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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 64-58
9-17 10-14 15-10 30-17
Position#10
Record10-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#5
Record14-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25
European cup2016
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Panathinaikos
19 Nov 2026
ZAL v PAO
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
ZAL85
PAO92
22 Nov 2024
ZAL84
PAO77
02 Feb 2024
ZAL80
PAO68
02 Dec 2022
ZAL67
PAO81
16 Nov 2021
ZAL76
PAO69
08 Apr 2021
ZAL93
PAO78
18 Jan 2019
ZAL82
PAO69
07 Dec 2017
ZAL80
PAO74
09 Mar 2017
ZAL64
PAO58
17 Dec 2015
ZAL72
PAO75
13 Mar 2015
ZAL76
PAO70
21 Feb 2013
ZAL73
PAO78
07 Dec 2011
ZAL59
PAO94
04 Dec 2008
ZAL69
PAO80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#9
W
69-66
69
66
+3
96avg 106
A27/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
A30/01
LKL
Barcelona
#11
W
89-85
89
85
+4
116avg 106
H02/02
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
A05/02
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
64-73
64
73
-9
88avg 106
A10/02
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
96-68
96
68
+28
no box
H12/02
LKL
Bamberg
#13
W
91-86
91
86
+5
117avg 106
A24/02
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
101-50
101
50
+51
no box
H27/02
LKL
Fenerbahce
#3
L
67-76
67
76
-9
96avg 106
H02/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#4
L
69-78
69
78
-9
no box
H05/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
22-17
17-18
14-17
18-18
19-26
19-15
21-20
18-24
21-14
22-23
28-24
17-12
19-23
20-19
23-18
19-19
16-16
19-21
10-17
29-16
25-16
23-15
19-21
28-22
21-23
18-23
24-18
25-13
21-15
22-12
33-10
17-19
14-11
17-25
19-21
16-20
18-28
20-11
15-19
153.5Avg total
80.2Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.180.5158.7-2.442%
Season at home (12)76.279.3155.6-3.142%
Season away (12)80.081.8161.8-1.842%
Last 10 (10)80.273.3153.5+6.960%
Last 5 (5)84.871.6156.4+13.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.580.2152.7-7.717%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.879.0159.8+1.867%
vs Weaker (15)85.168.1153.2+17.187%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
110avg 101
A03/02
Euroleague
Koroivos
#12
W
76-55
76
55
+21
no box
A06/02
Basket League
Bamberg
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
H09/02
Euroleague
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
77-54
77
54
+23
no box
A12/02
Basket League
Lefkadas
#14
W
90-61
90
61
+29
no box
H15/02
Basket League
Aris
#2
W
68-59
68
59
+9
no box
H18/02
Greek Cup
Unics Kazan
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
108avg 101
H24/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
A27/02
Basket League
Darussafaka
#9
L
72-77
72
77
-5
98avg 101
A03/03
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
70-54
70
54
+16
no box
H05/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
25-16
25-24
16-15
25-12
14-12
15-9
22-22
27-19
15-22
20-13
19-18
22-15
14-8
27-14
14-17
27-15
24-12
21-12
18-22
18-10
11-17
21-10
18-22
24-25
15-21
13-15
31-21
25-22
21-24
18-9
18-18
17-17
16-18
20-18
19-24
20-20
24-10
9-13
17-11
144.9Avg total
78.3Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.876.0153.8+1.958%
Season at home (12)80.272.1152.2+8.192%
Season away (12)75.579.8155.3-4.325%
Last 10 (10)78.366.6144.9+11.790%
Last 5 (5)75.069.0144.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.067.0144.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.371.9145.2+1.460%
vs Weaker (19)81.168.0149.1+13.189%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
Zalgiris KaunasPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#9
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A27/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A30/01
LKL
Barcelona
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H02/02
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A05/02
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A10/02
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H12/02
LKL
Bamberg
#13
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A24/02
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H27/02
LKL
Fenerbahce
#3
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H02/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H05/03
LKL
76.5Avg total
39.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.077.1+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.736.478.1+5.471%-
Last 30 away (13)40.335.575.8+4.862%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.676.5+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.679.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.740.378.0-2.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.139.779.8+0.467%-
vs Weaker (15)43.132.175.1+11.087%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#12
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A03/02
Euroleague
Koroivos
#12
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A06/02
Basket League
Bamberg
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/02
Euroleague
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A12/02
Basket League
Lefkadas
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H15/02
Basket League
Aris
#2
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H18/02
Greek Cup
Unics Kazan
#15
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H24/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A27/02
Basket League
Darussafaka
#9
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/03
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H05/03
Basket League
74.1Avg total
40.2Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.134.373.4+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.434.474.9+6.079%-
Last 30 away (16)37.934.272.1+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)40.233.974.1+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.875.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.028.057.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.936.271.1-1.350%-
vs Weaker (19)41.833.775.5+8.174%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.1
50.4%
50.7%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.27.7
40.1%
37.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.513.3
80.6%
75.6%13.3
They take 55.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.115.3
44.9%
50.7%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.6
39.1%
37.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws15.710.3
65.6%
75.6%10.3
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLWWWLWWLW
Panathinaikos
WLWWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#5
-4.9
Net rating
-3.4
105.6
Offensive rating
104.1
110.6
Defensive rating
107.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
51.0%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
21.9%
Turnover %
15.3%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
40.1%
3-point %
39.1%
71.7%
Assist %
56.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 104.1Defence110.6 · 107.6Shooting53.8% · 51.0%3-point %40.1% · 39.1%Ball care21.9% · 15.3%Off. rebounds31.8% · 25.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/17HNeptunas69-78
02/03/17HFenerbahce67-76
27/02/17HSiauliai101-50
24/02/17ABamberg91-86
12/02/17HAlytaus Dzukija96-68
10/02/17AOlympiacos64-73
05/02/17ARytas79-72
02/02/17HBarcelona89-85
30/01/17ALietkabelis77-79
27/01/17ADarussafaka69-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/17HAris70-54
03/03/17ADarussafaka72-77
27/02/17AKolossos Rhodes82-73
24/02/17HUnics Kazan83-82
18/02/17HAris68-59
15/02/17HLefkadas90-61
12/02/17AG.S. Kymis77-54
09/02/17HBamberg81-72
06/02/17AKoroivos76-55
03/02/17AGalatasaray84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL42%
HomeLLWWL42%
AwayWLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%42%42%
Points / game78.176.280.0
Allowed / game80.579.381.8
Point differential-2.4-3.1-1.8
Avg total158.7155.6161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%92%25%
Points / game77.880.275.5
Allowed / game76.072.179.8
Point differential+1.9+8.1-4.3
Avg total153.8152.2155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %12%17%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2519676%87.679.1+8.5
2 Real Madrid2418675%86.880.0+6.8
3 Olympiacos2417771%78.873.5+5.3
4 Fenerbahce2516964%76.975.2+1.8
5 Panathinaikos24141058%77.876.0+1.9
6 Crvena zvezda24141058%75.073.3+1.7
7 Baskonia25141156%81.079.6+1.4
8 Anadolu Efes24131154%85.384.5+0.9
9 Darussafaka24121250%79.179.5-0.4
10 Zalgiris Kaunas24101442%78.180.5-2.4
11 Barcelona2491538%72.476.5-4.0
12 Bamberg2481633%79.280.2-1.0
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv2481633%78.083.6-5.6
14 Galatasaray2581732%78.483.3-4.9
15 Unics Kazan2471729%77.581.8-4.3
16 Olimpia Milano2471729%82.388.2-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas910153064
Panathinaikos1714101758
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