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Real Madrid vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 70-58
21-13 15-18 15-11 19-16
Position#7
Record15-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#11
Record14-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game77.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26
European cup2020
Meetings · Real Madrid v Zalgiris Kaunas
25 Nov 2026
MAD v ZAL
upcoming
20 Nov 2025
MAD100
ZAL99
12 Dec 2024
MAD83
ZAL92
17 Oct 2023
MAD93
ZAL79
23 Feb 2023
MAD96
ZAL69
12 Nov 2021
MAD95
ZAL82
25 Feb 2021
MAD70
ZAL58
04 Apr 2019
MAD86
ZAL93
22 Mar 2018
MAD88
ZAL81
08 Dec 2016
MAD96
ZAL91
15 Jan 2016
MAD92
ZAL86
10 Apr 2015
MAD99
ZAL83
17 Oct 2014
MAD80
ZAL71
21 Feb 2014
MAD108
ZAL72
22 Nov 2013
MAD95
ZAL67
11 Jan 2013
MAD75
ZAL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#16
W
76-66
76
66
+10
78avg 78
H27/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
73avg 78
A29/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 78
H31/01
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
98-87
98
87
+11
89avg 78
H02/02
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
64-84
64
84
-20
56avg 78
H05/02
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
79-65
79
65
+14
69avg 78
A07/02
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
no box
H11/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
H13/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
no box
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#8
L
78-89
78
89
-11
68avg 78
A19/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
24-15
15-23
12-16
22-14
18-16
19-17
13-16
16-15
25-20
22-22
18-23
24-32
23-19
26-9
25-27
15-28
19-9
18-23
12-24
22-12
13-23
19-16
25-14
29-17
20-17
14-21
22-19
19-23
21-23
25-16
20-17
11-20
20-32
19-17
23-19
21-29
14-26
17-16
26-18
156.6Avg total
79.1Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.577.7158.2+2.860%
Season at home (12)83.277.0160.2+6.267%
Season away (13)78.178.3156.4-0.254%
Last 10 (10)79.177.5156.6+1.670%
Last 5 (5)80.079.0159.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.080.0156.0-4.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.180.1161.2+1.055%
vs Weaker (15)85.375.5160.8+9.993%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
79avg 81
A27/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
68-81
68
81
-13
66avg 81
A29/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
81avg 81
A31/01
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
78-47
78
47
+31
81avg 81
A02/02
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
108-53
108
53
+55
116avg 81
A06/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
95-76
95
76
+19
100avg 81
H09/02
LKL
Neptunas
#10
W
84-72
84
72
+12
no box
H13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Barcelona
#2
L
62-86
62
86
-24
56avg 81
A18/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
75-62
75
62
+13
78avg 81
H23/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
27-18
13-17
19-23
20-21
16-24
12-16
20-20
28-22
24-24
24-19
11-25
22-18
23-14
12-8
21-7
26-7
32-16
23-11
27-19
19-22
23-26
30-19
23-9
15-21
23-14
17-18
29-19
19-8
18-20
21-13
18-28
24-24
13-24
10-23
15-15
22-26
18-18
20-14
15-4
152.6Avg total
81.2Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.477.4155.8+1.056%
Season at home (12)83.277.2160.5+6.058%
Season away (13)73.977.5151.5-3.654%
Last 10 (10)81.271.4152.6+9.870%
Last 5 (5)78.473.0151.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.882.2151.0-13.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.076.7156.7+3.364%
vs Weaker (15)90.667.8158.4+22.893%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
Real MadridZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#16
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H27/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A29/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H31/01
ACB
Murcia
#12
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H02/02
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/02
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A07/02
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H11/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H13/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#8
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A19/02
Euroleague
80.3Avg total
40.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.378.4+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.339.681.9+2.750%-
Last 30 away (12)36.936.373.2+0.667%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.280.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.044.482.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.239.478.5-0.255%-
vs Weaker (15)41.136.577.5+4.667%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A27/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A29/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A31/01
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A02/02
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
58-23
58
23
+35
A06/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H09/02
LKL
Neptunas
#10
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Barcelona
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A18/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H23/02
Euroleague
81.9Avg total
43.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.080.2+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.137.278.3+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)43.538.982.4+4.657%-
Last 10 (10)43.238.781.9+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.679.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.044.279.2-9.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.539.379.7+1.255%-
vs Weaker (15)45.535.480.9+10.180%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.7
52.1%
52.7%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.0
37.6%
38.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.113.3
77.8%
79.3%13.3
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.7
55.6%
52.7%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.29.1
41.0%
38.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws13.711.0
80.3%
79.3%11.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LLWWWLWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWWWWLLW
#7
League position
#11
+3.0
Net rating
+15.9
112.5
Offensive rating
115.8
109.5
Defensive rating
99.9
54.0%
Effective FG%
57.8%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
19.3%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.6%
3-point %
41.0%
57.4%
Assist %
72.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 115.8Defence109.5 · 99.9Shooting54.0% · 57.8%3-point %37.6% · 41.0%Ball care17.0% · 19.3%Off. rebounds30.4% · 33.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/21AValencia78-89
14/02/21HBarcelona73-88
13/02/21HTenerife85-79
11/02/21HValencia85-74
07/02/21AEstudiantes79-65
05/02/21HBaskonia64-84
02/02/21HMurcia98-87
31/01/21HGran Canaria81-80
29/01/21AAlba Berlin72-63
27/01/21HPanathinaikos76-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/21HCrvena zvezda75-62
18/02/21ABarcelona62-86
14/02/21HLietkabelis76-69
13/02/21HNeptunas84-72
09/02/21HPieno Zvaigzdes95-76
06/02/21ANevezis-OPTIBET108-53
02/02/21ANevezis-OPTIBET78-47
31/01/21AJuventus87-90
29/01/21ABaskonia68-81
27/01/21AValencia79-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL60%
HomeWLLWL67%
AwayWWLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %60%67%54%
Points / game80.583.278.1
Allowed / game77.777.078.3
Point differential+2.8+6.2-0.2
Avg total158.2160.2156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %12%0%23%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWWWW58%
AwayLLWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %56%58%54%
Points / game78.483.273.9
Allowed / game77.477.277.5
Point differential+1.0+6.0-3.6
Avg total155.8160.5151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%42%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2518772%81.473.6+7.9
2 CSKA Moscow2517868%83.679.4+4.2
3 Olimpia Milano2617965%81.777.7+4.0
4 Bayern26161062%79.277.7+1.4
5 Real Madrid25151060%80.577.7+2.8
6 Zenit Petersburg25151060%77.075.4+1.6
7 Fenerbahce25151060%79.078.5+0.5
8 Anadolu Efes24141058%79.876.3+3.5
9 Zalgiris Kaunas25141156%78.477.4+1.0
10 Valencia26141254%82.681.8+0.7
11 Baskonia25121348%79.877.6+2.2
12 Lyon-Villeurbanne25111444%77.180.0-2.8
13 Olympiacos26111542%78.880.7-1.9
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv24101442%78.878.9-0.1
15 Panathinaikos2391439%80.782.6-1.9
16 Alba Berlin2581732%77.483.3-5.9
17 Crvena zvezda2571828%73.778.5-4.8
18 Khimki M.252238%78.491.0-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2115151970
Zalgiris Kaunas1318111658
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