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Zadar vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 106-77
28-21 38-23 26-19 14-14
Position#9
Record6-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game83.5
Zadar 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record4-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game93.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 2· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2025
Meetings · Zadar v Split
08 Jan 2027
ZAD v SPL
upcoming
03 May 2026
ZAD90
SPL67
06 Mar 2026
ZAD106
SPL77
30 Jan 2026
ZAD82
SPL67
08 Jun 2025
ZAD79
SPL65
05 Jun 2025
ZAD65
SPL46
04 May 2025
ZAD87
SPL65
02 May 2025
ZAD81
SPL80
16 Jan 2025
ZAD59
SPL54
02 Jun 2024
ZAD93
SPL66
26 May 2024
ZAD92
SPL71
24 May 2024
ZAD78
SPL85
22 Apr 2024
ZAD93
SPL74
01 Mar 2024
ZAD77
SPL61
14 Feb 2024
ZAD80
SPL73
02 Nov 2023
ZAD88
SPL80
04 Jun 2023
ZAD99
SPL62
20 Mar 2023
ZAD83
SPL84
17 Jan 2023
ZAD81
SPL84
28 Oct 2022
ZAD74
SPL76
23 May 2022
ZAD76
SPL57
26 Apr 2022
ZAD91
SPL101
26 Dec 2021
ZAD61
SPL59
12 Oct 2021
ZAD62
SPL71
05 Jun 2021
ZAD84
SPL57
28 May 2021
ZAD73
SPL58
26 May 2021
ZAD81
SPL53
25 Apr 2021
ZAD78
SPL58
12 Nov 2020
ZAD88
SPL61
01 Nov 2020
ZAD66
SPL72
17 Jan 2020
ZAD92
SPL74
15 Mar 2019
ZAD91
SPL88
13 Nov 2017
ZAD78
SPL76
31 Oct 2016
ZAD84
SPL89
04 May 2016
ZAD90
SPL49
04 May 2013
ZAD79
SPL76
24 Mar 2013
ZAD85
SPL68
17 Apr 2012
ZAD78
SPL69
02 Mar 2012
ZAD90
SPL78
19 Apr 2011
ZAD86
SPL63
18 Apr 2009
ZAD88
SPL73
04 Oct 2008
ZAD81
SPL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#6
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A14/01
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#4
L
67-80
67
80
-13
no box
H17/01
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
H19/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
101-112 OT
101
112
-11
98avg 80
H23/01
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
107-71
107
71
+36
114avg 80
A24/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
82-67
82
67
+15
80avg 80
H30/01
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#17
W
86-77
86
77
+9
90avg 80
A06/02
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#5
W
79-67
79
67
+12
81avg 80
A08/02
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
81-63
81
63
+18
80avg 80
H12/02
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
84-58
84
58
+26
88avg 80
H15/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
29-26
21-17
19-21
22-21
12-21
12-26
21-12
30-21
21-23
22-5
18-22
18-16
29-26
26-23
21-29
30-20
27-11
25-17
25-23
22-26
17-15
18-13
25-13
12-18
31-24
24-17
19-18
28-15
22-19
17-17
12-16
28-9
13-18
22-10
18-26
25-16
22-13
21-17
16-12
160.9Avg total
86.3Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.483.5164.9-2.135%
Season at home (9)80.280.6160.8-0.344%
Season away (8)82.886.9169.6-4.125%
Last 10 (10)86.374.6160.9+11.780%
Last 5 (5)82.466.4148.8+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.294.2174.5-14.00%
vs Similar (5)81.474.2155.6+7.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.570.9157.4+15.681%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#11
W
112-77
112
77
+35
no box
A17/01
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#15
L
84-92
84
92
-8
no box
A19/01
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
85-62
85
62
+23
90avg 79
H23/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
W
102-94 OT
102
94
+8
96avg 79
H26/01
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
64avg 79
A28/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
67-82
67
82
-15
57avg 79
A30/01
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
92-105
92
105
-13
78avg 79
A02/02
ABA League
Dubrava
#6
W
88-87
88
87
+1
86avg 79
H07/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
93-55
93
55
+38
93avg 79
A12/02
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
107-112 OT
107
112
-5
93avg 79
H03/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
33-23
28-16
24-17
27-26
28-19
13-31
16-16
19-6
24-23
21-25
21-8
26-13
23-24
19-22
17-26
17-26
24-14
20-21
17-25
26-22
15-17
13-18
13-25
21-31
28-26
23-21
20-27
22-15
18-24
23-25
25-23
26-14
18-17
30-14
19-10
31-20
16-26
20-22
27-26
176.0Avg total
90.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.493.6178.0-9.224%
Season at home (9)88.790.3179.0-1.744%
Season away (8)79.697.2176.9-17.60%
Last 10 (10)90.885.2176.0+5.650%
Last 5 (5)89.488.2177.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)84.994.3179.2-9.423%
vs Similar (4)88.290.0178.2-1.850%
vs Weaker (13)98.080.6178.6+17.492%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
ZadarSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/01
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H17/01
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H19/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H23/01
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
57-31
57
31
+26
A24/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H30/01
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#17
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A06/02
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#5
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A08/02
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H12/02
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H15/02
Premijer liga
82.8Avg total
45.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.837.580.3+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.635.978.4+6.772%-
Last 30 away (12)43.140.083.1+3.158%-
Last 10 (10)45.437.482.8+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)44.034.678.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.842.282.0-2.550%-
vs Similar (5)42.038.280.2+3.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.536.580.0+7.071%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#11
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A17/01
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A19/01
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H23/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H26/01
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A28/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A30/01
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A02/02
ABA League
Dubrava
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A12/02
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/03
ABA League
87.6Avg total
46.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.143.289.3+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.740.284.9+4.564%-
Last 30 away (16)47.245.893.1+1.462%-
Last 10 (10)46.940.787.6+6.290%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.486.6+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)44.245.389.5-1.246%-
vs Similar (4)39.243.282.5-4.025%-
vs Weaker (13)50.141.191.2+9.092%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.820.7
61.2%
54.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.7
37.6%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.815.2
76.8%
75.3%15.2
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.4
53.8%
54.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.4
36.6%
35.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.114.0
77.3%
75.3%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWWWWWLWLW
Split
LWWLLLWWLW
#9
League position
#18
+16.9
Net rating
+3.0
107.1
Offensive rating
100.0
90.2
Defensive rating
97.1
59.1%
Effective FG%
54.3%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
17.2%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.6%
3-point %
36.6%
69.1%
Assist %
63.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 100.0Defence90.2 · 97.1Shooting59.1% · 54.3%3-point %37.6% · 36.6%Ball care17.2% · 14.2%Off. rebounds50.0% · -Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Zadar   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Zadar wins
3
Split wins
DateGameScore
30/01/26Zadar v Split82-67
16/11/25Split v Zadar88-82 OT
14/06/25Split v Zadar65-67 OT
11/06/25Split v Zadar74-73
08/06/25Zadar v Split79-65
05/06/25Zadar v Split65-46
04/05/25Zadar v Split87-65
02/05/25Zadar v Split81-80
12/02/25Split v Zadar71-70
16/01/25Zadar v Split59-54
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HCedevita Junior84-58
12/02/26HBorac Mozzart81-63
08/02/26ADubrovnik79-67
06/02/26AVienna Basket86-77
30/01/26HSplit82-67
24/01/26ADinamo Zagreb107-71
23/01/26HCedevita Olimpija101-112 OT
19/01/26HGKK Sibenka91-71
17/01/26HCrvena zvezda67-80
14/01/26ADubrava85-80
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/26HPerspektiva Ilirija107-112 OT
12/02/26AGKK Sibenka93-55
07/02/26HDubrava88-87
02/02/26AKK Krka Novo mesto92-105
30/01/26AZadar67-82
28/01/26ADubrovnik78-86
26/01/26HStudentski Centar102-94 OT
23/01/26HZabok85-62
19/01/26ABorac Mozzart84-92
17/01/26AKvarner112-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW35%
HomeWLLLW44%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%44%25%
Points / game81.480.282.8
Allowed / game83.580.686.9
Point differential-2.1-0.3-4.1
Avg total164.9160.8169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %12%11%12%
Split
ABA League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL24%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %24%44%0%
Points / game84.488.779.6
Allowed / game93.690.397.2
Point differential-9.2-1.7-17.6
Avg total178.0179.0176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %18%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai1716194%88.875.1+13.6
2 Partizan1716194%92.481.1+11.3
3 Crvena zvezda1713476%92.683.1+9.5
4 Buducnost1713476%88.280.4+7.8
5 Cedevita Olimpija1611569%89.581.9+7.6
6 Cluj-Napoca1610662%93.087.7+5.3
7 Spartak Subotica178947%82.783.4-0.6
8 KK Bosna178947%83.386.4-3.1
9 Igokea178947%85.189.8-4.7
10 FMP Beograd1771041%83.986.6-2.6
11 Zadar1761135%81.483.5-2.1
12 Borac Mozzart1761135%78.683.6-5.0
13 Perspektiva Ilirija1761135%82.988.4-5.4
14 Mega Basket1761135%85.793.4-7.6
15 KK Krka Novo mesto1751229%79.283.1-3.9
16 Vienna Basket1751229%84.690.4-5.8
17 Studentski Centar1741324%78.983.1-4.2
18 Split1741324%84.493.6-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar28382614106
Split2123191477
← all games of the day
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