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CSKA Moscow vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-86
19-21 21-20 27-28 28-17
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#10
Record2-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8
European cup2016
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas
13 Jan 2021
CMO83
ZAL73
21 Nov 2018
CMO99
ZAL97
20 May 2018
CMO77
ZAL79
03 Nov 2017
CMO94
ZAL91
18 Nov 2016
CMO95
ZAL86
01 Apr 2016
CMO100
ZAL86
10 Jan 2014
CMO77
ZAL62
15 Mar 2013
CMO70
ZAL61
03 Feb 2013
CMO68
ZAL74
29 Sep 2012
CMO89
ZAL87
23 Nov 2011
CMO95
ZAL82
24 Sep 2011
CMO69
ZAL61
03 Oct 2010
CMO79
ZAL73
10 Mar 2010
CMO84
ZAL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#12
W
109-84
109
84
+25
142avg 121
A13/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
108avg 121
H21/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
93-87
93
87
+6
126avg 121
A25/10
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#15
W
98-80
98
80
+18
132avg 121
H27/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
104-103 OT
104
103
+1
no box
A30/10
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
109avg 121
A03/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#2
W
105-56
105
56
+49
no box
H06/11
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#2
W
91-90
91
90
+1
118avg 121
H11/11
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#13
W
98-74
98
74
+24
no box
H13/11
VTB United League
Darussafaka
#9
L
83-91
83
91
-8
114avg 121
A16/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
30-27
24-26
28-13
22-19
13-11
22-28
24-19
26-23
23-14
20-26
24-24
23-20
24-23
21-12
30-25
21-21
27-26
20-28
23-16
25-21
19-7
22-23
15-24
24-16
33-16
25-16
23-8
17-26
32-12
24-30
18-22
24-22
23-26
34-12
17-14
18-30
19-19
20-24
26-18
176.0Avg total
94.3Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.983.4174.3+7.486%
Season at home (3)90.082.3172.3+7.7100%
Season away (4)91.584.2175.8+7.275%
Last 10 (10)94.381.7176.0+12.690%
Last 5 (5)91.677.2168.8+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)93.389.0182.3+4.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)90.680.0170.6+10.693%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
109avg 108
H21/10
Euroleague
Neptunas
#4
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
H23/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#3
L
68-82
68
82
-14
93avg 108
A26/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
74-87
74
87
-13
108avg 108
H28/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
A30/10
LKL
Darussafaka
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
108avg 108
H04/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
90-66
90
66
+24
no box
A06/11
LKL
Barcelona
#11
L
86-92
86
92
-6
116avg 108
A10/11
Euroleague
Skycop
#6
W
63-55
63
55
+8
no box
A13/11
LKL
Galatasaray
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
120avg 108
H16/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
14-17
27-21
17-12
20-14
21-12
17-22
19-19
24-28
13-16
19-19
12-19
16-21
16-22
25-21
17-23
27-10
17-17
9-18
28-23
25-15
10-11
21-35
24-22
20-17
28-22
20-18
22-9
12-16
23-20
24-29
27-27
14-15
25-14
11-17
13-9
20-20
29-17
20-14
18-24
153.2Avg total
78.4Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.482.3160.7-3.929%
Season at home (4)79.879.5159.2+0.250%
Season away (3)76.786.0162.7-9.30%
Last 10 (10)78.474.8153.2+3.660%
Last 5 (5)81.274.2155.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)68.082.0150.0-14.00%
vs Similar (5)81.481.4162.8+0.040%
vs Weaker (24)82.669.5152.1+13.083%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
CSKA MoscowZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#12
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A13/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H21/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A25/10
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#15
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H27/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A30/10
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#4
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A03/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#2
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H06/11
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#2
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H11/11
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#13
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H13/11
VTB United League
Darussafaka
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A16/11
Euroleague
86.7Avg total
47.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.839.485.2+6.380%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.940.286.1+5.682%-
Last 30 away (13)45.638.484.0+7.277%-
Last 10 (10)47.039.786.7+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.085.8+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)48.735.083.7+13.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.439.985.4+5.578%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H21/10
Euroleague
Neptunas
#4
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H23/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A26/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H28/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A30/10
LKL
Darussafaka
#9
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H04/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A06/11
LKL
Barcelona
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/11
Euroleague
Skycop
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A13/11
LKL
Galatasaray
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H16/11
Euroleague
74.1Avg total
39.4Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.036.177.1+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.834.477.2+8.375%-
Last 30 away (14)39.037.976.9+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.434.774.1+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.233.474.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)37.044.081.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (5)36.635.271.8+1.440%-
vs Weaker (24)42.135.978.0+6.271%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.9 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.4
54.1%
50.7%44.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.49.3
43.3%
37.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.717.0
82.1%
75.6%17.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.7 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.9
52.0%
50.7%41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.6
33.1%
37.3%22.7
🏀 Free throws16.713.1
78.6%
75.6%13.1
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
LWWWWWWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWLWLLWW
#1
League position
#10
+9.2
Net rating
-4.9
115.5
Offensive rating
106.2
106.3
Defensive rating
111.1
57.8%
Effective FG%
51.1%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
17.9%
Turnover %
19.6%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
38.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
43.3%
3-point %
33.1%
64.9%
Assist %
64.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 106.2Defence106.3 · 111.1Shooting57.8% · 51.1%3-point %43.3% · 33.1%Ball care17.9% · 19.6%Off. rebounds29.1% · 38.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
CSKA Moscow wins
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/16ADarussafaka83-91
13/11/16HParma Perm98-74
11/11/16HReal Madrid91-90
06/11/16HZenit Petersburg105-56
03/11/16AOlympiacos81-75
30/10/16ASaratov104-103 OT
27/10/16HUnics Kazan98-80
25/10/16AAnadolu Efes93-87
21/10/16HPanathinaikos81-77
13/10/16AGalatasaray109-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/16HGalatasaray87-75
13/11/16ASkycop63-55
10/11/16ABarcelona86-92
06/11/16AJuventus90-66
04/11/16HDarussafaka80-83
30/10/16ANevezis81-68
28/10/16HMaccabi Tel Aviv74-87
26/10/16AFenerbahce68-82
23/10/16HNeptunas77-67
21/10/16HBaskonia78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game90.990.091.5
Allowed / game83.482.384.2
Point differential+7.4+7.7+7.2
Avg total174.3172.3175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game78.479.876.7
Allowed / game82.379.586.0
Point differential-3.9+0.2-9.3
Avg total160.7159.2162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow76186%90.983.4+7.4
2 Real Madrid75271%89.683.4+6.1
3 Darussafaka75271%81.779.3+2.4
4 Baskonia85362%81.577.6+3.9
5 Fenerbahce85362%76.978.4-1.5
6 Olympiacos74357%80.377.4+2.9
7 Panathinaikos74357%80.778.9+1.9
8 Barcelona74357%72.471.4+1.0
9 Crvena zvezda84450%72.171.8+0.4
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv84450%83.683.2+0.4
11 Olimpia Milano84450%89.590.8-1.2
12 Anadolu Efes83538%86.090.2-4.2
13 Zalgiris Kaunas72529%78.482.3-3.9
14 Bamberg82625%80.081.1-1.1
15 Unics Kazan82625%79.282.9-3.6
16 Galatasaray71614%84.494.1-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow1921272895
Zalgiris Kaunas2120281786
← all games of the day
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