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Xinjiang vs Guangdong Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#12
Record3-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game90.4
ChinaCBARound 17· Hongshan Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Xinjiang v Guangdong
23 Dec 2026
XINJ v GUAN
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
XINJ82
GUAN80
10 Mar 2025
XINJ87
GUAN106
15 Dec 2023
XINJ110
GUAN88
28 Oct 2022
XINJ81
GUAN100
03 Mar 2022
XINJ109
GUAN107
02 Jan 2021
XINJ95
GUAN132
21 Jan 2020
XINJ101
GUAN112
03 May 2019
XINJ98
GUAN103
01 May 2019
XINJ118
GUAN128
09 Jan 2019
XINJ89
GUAN115
01 Jan 2019
XINJ130
GUAN126
22 Mar 2018
XINJ94
GUAN118
14 Mar 2018
XINJ114
GUAN130
05 Jan 2018
XINJ104
GUAN96
02 Apr 2017
XINJ103
GUAN97
31 Mar 2017
XINJ122
GUAN105
13 Jan 2017
XINJ129
GUAN109
16 Dec 2015
XINJ108
GUAN100
23 Nov 2014
XINJ118
GUAN101
08 Dec 2013
XINJ104
GUAN88
10 Mar 2013
XINJ76
GUAN86
25 Nov 2012
XINJ103
GUAN92
04 Mar 2012
XINJ92
GUAN95
10 Feb 2012
XINJ106
GUAN110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xinjiang win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
109-75
109
75
+34
116avg 79
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
84-94
84
94
-10
82avg 79
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
107-92
107
92
+15
no box
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
no box
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
84-106
84
106
-22
no box
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
28-17
31-24
18-15
26-29
18-22
12-27
28-16
29-24
21-23
19-24
13-9
26-29
28-25
21-16
32-22
18-21
21-28
20-29
24-11
25-30
25-25
22-22
15-21
19-22
17-22
24-18
15-19
36-20
14-27
19-17
15-19
22-30
29-18
16-33
17-25
21-22
29-23
14-23
20-19
176.4Avg total
87.9Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.889.5175.2-3.838%
Season at home (4)87.084.0171.0+3.075%
Season away (4)84.595.0179.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)87.988.5176.4-0.640%
Last 5 (5)82.891.0173.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.295.8179.1-12.68%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.488.6178.0+0.846%
vs Weaker (4)84.876.8161.5+8.050%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
96avg 89
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 89
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
95-96
95
96
-1
no box
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
no box
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
no box
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
A31/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
L
109-112
109
112
-3
no box
H02/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
14-23
29-23
19-16
21-15
14-25
18-21
20-27
23-28
28-14
18-30
26-24
25-24
19-34
19-20
15-18
19-24
24-20
31-17
22-17
21-22
25-25
20-21
20-9
14-28
17-27
22-27
34-17
21-20
24-25
18-18
19-17
27-19
12-21
21-20
16-25
35-27
21-27
25-24
28-34
179.4Avg total
88.4Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.690.4179.0-1.838%
Season at home (4)93.286.8180.0+6.575%
Season away (4)84.094.0178.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)88.491.0179.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)88.090.6178.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.097.3179.3-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (14)91.892.1183.9-0.350%
vs Weaker (13)94.081.6175.6+12.462%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
XinjiangGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A03/11
CBA
96.0Avg total
48.4Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.847.992.7-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.548.493.8-2.929%-
Last 30 away (13)44.047.291.2-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)48.447.696.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)47.447.895.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)44.250.594.6-6.315%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.247.592.7-2.238%-
vs Weaker (4)45.840.886.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A31/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H02/11
CBA
91.0Avg total
43.3Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.144.992.0+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.544.492.9+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)45.745.391.1+0.433%-
Last 10 (10)43.347.791.0-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)43.448.291.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.754.793.3-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.947.493.2-1.529%-
vs Weaker (13)50.439.990.3+10.577%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.1
57.5%
53.8%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
74.8%13.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.9
57.0%
53.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.0
36.5%
35.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
74.8%14.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Xinjiang
LLWLLLWWLW
Guangdong
LLWLWWLLLW
#15
League position
#12
-3.7
Net rating
+6.1
102.0
Offensive rating
102.5
105.7
Defensive rating
96.4
55.3%
Effective FG%
56.0%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
11.2%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.7%
3-point %
36.5%
69.1%
Assist %
65.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 102.5Defence105.7 · 96.4Shooting55.3% · 56.0%3-point %34.7% · 36.5%Ball care11.2% · 14.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Xinjiang   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Xinjiang wins
6
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
17/03/26Guangdong v Xinjiang111-89
11/03/26Xinjiang v Guangdong82-80
10/03/25Xinjiang v Guangdong87-106
20/10/24Guangdong v Xinjiang102-95
07/01/24Guangdong v Xinjiang110-114
15/12/23Xinjiang v Guangdong110-88
05/04/23Guangdong v Xinjiang108-95
28/10/22Xinjiang v Guangdong81-100
20/03/22Guangdong v Xinjiang118-99
03/03/22Xinjiang v Guangdong109-107
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AShanxi Zhongyu84-87
31/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters84-106
29/10/26HNanjing Tongxi84-83
27/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou75-81
25/10/26ALiaoning87-98
22/10/26AJilin83-89
20/10/26HTianjin107-92
17/10/26HQingdao82-80
24/04/26AQingdao84-94
19/04/26HNanjing Tongxi109-75
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HQingdao109-112
31/10/26AShandong76-85
29/10/26HJiangsu Dragons82-80
26/10/26AShanghai87-99
24/10/26HNingbo Rockets86-77
22/10/26HZhejiang Guangsha96-78
20/10/26ABeijing78-96
18/10/26ANanjing Tongxi95-96
12/05/26ABeijing73-88
09/05/26HBeijing102-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xinjiang
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game85.887.084.5
Allowed / game89.584.095.0
Point differential-3.8+3.0-10.5
Avg total175.2171.0179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangdong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game88.693.284.0
Allowed / game90.486.894.0
Point differential-1.8+6.5-10.0
Avg total179.0180.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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