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Samobor vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-88
28-20 14-24 23-20 19-24
Position#4
Record16-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record26-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game70.8
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 29· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2025-26
Meetings · Samobor v Zadar
18 Dec 2026
SAMO v ZAD
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
SAMO84
ZAD88
17 Oct 2025
SAMO80
ZAD99
16 Dec 2024
SAMO55
ZAD87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
96-93
96
93
+3
89avg 81
H22/02
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
79avg 81
H07/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
65-69
65
69
-4
49avg 81
A14/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
107-76
107
76
+31
113avg 81
H18/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
102-76
102
76
+26
96avg 81
H23/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
75avg 81
A29/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
83-89
83
89
-6
68avg 81
H03/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
69avg 81
A12/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 81
A19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
92-81
92
81
+11
89avg 81
H24/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
33-22
19-24
22-20
19-22
27-19
23-20
16-21
11-23
11-16
24-16
19-14
34-21
29-22
20-18
24-15
19-21
28-16
29-18
26-21
13-25
24-20
27-27
25-10
26-26
18-16
19-23
20-24
16-27
24-21
23-15
18-31
16-23
21-26
19-14
19-25
19-18
19-22
28-18
26-23
170.5Avg total
87.5Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)86.485.5171.9+0.953%
Season at home (15)91.186.3177.3+4.867%
Season away (15)81.784.7166.4-2.940%
Last 10 (10)87.583.0170.5+4.560%
Last 5 (5)84.086.8170.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.893.8173.5-14.00%
vs Similar (8)90.179.9170.0+10.275%
vs Weaker (14)88.183.9172.0+4.171%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
99-79
99
79
+20
102avg 78
H29/03
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#10
L
55-85
55
85
-30
35avg 78
A31/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
67-65
67
65
+2
57avg 78
A03/04
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
69-58
69
58
+11
67avg 78
A04/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
100-70
100
70
+30
96avg 78
H10/04
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#10
W
76-65
76
65
+11
71avg 78
H14/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
75-65
75
65
+10
76avg 78
A17/04
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
73avg 78
H19/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
70-75
70
75
-5
68avg 78
A23/04
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
L
59-73
59
73
-14
54avg 78
A27/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
29-21
29-19
23-23
15-19
13-19
15-18
12-29
18-9
14-26
21-14
14-16
19-7
15-14
18-17
17-20
25-18
26-18
28-16
21-18
13-20
28-16
27-13
8-16
17-24
24-11
18-15
16-15
28-25
20-16
14-18
17-18
18-17
10-21
20-22
22-15
5-26
20-15
21-19
13-13
146.1Avg total
74.9Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)86.070.8156.9+15.287%
Season at home (15)88.768.0156.7+20.7100%
Season away (15)83.473.7157.1+9.773%
Last 10 (10)74.971.2146.1+3.770%
Last 5 (5)71.871.0142.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.093.0171.0-15.00%
vs Similar (8)68.568.8137.2-0.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.770.7156.5+15.089%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
SamoborZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H22/02
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A14/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H18/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H23/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A29/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H03/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A12/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/04
Premijer liga
86.2Avg total
42.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.785.9+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.142.989.0+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.342.582.7-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.386.2-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.884.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.247.588.8-6.225%-
vs Similar (8)44.040.284.2+3.862%-
vs Weaker (14)43.941.385.1+2.650%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H29/03
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A31/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A03/04
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A04/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H10/04
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H14/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A17/04
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H19/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A23/04
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A27/04
ABA League
73.3Avg total
37.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.078.1+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.638.582.1+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)38.435.373.6+3.164%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.873.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.274.8-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.740.777.3-4.033%-
vs Similar (8)33.936.870.6-2.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.936.581.4+8.484%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.5
53.2%
53.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.9
36.8%
34.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.916.5
78.9%
74.3%16.5
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.717.6
55.5%
53.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.7
33.9%
34.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.112.0
74.5%
74.3%12.0
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WLLLWWWLWW
Zadar
LLWWWWWWLW
#4
League position
#1
+5.3
Net rating
+5.5
96.6
Offensive rating
95.8
91.3
Defensive rating
90.3
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.8%
3-point %
33.9%
58.6%
Assist %
64.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 95.8Defence91.3 · 90.3Shooting54.1% · 53.4%3-point %36.8% · 33.9%Ball care16.8% · 15.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Samobor   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samobor wins
3
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
09/01/26Zadar v Samobor84-67
17/10/25Samobor v Zadar80-99
16/12/24Samobor v Zadar55-87
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/26HKvarner92-81
19/04/26ACedevita Junior75-88
12/04/26ASplit81-94
03/04/26HCibona83-89
29/03/26AZabok89-82
23/03/26HGKK Sibenka102-76
18/03/26HDubrovnik107-76
14/03/26AAlkar65-69
07/03/26HKvarner85-82
22/02/26HCedevita Junior96-93
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/26AStudentski Centar59-73
23/04/26ACibona70-75
19/04/26HZabok79-77
17/04/26AKK Krka Novo mesto75-65
14/04/26HFMP Beograd76-65
10/04/26HDubrovnik100-70
04/04/26AAlkar69-58
03/04/26ABorac Mozzart67-65
31/03/26AFMP Beograd55-85
29/03/26HDinamo Zagreb99-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW53%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game86.491.181.7
Allowed / game85.586.384.7
Point differential+0.9+4.8-2.9
Avg total171.9177.3166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)80% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %87%100%73%
Points / game86.088.783.4
Allowed / game70.868.073.7
Point differential+15.2+20.7+9.7
Avg total156.9156.7157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%93%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3026487%86.070.8+15.2
2 Split3124777%91.580.4+11.1
3 Cibona3123874%83.275.0+8.2
4 Samobor30161453%86.485.5+0.9
5 Dubrava31151648%82.984.0-1.1
6 Dubrovnik31151648%78.481.6-3.3
7 Zabok31141745%79.780.4-0.7
8 Cedevita Junior31121939%80.082.4-2.4
9 Alkar31121939%70.478.2-7.8
10 Kvarner31112035%78.482.8-4.4
11 Dinamo Zagreb31102132%83.087.7-4.7
12 GKK Sibenka3172423%76.386.8-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2814231984
Zadar2024202488
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