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Zadar vs Dubrovnik Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 22 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record6-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game64.8
vs
Position#8
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game88.3
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 17· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Other2026-27
Meetings · Zadar v Dubrovnik
22 Jan 2027
ZAD v DUBR
upcoming
22 May 2026
ZAD83
DUBR57
10 Apr 2026
ZAD100
DUBR70
23 Nov 2025
ZAD83
DUBR64
09 May 2025
ZAD91
DUBR61
04 Nov 2024
ZAD90
DUBR79
02 Apr 2024
ZAD88
DUBR70
29 Nov 2023
ZAD84
DUBR56
19 Nov 2023
ZAD98
DUBR59
02 Dec 2011
ZAD101
DUBR64
06 May 2009
ZAD128
DUBR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrovnik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#11
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H27/09
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
107-69
107
69
+38
A02/10
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#20
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#14
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A11/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#18
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#16
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#8
W
105-71
105
71
+34
A30/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
13-20
26-15
18-10
25-17
31-19
24-19
27-14
18-24
27-15
18-10
16-16
20-19
16-23
24-18
22-28
27-10
21-12
21-18
18-16
21-22
13-18
14-21
15-17
16-24
18-19
23-14
27-16
26-17
21-15
19-17
21-12
26-16
14-19
27-12
28-23
14-16
30-15
29-18
32-22
156.0Avg total
87.0Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.864.8156.7+27.0100%
Season at home (2)84.060.0144.0+24.0100%
Season away (4)95.867.2163.0+28.5100%
Last 10 (10)87.069.0156.0+18.080%
Last 5 (5)86.870.6157.4+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)69.572.2141.8-2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.569.8155.3+15.777%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#4
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A13/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H16/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A22/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A03/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H10/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#12
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A24/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
71-105
71
105
-34
H30/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
19-18
22-15
24-29
21-21
23-17
20-6
13-25
13-17
12-20
25-23
7-23
15-25
22-19
18-18
13-19
24-15
16-23
19-22
7-21
23-25
20-21
17-23
25-25
31-14
24-23
19-17
18-25
21-19
20-23
14-19
26-30
19-26
24-10
24-21
17-23
16-14
15-30
18-29
22-32
161.1Avg total
76.7Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.888.3168.2-8.533%
Season at home (4)77.589.0166.5-11.525%
Season away (2)84.587.0171.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)76.784.4161.1-7.740%
Last 5 (5)82.689.8172.4-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.786.7157.5-16.09%
vs Similar (14)85.082.4167.4+2.671%
vs Weaker (5)86.275.0161.2+11.2100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -8.0-8.0
ZadarDubrovnik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#11
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H27/09
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A02/10
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#20
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#14
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
48-22
48
22
+26
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#18
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#16
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A30/10
Premijer liga
77.5Avg total
42.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.035.276.2+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.434.077.4+9.493%-
Last 30 away (16)38.936.275.2+2.756%-
Last 10 (10)42.135.477.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.276.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)34.837.272.0-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)42.034.976.9+7.177%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A22/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A03/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H10/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A24/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H30/10
Premijer liga
79.8Avg total
39.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.082.4+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.839.482.2+3.361%-
Last 30 away (12)39.443.382.8-3.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.979.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.083.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.643.580.2-6.918%-
vs Similar (14)43.641.184.7+2.471%-
vs Weaker (5)46.035.081.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.4
58.5%
54.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.5
34.7%
34.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
71.8%12.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.5
52.6%
54.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.7
27.0%
34.0%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.817.4
76.3%
71.8%17.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWWWLWLWWW
Dubrovnik
LWLWLLLLWW
#1
League position
#8
+21.3
Net rating
-8.2
102.8
Offensive rating
90.6
81.5
Defensive rating
98.8
55.5%
Effective FG%
47.7%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
13.7%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.7%
3-point %
27.0%
60.2%
Assist %
73.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 90.6Defence81.5 · 98.8Shooting55.5% · 47.7%3-point %34.7% · 27.0%Ball care13.7% · 16.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Zadar   ■ Dubrovnik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zadar wins
0
Dubrovnik wins
DateGameScore
30/10/26Dubrovnik v Zadar71-105
25/05/26Dubrovnik v Zadar68-81
22/05/26Zadar v Dubrovnik83-57
10/04/26Zadar v Dubrovnik100-70
08/02/26Dubrovnik v Zadar67-79
23/11/25Zadar v Dubrovnik83-64
09/05/25Zadar v Dubrovnik91-61
22/01/25Dubrovnik v Zadar66-69
04/11/24Zadar v Dubrovnik90-79
02/04/24Zadar v Dubrovnik88-70
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ADubrovnik105-71
25/10/26HPerspektiva Ilirija95-70
23/10/26HDinamo Zagreb87-61
18/10/26ASplit84-73
16/10/26AVienna Basket63-78
12/10/26ACedevita Junior87-56
11/10/26AMega Basket82-88
05/10/26HStudentski Centar79-65
02/10/26ASkrljevo107-69
27/09/26HSamobor81-59
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HZadar71-105
24/10/26ADubrava84-80
17/10/26HKvarner81-91
10/10/26HZabok92-79
03/10/26ADinamo Zagreb85-94
26/09/26HSplit66-81
25/05/26HZadar68-81
22/05/26AZadar57-83
16/05/26HSamobor77-69
13/05/26ASamobor86-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.884.095.8
Allowed / game64.860.067.2
Point differential+27.0+24.0+28.5
Avg total156.7144.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%25%50%
Points / game79.877.584.5
Allowed / game88.389.087.0
Point differential-8.5-11.5-2.5
Avg total168.2166.5171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar660100%91.864.8+27.0
2 Cibona550100%90.276.4+13.8
3 Split54180%82.072.0+10.0
4 Dinamo Zagreb64267%76.781.2-4.5
5 Kvarner53260%89.479.4+10.0
6 Skrljevo53260%83.285.2-2.0
7 Cedevita Junior53260%78.288.0-9.8
8 Dubrovnik62433%79.888.3-8.5
9 Zabok51420%78.286.8-8.6
10 Alkar61517%79.084.5-5.5
11 Samobor5050%72.883.4-10.6
12 Dubrava5050%72.085.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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