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Zadar vs Dubrovnik Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 22 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game89.5
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 17· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Other2026-27
Meetings · Zadar v Dubrovnik
22 Jan 2027
ZAD v DUBR
upcoming
22 May 2026
ZAD83
DUBR57
10 Apr 2026
ZAD100
DUBR70
23 Nov 2025
ZAD83
DUBR64
09 May 2025
ZAD91
DUBR61
04 Nov 2024
ZAD90
DUBR79
02 Apr 2024
ZAD88
DUBR70
29 Nov 2023
ZAD84
DUBR56
19 Nov 2023
ZAD98
DUBR59
02 Dec 2011
ZAD101
DUBR64
06 May 2009
ZAD128
DUBR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrovnik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
84avg 80
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
63-78
63
78
-15
47avg 80
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 80
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
77avg 80
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
95-70
95
70
+25
84avg 80
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
105-71
105
71
+34
108avg 80
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
51-67
51
67
-16
no box
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
109-80
109
80
+29
no box
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H14/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-10
21-12
21-18
18-16
21-22
13-18
14-21
15-17
16-24
18-19
23-14
27-16
26-17
21-15
19-17
21-12
26-16
14-19
27-12
28-23
14-16
30-15
29-18
32-22
21-16
17-19
20-23
17-31
13-12
16-17
9-14
13-24
28-19
29-23
26-22
26-16
27-23
26-10
11-16
17-25
155.6Avg total
83.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.367.0161.3+27.3100%
Season at home (3)92.366.7159.0+25.7100%
Season away (4)95.867.2163.0+28.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.771.9155.6+11.870%
Last 5 (5)84.276.2160.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.081.5159.5-3.550%
vs Similar (5)67.274.8142.0-7.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.170.4157.5+16.778%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
57-83
57
83
-26
42avg 75
A22/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
68-81
68
81
-13
58avg 75
H25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 75
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
85avg 75
A03/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
92avg 75
H10/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
81-91
81
91
-10
73avg 75
H17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
83avg 75
A24/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
71-105
71
105
-34
60avg 75
H30/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#8
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
A08/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
71-95
71
95
-24
no box
H14/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
12-20
25-23
7-23
15-25
22-19
18-18
13-19
24-15
16-23
19-22
7-21
23-25
20-21
17-23
25-25
31-14
24-23
19-17
18-25
21-19
20-23
14-19
26-30
19-26
24-10
24-21
17-23
16-14
15-30
18-29
22-32
21-24
14-30
17-23
20-14
28-20
13-25
15-23
15-27
162.7Avg total
74.7Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.889.5167.2-11.825%
Season at home (5)76.290.2166.4-14.020%
Season away (3)80.388.3168.7-8.033%
Last 10 (10)74.788.0162.7-13.320%
Last 5 (5)75.892.4168.2-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.287.5160.7-14.313%
vs Similar (12)84.081.9165.9+2.175%
vs Weaker (3)89.378.3167.7+11.0100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -6.9-6.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -6.9-6.9
ZadarDubrovnik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
48-22
48
22
+26
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/11
ABA League
76.6Avg total
42.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.676.9+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.734.278.9+10.593%-
Last 30 away (16)38.436.875.2+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.434.276.6+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.234.078.2+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.534.079.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar (5)32.036.468.4-4.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.035.578.6+7.578%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A22/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A03/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H10/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A24/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H30/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#8
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A08/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H14/11
Premijer liga
81.4Avg total
39.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.183.0-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.440.582.9+1.853%-
Last 30 away (13)39.144.283.2-5.146%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.381.4-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.244.282.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.544.182.5-5.620%-
vs Similar (12)42.841.283.9+1.675%-
vs Weaker (3)46.036.082.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.4
58.5%
54.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.5
34.7%
34.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
71.7%12.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.5
52.6%
54.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.7
27.0%
34.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.817.4
76.3%
71.7%17.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWLLWWWWLW
Dubrovnik
LLLWLWLLLL
#1
League position
#10
+21.3
Net rating
-8.2
102.8
Offensive rating
90.6
81.5
Defensive rating
98.8
55.5%
Effective FG%
47.7%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
13.7%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.7%
3-point %
27.0%
60.2%
Assist %
73.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 90.6Defence81.5 · 98.8Shooting55.5% · 47.7%3-point %34.7% · 27.0%Ball care13.7% · 16.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Zadar   ■ Dubrovnik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zadar wins
0
Dubrovnik wins
DateGameScore
30/10/26Dubrovnik v Zadar71-105
25/05/26Dubrovnik v Zadar68-81
22/05/26Zadar v Dubrovnik83-57
10/04/26Zadar v Dubrovnik100-70
08/02/26Dubrovnik v Zadar67-79
23/11/25Zadar v Dubrovnik83-64
09/05/25Zadar v Dubrovnik91-61
22/01/25Dubrovnik v Zadar66-69
04/11/24Zadar v Dubrovnik90-79
02/04/24Zadar v Dubrovnik88-70
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPartizan81-74
09/11/26HKvarner109-80
05/11/26ASpartak Subotica51-67
02/11/26ADubai75-89
30/10/26ADubrovnik105-71
25/10/26HPerspektiva Ilirija95-70
23/10/26HDinamo Zagreb87-61
18/10/26ASplit84-73
16/10/26AVienna Basket63-78
12/10/26ACedevita Junior87-56
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCibona71-95
08/11/26AAlkar72-91
30/10/26HZadar71-105
24/10/26ADubrava84-80
17/10/26HKvarner81-91
10/10/26HZabok92-79
03/10/26ADinamo Zagreb85-94
26/09/26HSplit66-81
25/05/26HZadar68-81
22/05/26AZadar57-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.392.395.8
Allowed / game67.066.767.2
Point differential+27.3+25.7+28.5
Avg total161.3159.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%20%33%
Points / game77.876.280.3
Allowed / game89.590.288.3
Point differential-11.8-14.0-8.0
Avg total167.2166.4168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar770100%94.367.0+27.3
2 Cibona880100%90.976.1+14.8
3 Split86275%81.976.1+5.8
4 Dinamo Zagreb85362%77.281.2-4.0
5 Kvarner84450%87.583.5+4.0
6 Skrljevo84450%83.283.6-0.4
7 Cedevita Junior84450%79.888.9-9.1
8 Alkar83538%80.882.1-1.4
9 Zabok82625%77.683.0-5.4
10 Dubrovnik82625%77.889.5-11.8
11 Dubrava71614%74.685.0-10.4
12 Samobor81712%76.683.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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