
#16
League position
#6
+10.4
Net rating
+2.7
94.8
Offensive rating
100.1
84.4
Defensive rating
97.4
54.3%
Effective FG%
52.8%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
12.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.5%
3-point %
32.8%
65.8%
Assist %
67.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.8 · 100.1Defence84.4 · 97.4Shooting54.3% · 52.8%3-point %34.5% · 32.8%Ball care16.5% · 12.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Xinjiang   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Xinjiang wins
7
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
10/03/25Xinjiang v Guangdong87-106
20/10/24Guangdong v Xinjiang102-95
07/01/24Guangdong v Xinjiang110-114
15/12/23Xinjiang v Guangdong110-88
05/04/23Guangdong v Xinjiang108-95
28/10/22Xinjiang v Guangdong81-100
20/03/22Guangdong v Xinjiang118-99
03/03/22Xinjiang v Guangdong109-107
02/01/21Xinjiang v Guangdong95-132
16/12/20Guangdong v Xinjiang115-102
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26HZhejiang Chouzhou59-61
01/02/26ASichuan105-47
29/01/26AJiangsu Dragons68-88
27/01/26ANanjing Tongxi97-98
25/01/26HLiaoning78-59
22/01/26HSichuan98-56
20/01/26AJiangsu Dragons89-65
18/01/26AShanghai70-80
16/01/26ALiaoning75-82
13/01/26HZhejiang Guangsha73-80
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26HShanghai84-94
01/02/26ANingbo Rockets81-94
28/01/26HJilin89-81
26/01/26HTianjin98-89
24/01/26HShanxi Zhongyu107-97
21/01/26AJilin119-98
19/01/26ASichuan104-76
17/01/26HBeijing Royal Fighters98-99
15/01/26HShanghai73-113
13/01/26ANanjing Tongxi87-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xinjiang
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL39%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23914
Win %39%56%29%
Points / game85.484.985.7
Allowed / game82.474.387.6
Point differential+3.0+10.6-1.9
Avg total167.8159.2173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%44%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Guangdong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL74%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWWWWL82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %74%67%82%
Points / game95.094.495.7
Allowed / game90.794.287.0
Point differential+4.3+0.2+8.7
Avg total185.8188.6182.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%8%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai2420483%95.580.7+14.8
2 Zhejiang Guangsha2420483%90.178.0+12.1
3 Guangdong2317674%95.090.7+4.3
4 Shandong2416867%93.888.2+5.6
5 Beijing2415962%89.281.9+7.3
6 Qingdao2314961%84.581.2+3.3
7 Shenzhen24141058%95.694.3+1.3
8 Zhejiang Chouzhou24131154%85.681.4+4.2
9 Shanxi Zhongyu24131154%89.786.5+3.2
10 Ningbo Rockets23121152%87.485.6+1.8
11 Liaoning24121250%83.282.8+0.5
12 Guangzhou23111248%86.588.0-1.5
13 Beijing Royal Fighters24111346%86.892.3-5.5
14 Xinjiang2391439%85.482.4+3.0
15 Tianjin2491538%92.594.2-1.7
16 Jilin2491538%82.187.7-5.5
17 Fujian2381535%90.193.4-3.3
18 Nanjing Tongxi2481633%90.296.0-5.8
19 Jiangsu Dragons2461825%81.090.5-9.5
20 Sichuan240240%69.597.8-28.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Xinjiang1929231182
Guangdong2826151180
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