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Mega Basket vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 91-81
26-17 25-18 15-26 25-20
Position#4
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#6
Record3-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game77.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 6· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2023
Meetings · Mega Basket v Zadar
11 Oct 2026
MEG88
ZAD82
12 Dec 2025
MEG90
ZAD89
30 Mar 2025
MEG75
ZAD74
05 Nov 2023
MEG91
ZAD81
23 Jan 2023
MEG80
ZAD77
19 Dec 2021
MEG70
ZAD72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
77avg 78
A21/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
96-64
96
64
+32
88avg 78
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 78
A27/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
62avg 78
H04/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
62avg 78
A07/06
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
80avg 78
A30/09
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
85avg 78
H06/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 78
A16/10
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
81avg 78
H23/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
71-73
71
73
-2
65avg 78
A28/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
26-17
16-24
19-23
19-8
31-20
22-23
24-13
25-28
29-14
24-9
12-27
21-19
19-14
14-17
18-25
16-25
18-18
17-29
19-24
21-31
21-31
25-20
20-7
25-24
32-28
20-23
12-15
19-21
17-13
19-20
28-19
21-11
19-18
29-32
19-25
13-18
18-23
22-17
18-15
163.9Avg total
82.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.682.2165.8+1.440%
Season at home (2)88.588.0176.5+0.550%
Season away (3)80.378.3158.7+2.033%
Last 10 (10)82.881.1163.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)83.682.2165.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.487.9165.3-10.411%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.785.9173.6+1.860%
vs Weaker (10)90.375.9166.2+14.490%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 79
A06/10
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
75-88
75
88
-13
59avg 79
A09/10
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
106-73
106
73
+33
108avg 79
H11/10
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#13
W
92-57
92
57
+35
89avg 79
H13/10
ABA League
Skrljevo
#12
W
108-72
108
72
+36
113avg 79
A15/10
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
88-75
88
75
+13
84avg 79
A21/10
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
97-84
97
84
+13
92avg 79
H22/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#12
W
91-64
91
64
+27
85avg 79
H27/10
ABA League
Bosco
#13
W
81-78
81
78
+3
70avg 79
A29/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 79
H02/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
18-22
21-23
20-12
18-17
21-24
17-26
19-21
34-17
25-19
22-19
25-18
14-6
22-14
24-15
32-22
28-11
27-25
21-16
32-20
23-16
25-10
20-23
20-26
25-22
21-10
30-25
21-27
21-21
24-14
27-13
19-16
21-20
18-25
25-17
17-16
28-23
16-19
15-21
29-17
165.2Avg total
90.6Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.877.4161.2+6.460%
Season at home (2)91.560.5152.0+31.0100%
Season away (3)78.788.7167.3-10.033%
Last 10 (10)90.674.6165.2+16.090%
Last 5 (5)89.076.2165.2+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.891.2163.0-19.50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.977.8164.6+9.175%
vs Weaker (18)89.670.7160.2+18.994%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
Mega BasketZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A27/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/06
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A30/09
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H06/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A16/10
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A28/10
ABA League
83.5Avg total
43.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.584.8-0.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.441.284.6+2.280%-
Last 30 away (15)41.243.985.1-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.483.5+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.684.8-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.145.883.9-7.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.044.386.3-2.360%-
vs Weaker (10)46.238.384.5+7.990%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A06/10
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/10
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H11/10
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#13
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H13/10
ABA League
Skrljevo
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A15/10
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A21/10
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H22/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H27/10
ABA League
Bosco
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A29/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/11
Premijer liga
80.3Avg total
45.0Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.637.281.8+7.470%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.234.779.9+10.683%-
Last 30 away (18)44.238.983.1+5.261%-
Last 10 (10)45.035.380.3+9.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.080.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.247.080.2-13.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.938.584.4+7.475%-
vs Weaker (18)46.634.581.1+12.183%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.3
57.2%
54.3%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.5
31.2%
34.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.5
70.9%
73.8%17.5
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.8
58.6%
54.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.511.6
34.6%
34.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.415.4
72.0%
73.8%15.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LWWLLLLWWL
Zadar
WWWWWWWWLW
#4
League position
#6
+1.0
Net rating
+21.0
106.6
Offensive rating
118.1
105.5
Defensive rating
97.1
53.6%
Effective FG%
55.3%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
20.1%
Turnover %
16.2%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.2%
3-point %
34.6%
64.9%
Assist %
64.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 118.1Defence105.5 · 97.1Shooting53.6% · 55.3%3-point %31.2% · 34.6%Ball care20.1% · 16.2%Off. rebounds28.7% · 36.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mega Basket wins
2
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
23/01/23Mega Basket v Zadar80-77
17/10/22Zadar v Mega Basket96-90
04/04/22Zadar v Mega Basket81-85
19/12/21Mega Basket v Zadar70-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23ABuducnost71-73
23/10/23HPartizan88-86
16/10/23AFMP Beograd83-73
06/10/23HBorac Mozzart89-90
30/09/23ACedevita Olimpija87-89
07/06/23AFMP Beograd70-96
04/06/23HFMP Beograd72-75
27/05/23AKK Metalac90-78
25/05/23HVojvodina Novi Sad96-64
21/05/23ABorac Mozzart82-87
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/23HSplit88-80
29/10/23ABosco81-78
27/10/23HCibona91-64
22/10/23HZabok97-84
21/10/23AKK Krka Novo mesto88-75
15/10/23ASkrljevo108-72
13/10/23HMornar Bar92-57
11/10/23HAlkar106-73
09/10/23AStudentski Centar75-88
06/10/23AGKK Sibenka80-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game83.688.580.3
Allowed / game82.288.078.3
Point differential+1.4+0.5+2.0
Avg total165.8176.5158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game83.891.578.7
Allowed / game77.460.588.7
Point differential+6.4+31.0-10.0
Avg total161.2152.0167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost550100%87.671.8+15.8
2 Partizan54180%97.275.2+22.0
3 Crvena zvezda54180%87.674.2+13.4
4 Igokea54180%80.477.8+2.6
5 Studentski Centar64267%86.281.5+4.7
6 Cedevita Olimpija64267%82.283.8-1.7
7 Zadar53260%83.877.4+6.4
8 Mega Basket52340%83.682.2+1.4
9 FMP Beograd52340%83.884.0-0.2
10 Borac Mozzart62433%77.781.3-3.7
11 Split51420%74.282.6-8.4
12 Cibona61517%76.288.5-12.3
13 KK Krka Novo mesto61517%75.388.8-13.5
14 Mornar Bar61517%72.289.8-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2625152591
Zadar1718262081
← all games of the day
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