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Zadar vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-67
16-17 27-15 15-23 32-12
Position#1
Record27-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game71.3
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#2
Record24-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game80.4
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 32· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Zadar v Split
08 Jan 2027
ZAD v SPL
upcoming
03 May 2026
ZAD90
SPL67
06 Mar 2026
ZAD106
SPL77
30 Jan 2026
ZAD82
SPL67
08 Jun 2025
ZAD79
SPL65
05 Jun 2025
ZAD65
SPL46
04 May 2025
ZAD87
SPL65
02 May 2025
ZAD81
SPL80
16 Jan 2025
ZAD59
SPL54
02 Jun 2024
ZAD93
SPL66
26 May 2024
ZAD92
SPL71
24 May 2024
ZAD78
SPL85
22 Apr 2024
ZAD93
SPL74
01 Mar 2024
ZAD77
SPL61
14 Feb 2024
ZAD80
SPL73
02 Nov 2023
ZAD88
SPL80
04 Jun 2023
ZAD99
SPL62
20 Mar 2023
ZAD83
SPL84
17 Jan 2023
ZAD81
SPL84
28 Oct 2022
ZAD74
SPL76
23 May 2022
ZAD76
SPL57
26 Apr 2022
ZAD91
SPL101
26 Dec 2021
ZAD61
SPL59
12 Oct 2021
ZAD62
SPL71
05 Jun 2021
ZAD84
SPL57
28 May 2021
ZAD73
SPL58
26 May 2021
ZAD81
SPL53
25 Apr 2021
ZAD78
SPL58
12 Nov 2020
ZAD88
SPL61
01 Nov 2020
ZAD66
SPL72
17 Jan 2020
ZAD92
SPL74
15 Mar 2019
ZAD91
SPL88
13 Nov 2017
ZAD78
SPL76
31 Oct 2016
ZAD84
SPL89
04 May 2016
ZAD90
SPL49
04 May 2013
ZAD79
SPL76
24 Mar 2013
ZAD85
SPL68
17 Apr 2012
ZAD78
SPL69
02 Mar 2012
ZAD90
SPL78
19 Apr 2011
ZAD86
SPL63
18 Apr 2009
ZAD88
SPL73
04 Oct 2008
ZAD81
SPL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
67-65
67
65
+2
57avg 78
A03/04
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
69-58
69
58
+11
67avg 78
A04/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
100-70
100
70
+30
96avg 78
H10/04
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#10
W
76-65
76
65
+11
71avg 78
H14/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
75-65
75
65
+10
76avg 78
A17/04
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
73avg 78
H19/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
70-75
70
75
-5
68avg 78
A23/04
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
L
59-73
59
73
-14
54avg 78
A27/04
ABA League
Samobor
#4
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 78
A29/04
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
68-86
68
86
-18
62avg 78
A30/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-9
14-26
21-14
14-16
19-7
15-14
18-17
17-20
25-18
26-18
28-16
21-18
13-20
28-16
27-13
8-16
17-24
24-11
18-15
16-15
28-25
20-16
14-18
17-18
18-17
10-21
20-22
22-15
5-26
20-15
21-19
13-13
20-28
24-14
20-23
24-19
14-22
18-15
25-27
11-22
146.9Avg total
75.1Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.171.3157.4+14.887%
Season at home (15)88.768.0156.7+20.7100%
Season away (16)83.774.3158.0+9.475%
Last 10 (10)75.171.8146.9+3.370%
Last 5 (5)72.879.0151.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.096.0180.0-12.00%
vs Similar (9)68.470.7139.1-2.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.971.6157.6+14.389%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
W
95-73
95
73
+22
96avg 80
A03/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
82avg 80
H07/04
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#17
W
99-86
99
86
+13
94avg 80
A10/04
ABA League
Samobor
#4
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 80
H12/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
90-74
90
74
+16
88avg 80
A15/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
63-73
63
73
-10
52avg 80
H17/04
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
L
72-95
72
95
-23
58avg 80
A20/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
93-83
93
83
+10
84avg 80
H24/04
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
124-71
124
71
+53
132avg 80
H26/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
96-89
96
89
+7
89avg 80
A29/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
25-25
17-19
33-13
17-16
20-13
27-20
16-30
28-24
24-29
26-20
21-13
27-16
21-24
15-23
31-18
28-24
26-16
16-15
20-19
22-23
19-19
13-19
9-12
17-22
27-24
13-26
15-23
28-21
14-20
30-15
21-27
24-20
32-11
35-24
33-16
20-25
30-14
20-27
26-23
171.0Avg total
90.6Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)91.580.4171.9+11.177%
Season at home (16)88.676.9165.5+11.881%
Season away (15)94.684.1178.7+10.573%
Last 10 (10)90.680.4171.0+10.280%
Last 5 (5)89.682.2171.8+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.792.7176.3-9.025%
vs Similar (4)80.083.2163.2-3.225%
vs Weaker (14)93.478.6172.1+14.879%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
ZadarSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#15
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A03/04
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A04/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H10/04
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H14/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A17/04
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H19/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A23/04
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A27/04
ABA League
Samobor
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A29/04
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A30/04
ABA League
73.8Avg total
37.6Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.278.3+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.338.983.1+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)38.335.874.1+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)37.636.273.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.875.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.542.082.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (9)33.736.870.4-3.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.736.981.6+7.784%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A03/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H07/04
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#17
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A10/04
ABA League
Samobor
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H12/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A15/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H17/04
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A20/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H24/04
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H26/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A29/04
Premijer liga
87.1Avg total
46.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.642.287.8+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.538.381.8+5.380%-
Last 30 away (15)47.646.293.8+1.453%-
Last 10 (10)46.940.287.1+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.886.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)44.645.890.4-1.250%-
vs Similar (4)43.844.888.5-1.025%-
vs Weaker (14)46.938.485.4+8.593%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.916.7
54.0%
53.2%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.8
32.2%
34.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.815.0
75.8%
74.3%15.0
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.7
56.7%
53.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.911.0
38.1%
34.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
74.3%15.1
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
LWLLWWWWWW
Split
WWWLLWWWWW
#1
League position
#2
+4.7
Net rating
+11.3
94.9
Offensive rating
105.2
90.2
Defensive rating
93.9
51.4%
Effective FG%
56.9%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.2%
3-point %
38.1%
67.5%
Assist %
65.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 105.2Defence90.2 · 93.9Shooting51.4% · 56.9%3-point %32.2% · 38.1%Ball care15.2% · 13.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Zadar   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Zadar wins
2
Split wins
DateGameScore
27/03/26Split v Zadar59-79
06/03/26Zadar v Split106-77
30/01/26Zadar v Split82-67
16/11/25Split v Zadar88-82 OT
14/06/25Split v Zadar65-67 OT
11/06/25Split v Zadar74-73
08/06/25Zadar v Split79-65
05/06/25Zadar v Split65-46
04/05/25Zadar v Split87-65
02/05/25Zadar v Split81-80
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26ASpartak Subotica68-86
29/04/26ASamobor88-84
27/04/26AStudentski Centar59-73
23/04/26ACibona70-75
19/04/26HZabok79-77
17/04/26AKK Krka Novo mesto75-65
14/04/26HFMP Beograd76-65
10/04/26HDubrovnik100-70
04/04/26AAlkar69-58
03/04/26ABorac Mozzart67-65
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26ADinamo Zagreb96-89
26/04/26HGKK Sibenka124-71
24/04/26HSpartak Subotica93-83
20/04/26AMega Basket72-95
17/04/26HCibona63-73
15/04/26AZabok90-74
12/04/26HSamobor94-81
10/04/26AVienna Basket99-86
07/04/26HDubrava80-79
03/04/26ADubrovnik95-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %87%100%75%
Points / game86.188.783.7
Allowed / game71.368.074.3
Point differential+14.8+20.7+9.4
Avg total157.4156.7158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%93%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Split
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWWWLW81%
AwayWLWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %77%81%73%
Points / game91.588.694.6
Allowed / game80.476.984.1
Point differential+11.1+11.8+10.5
Avg total171.9165.5178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%44%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3127487%86.171.3+14.8
2 Split3124777%91.580.4+11.1
3 Cibona3224875%83.275.0+8.2
4 Samobor32171553%86.084.9+1.1
5 Dubrovnik31151648%78.481.6-3.3
6 Dubrava32151747%82.483.8-1.4
7 Zabok32141844%79.580.8-1.3
8 Cedevita Junior32122038%79.882.5-2.7
9 Kvarner32122038%78.982.5-3.7
10 Alkar32122038%70.978.6-7.6
11 Dinamo Zagreb31102132%83.087.7-4.7
12 GKK Sibenka3282425%76.886.8-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar1627153290
Split1715231267
← all games of the day
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