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Juventus vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 78-102
18-27 16-24 24-27 20-24
Position#4
Record16-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#1
Record16-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game67.6
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Juventus v Zalgiris Kaunas
09 May 2027
JUV v ZAL
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
JUV v ZAL
upcoming
09 Jun 2026
JUV69
ZAL100
29 Mar 2026
JUV83
ZAL94
14 Dec 2025
JUV75
ZAL91
26 Apr 2025
JUV75
ZAL96
29 Dec 2024
JUV67
ZAL128
28 Sep 2023
JUV69
ZAL79
15 Feb 2023
JUV67
ZAL78
28 Apr 2022
JUV76
ZAL84
27 Dec 2021
JUV71
ZAL78
26 May 2021
JUV80
ZAL116
07 Mar 2021
JUV78
ZAL102
31 Jan 2021
JUV90
ZAL87
08 Mar 2020
JUV82
ZAL91
30 Dec 2019
JUV77
ZAL101
27 Jan 2019
JUV80
ZAL98
30 Sep 2018
JUV80
ZAL87
14 Jan 2018
JUV79
ZAL81
30 Dec 2017
JUV74
ZAL78
19 Mar 2017
JUV71
ZAL73
06 Nov 2016
JUV66
ZAL90
13 May 2016
JUV73
ZAL88
20 Mar 2016
JUV65
ZAL88
18 Oct 2015
JUV65
ZAL83
16 May 2015
JUV58
ZAL91
07 Apr 2015
JUV68
ZAL73
07 Dec 2014
JUV75
ZAL76
17 Nov 2013
JUV56
ZAL75
02 Oct 2012
JUV53
ZAL71
18 Dec 2011
JUV60
ZAL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
69avg 86
A23/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
89-75
89
75
+14
no box
H27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
90-87
90
87
+3
84avg 86
H31/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
87-92
87
92
-5
86avg 86
A03/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
92-76
92
76
+16
92avg 86
A06/02
LKL
CBet
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
87avg 86
H10/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#10
W
86-69
86
69
+17
no box
A14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 86
A28/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
98-58
98
58
+40
102avg 86
H03/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
20-14
21-20
20-18
29-20
22-17
20-18
18-20
22-28
24-24
19-24
25-11
24-23
17-27
23-18
23-24
24-26
20-22
25-12
23-16
27-18
27-18
12-29
28-26
11-16
23-30
20-20
19-18
21-11
19-22
25-18
21-18
35-18
16-24
20-20
28-19
22-17
24-13
29-16
23-12
166.9Avg total
88.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.584.2172.7+4.373%
Season at home (11)89.583.0172.5+6.582%
Season away (11)87.585.4172.8+2.164%
Last 10 (10)88.778.2166.9+10.580%
Last 5 (5)90.076.6166.6+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.589.5166.0-13.012%
vs Similar (1)73.084.0157.0-11.00%
vs Weaker (21)91.779.7171.4+12.090%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
108-53
108
53
+55
116avg 80
A06/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
95-76
95
76
+19
100avg 80
H09/02
LKL
Neptunas
#10
W
84-72
84
72
+12
no box
H13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Barcelona
#2
L
62-86
62
86
-24
56avg 80
A18/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
75-62
75
62
+13
78avg 80
H23/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
58-70
58
70
-12
50avg 80
A25/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
85-72
85
72
+13
86avg 80
H28/02
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
85-75
85
75
+10
76avg 80
H02/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H05/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-7
32-16
23-11
27-19
19-22
23-26
30-19
23-9
15-21
23-14
17-18
29-19
19-8
18-20
21-13
18-28
24-24
13-24
10-23
15-15
22-26
18-18
20-14
15-4
13-21
18-15
11-15
16-19
22-26
27-11
16-17
20-18
17-20
23-22
27-15
18-18
13-19
19-15
13-16
19-19
149.6Avg total
79.2Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.867.6156.4+21.389%
Season at home (9)87.166.9154.0+20.289%
Season away (9)90.668.2158.8+22.389%
Last 10 (10)79.270.4149.6+8.870%
Last 5 (5)73.469.6143.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.780.7146.3-15.00%
vs Similar (12)76.773.1149.8+3.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.968.7159.5+22.293%
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +3.2+3.2
JuventusZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A23/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H31/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A03/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/02
LKL
CBet
#5
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H10/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#10
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A28/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H03/03
LKL
85.0Avg total
44.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.085.4+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.740.884.4+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)45.141.486.4+3.757%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.585.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.037.482.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.445.885.1-6.412%-
vs Similar (1)34.046.080.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker (21)46.739.085.7+7.776%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
58-23
58
23
+35
A06/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H09/02
LKL
Neptunas
#10
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Barcelona
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A18/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H23/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A25/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H28/02
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H02/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H05/03
Euroleague
77.9Avg total
40.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.437.179.5+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.136.578.6+5.662%-
Last 30 away (14)42.937.880.6+5.157%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.577.9+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.677.0-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (12)39.737.276.9+2.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.335.681.9+10.780%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.522.6
60.3%
54.2%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.2
36.2%
36.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.217.2
74.1%
75.2%17.2
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.6
53.7%
54.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.57.6
39.0%
36.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.212.9
79.6%
75.2%12.9
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
WWWLWWLWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWLWLWWWW
#4
League position
#1
+11.2
Net rating
+13.8
114.5
Offensive rating
112.5
103.3
Defensive rating
98.6
57.9%
Effective FG%
55.3%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
21.0%
Turnover %
18.8%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.2%
3-point %
39.0%
62.3%
Assist %
69.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 112.5Defence103.3 · 98.6Shooting57.9% · 55.3%3-point %36.2% · 39.0%Ball care21.0% · 18.8%Off. rebounds33.3% · 31.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Juventus   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Juventus wins
9
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/21HNeptunas98-58
28/02/21ANevezis-OPTIBET99-81
14/02/21ANeptunas86-69
13/02/21HLietkabelis73-84
10/02/21HCBet94-91
06/02/21AAlytaus Dzukija92-76
03/02/21ASiauliai87-92
31/01/21HZalgiris Kaunas90-87
27/01/21HPieno Zvaigzdes89-75
23/01/21APieno Zvaigzdes79-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/21HOlimpia Milano64-69
02/03/21HLyon-Villeurbanne85-75
28/02/21HNeptunas85-72
25/02/21AReal Madrid58-70
23/02/21HCrvena zvezda75-62
18/02/21ABarcelona62-86
14/02/21HLietkabelis76-69
13/02/21HNeptunas84-72
09/02/21HPieno Zvaigzdes95-76
06/02/21ANevezis-OPTIBET108-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%82%64%
Points / game88.589.587.5
Allowed / game84.283.085.4
Point differential+4.3+6.5+2.1
Avg total172.7172.5172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%27%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)80% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWLWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %89%89%89%
Points / game88.887.190.6
Allowed / game67.666.968.2
Point differential+21.3+20.2+22.3
Avg total156.4154.0158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%78%78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1816289%88.867.6+21.3
2 Rytas2116576%89.480.5+8.9
3 Juventus2216673%88.584.2+4.3
4 Lietkabelis2215768%84.077.5+6.5
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes2291341%79.081.6-2.7
6 Alytaus Dzukija2071335%80.283.7-3.5
7 CBet2381535%85.290.6-5.4
8 Neptunas2381535%77.684.5-6.9
9 Nevezis-OPTIBET2371630%75.484.8-9.4
10 Siauliai2261627%83.191.3-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Juventus1816242078
Zalgiris Kaunas27242724102
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