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Guangdong vs Jilin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 89-81
31-24 21-10 17-21 20-26
Position#6
Record16-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game90.9
vs
Position#15
Record8-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game87.7
ChinaCBA· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangdong v Jilin
08 Jan 2027
GUAN v JILI
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
GUAN117
JILI84
28 Jan 2026
GUAN89
JILI81
27 Mar 2025
GUAN106
JILI94
09 Mar 2024
GUAN121
JILI113
27 Dec 2023
GUAN112
JILI102
16 Dec 2022
GUAN117
JILI91
08 Jan 2022
GUAN99
JILI95
08 Jan 2021
GUAN110
JILI111
14 Jan 2020
GUAN123
JILI100
13 Dec 2018
GUAN96
JILI105
09 Feb 2018
GUAN93
JILI67
04 Nov 2016
GUAN99
JILI77
11 Nov 2015
GUAN107
JILI86
19 Dec 2014
GUAN116
JILI93
03 Jan 2014
GUAN92
JILI85
29 Jan 2013
GUAN141
JILI99
29 Jan 2012
GUAN107
JILI94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jilin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
no box
H05/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
W
110-105
110
105
+5
113avg 96
H07/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
108-78
108
78
+30
107avg 96
A11/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
87-71
87
71
+16
83avg 96
A13/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
73-113
73
113
-40
58avg 96
H15/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
98-99
98
99
-1
91avg 96
H17/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
104-76
104
76
+28
96avg 96
A19/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
119-98
119
98
+21
119avg 96
A21/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
107-97
107
97
+10
111avg 96
H24/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
98-89
98
89
+9
93avg 96
H26/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
16-19
21-20
14-20
16-24
33-26
39-34
22-21
31-18
33-21
22-16
22-23
21-17
17-12
28-23
21-19
11-29
23-31
19-29
20-24
22-27
34-28
24-25
18-19
31-22
21-17
20-18
32-19
30-28
32-25
35-25
22-20
23-21
30-28
31-24
23-24
25-19
22-25
27-29
24-16
190.5Avg total
99.1Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)96.690.9187.5+5.780%
Season at home (10)96.095.5191.5+0.570%
Season away (10)97.286.3183.5+10.990%
Last 10 (10)99.191.4190.5+7.770%
Last 5 (5)105.291.8197.0+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.593.5172.0-15.050%
vs Similar (15)98.299.0197.2-0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)102.488.7191.1+13.792%
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
83-72
83
72
+11
78avg 77
H06/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
77-74
77
74
+3
72avg 77
H08/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 77
H11/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
85-108
85
108
-23
74avg 77
A13/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
67-80
67
80
-13
57avg 77
A15/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
103-79
103
79
+24
108avg 77
A17/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
68-77
68
77
-9
59avg 77
H19/01
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
98-119
98
119
-21
94avg 77
H21/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
96-93
96
93
+3
99avg 77
A24/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
84-87
84
87
-3
74avg 77
A26/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
23-23
20-22
18-14
16-16
17-27
24-18
20-13
23-32
17-24
7-15
27-11
15-31
28-27
14-24
28-26
18-20
12-26
25-18
12-16
25-24
27-22
29-16
22-17
16-15
21-15
12-28
19-19
28-30
25-32
25-35
20-22
29-22
23-29
24-16
20-26
24-17
17-31
21-22
22-17
170.6Avg total
83.5Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.287.7170.9-4.540%
Season at home (9)83.482.2165.7+1.267%
Season away (11)83.092.1175.1-9.118%
Last 10 (10)83.587.1170.6-3.640%
Last 5 (5)89.891.0180.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)88.397.9186.2-9.624%
vs Similar (4)89.595.5185.0-6.050%
vs Weaker (1)103.079.0182.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
GuangdongJilin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H05/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H07/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
64-39
64
39
+25
A11/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A13/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H15/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H17/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A19/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A21/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H24/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H26/01
CBA
95.4Avg total
49.8Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.647.9100.5+4.880%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.548.3100.7+4.287%-
Last 30 away (15)52.847.5100.3+5.373%-
Last 10 (10)49.845.695.4+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)54.048.0102.0+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.050.590.5-10.550%-
vs Similar (15)52.950.5103.4+2.573%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)54.244.598.7+9.892%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H06/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H08/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H11/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A13/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A15/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A17/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H19/01
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H21/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A24/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A26/01
CBA
90.2Avg total
42.6Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.751.598.3-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.450.696.9-4.229%-
Last 30 away (16)47.152.499.4-5.331%-
Last 10 (10)42.647.690.2-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)47.047.494.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)46.052.298.2-6.224%-
vs Similar (4)50.049.099.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (1)52.046.098.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 99.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.824.3
58.1%
54.6%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
35.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws25.120.5
81.7%
73.6%20.5
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.4
54.4%
54.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.5
32.4%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.617.2
79.6%
73.6%17.2
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WWWWLLWWWL
Jilin
LWLLWLLLWW
#6
League position
#15
+8.4
Net rating
-4.2
105.1
Offensive rating
97.7
96.8
Defensive rating
101.9
55.6%
Effective FG%
52.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.1%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.6%
3-point %
32.4%
65.1%
Assist %
62.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 97.7Defence96.8 · 101.9Shooting55.6% · 52.0%3-point %34.6% · 32.4%Ball care13.1% · 13.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Guangdong   ■ Jilin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Guangdong wins
0
Jilin wins
DateGameScore
21/01/26Jilin v Guangdong98-119
27/03/25Guangdong v Jilin106-94
28/12/24Jilin v Guangdong65-106
09/03/24Guangdong v Jilin121-113
23/01/24Jilin v Guangdong111-116
27/12/23Guangdong v Jilin112-102
27/10/23Jilin v Guangdong104-105
28/12/22Jilin v Guangdong102-108
16/12/22Guangdong v Jilin117-91
08/01/22Guangdong v Jilin99-95
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/26HTianjin98-89
24/01/26HShanxi Zhongyu107-97
21/01/26AJilin119-98
19/01/26ASichuan104-76
17/01/26HBeijing Royal Fighters98-99
15/01/26HShanghai73-113
13/01/26ANanjing Tongxi87-71
11/01/26ALiaoning108-78
07/01/26HShenzhen110-105
05/01/26HZhejiang Chouzhou87-88 OT
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/26ABeijing Royal Fighters84-87
24/01/26ATianjin96-93
21/01/26HGuangdong98-119
19/01/26HShandong68-77
17/01/26ASichuan103-79
15/01/26AQingdao67-80
13/01/26AShandong85-108
11/01/26HQingdao74-82
08/01/26HFujian77-74
06/01/26HJiangsu Dragons83-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWLLWW70%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%70%90%
Points / game96.696.097.2
Allowed / game90.995.586.3
Point differential+5.7+0.5+10.9
Avg total187.5191.5183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%10%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Jilin
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWWLLL67%
AwayLLWWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %40%67%18%
Points / game83.283.483.0
Allowed / game87.782.292.1
Point differential-4.5+1.2-9.1
Avg total170.8165.7175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha2017385%91.279.0+12.2
2 Shanghai2016480%93.879.5+14.3
3 Guangdong2016480%96.690.9+5.7
4 Shandong1914574%94.687.0+7.6
5 Beijing2013765%90.282.6+7.6
6 Shenzhen2013765%95.193.5+1.6
7 Qingdao2012860%85.281.5+3.6
8 Zhejiang Chouzhou2011955%87.782.8+4.9
9 Guangzhou1910953%86.888.2-1.4
10 Shanxi Zhongyu20101050%90.589.0+1.4
11 Ningbo Rockets2091145%88.187.5+0.6
12 Liaoning2091145%82.082.5-0.6
13 Beijing Royal Fighters2091145%87.593.7-6.2
14 Xinjiang2081240%86.685.0+1.6
15 Jilin2081240%83.287.7-4.5
16 Fujian2071335%90.594.0-3.5
17 Tianjin2061430%91.794.4-2.7
18 Nanjing Tongxi2061430%88.794.1-5.4
19 Jiangsu Dragons2051525%80.090.3-10.3
20 Sichuan200200%71.798.3-26.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong3121172089
Jilin2410212681
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